Loading the game…
⌘K
Army (9-21 in 2025–26) hosts St. Thomas (21-9 in 2025–26) on Nov 14, 2026, 1:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
STMN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · ARMY defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
ARMY offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · STMN defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
STMNARMY
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
STMNARMYNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nolan Minessale's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Janowski | 32.9 | 17.2 | 4.8 | 2.2 |
| Nolan Minessale | 31.9 | 19.3 | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Carter Bjerke | 26.0 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Austin Herro | 25.5 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Ben Oosterbaan | 24.9 | 8.7 | 4.7 | 1.5 |
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu | 21.2 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Ryan Dufault | 18.5 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Hayden Tibbits | 13.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Curry | 33.4 | 10.9 | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| Jaxson Bell | 29.1 | 13.9 | 5.4 | 2.3 |
| Jacen Holloway | 27.7 | 12.0 | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| Kevin McCarthy | 23.9 | 7.6 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Jackson Furman | 23.4 | 6.3 | 3.4 | 1.1 |
| Tate Laczkowski | 19.8 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 1.7 |
| Jorn Everson | 16.8 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Joshua Eli | 15.1 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 0.8 |
STMN offenseper gameARMY defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
STMNForAgainst48% of STMN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
ARMYForAgainst46% of ARMY's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
STMN 1series0 ARMY| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | ARMY 76 | STMN 83 | STMN+7 | +7 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | STMN21-9 · last 30 games | ARMY9-21 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +5.6#23 of 361 | −10.1#355 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 80.4#27 of 361 | 69.2#321 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +12.4#34 of 361 | −12.0#323 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 118.6#33 of 361 | 104.2#283 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.