Dayton (23-11 in 2025–26) hosts Cincinnati (18-15 in 2025–26) on Nov 14, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CIN offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · DAY defense in 4 (2 by a clear margin)
DAY offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · CIN defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Javon Bennett's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baba Miller | 33.9 | 12.9 | 9.9 | 4.3 |
| Day Day Thomas | 31.7 | 10.3 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Jizzle James | 30.3 | 10.8 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Jalen Celestine | 29.7 | 11.7 | 3.9 | 1.9 |
| Moustapha Thiam | 28.3 | 15.0 | 8.2 | 0.6 |
| Keyshuan Tillery | 15.5 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| Sencire Harris | 13.2 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Kerr Kriisa | 11.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett | 36.5 | 15.9 | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery | 30.8 | 11.5 | 4.6 | 2.1 |
| Keonte Jones | 29.3 | 5.8 | 4.7 | 2.3 |
| Amaël L'Etang | 26.5 | 13.0 | 5.9 | 1.9 |
| Jordan Derkack | 23.0 | 11.2 | 4.8 | 1.8 |
| Jaiun Simon | 22.4 | 6.0 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| Bryce Heard | 19.6 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| Jacob Conner | 13.1 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
49% of CIN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
50% of DAY's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | CIN+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | CIN+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | DAY+14 | +14 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CIN15-15 · last 30 games | DAY20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.4%#299 of 361 | 47.2%#147 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −4.7#175 of 361 | +11.0#67 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 106.6#238 of 361 | 108.4#200 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.