North Texas (17-14 in 2025–26) hosts South Alabama (19-11 in 2025–26) on Nov 14, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
USA offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UNT defense in 3
UNT offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · USA defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Chaze Harris's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen | 37.3 | 16.9 | 4.9 | 0.9 |
| Chaze Harris | 33.1 | 21.1 | 4.5 | 5.1 |
| Jayden Cooper | 32.8 | 13.2 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Hantz Louis-Jeune | 26.3 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 0.7 |
| Randy Brady | 26.2 | 6.7 | 4.9 | 2.0 |
| John Broom | 18.1 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 0.3 |
| JJ Wheat | 15.6 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Stephen Williams | 14.7 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Terrell Jr. | 34.4 | 14.5 | 3.9 | 4.7 |
| Je'Shawn Stevenson | 33.3 | 18.4 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
| Cole Franklin | 29.0 | 8.3 | 5.2 | 1.2 |
| Dylan Arnett | 26.5 | 7.1 | 6.0 | 1.3 |
| Reece Robinson | 23.9 | 8.6 | 4.8 | 0.5 |
| Buddy Hammer Jr. | 17.6 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 0.5 |
| Demarion Watson | 11.2 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| Josiah Shackleford | 11.1 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
45% of USA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
44% of UNT's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | UNT+1 | +1 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | USA19-11 · last 30 games | UNT16-14 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 74.4#125 of 361 | 70.6#300 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 110.4#148 of 361 | 102.6#305 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | 0.0#78 of 361 | +2.8#214 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 106.9#262 of 361 | 102.5#326 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.