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Maryland (12-21 in 2025–26) hosts Virginia (28-5 in 2025–26) on Nov 13, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UVA offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MD defense in 1
MD offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · UVA defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UVAMD
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UVAMDNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Andre Mills's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallin Hall | 29.5 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 4.3 |
| Thijs De Ridder | 27.7 | 14.6 | 6.1 | 1.6 |
| Sam Lewis | 26.3 | 11.9 | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| Chance Mallory | 23.8 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Malik Thomas | 22.1 | 11.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 20.5 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 0.7 |
| Johann Grunloh | 18.1 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| Jacari White | 18.0 | 8.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Washington | 33.3 | 10.1 | 9.1 | 1.5 |
| Elijah Saunders | 31.8 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 1.1 |
| Andre Mills | 29.5 | 16.9 | 4.1 | 1.7 |
| Darius Adams | 24.9 | 8.6 | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| David Coit | 24.1 | 11.3 | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| Collin Metcalf | 21.1 | 2.1 | 4.8 | 0.5 |
| Myles Rice | 17.7 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| Isaiah Watts | 11.0 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
UVA offenseper gameMD defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UVAForAgainst47% of UVA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MDForAgainst47% of MD's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UVA 1series0 MD| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | MD 72 | UVA 80 | UVA+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UVA25-5 · last 30 games | MD10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin per 100 possessions | +14.8#20 of 361 | −13.1#328 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | +10.0#23 of 361 | −8.6#327 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 103.2#318 of 361 | 117.8#22 of 361 | 109.9 |
| 1st half points for | 38.1#53 of 361 | 32.0#294 of 361 | 34.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.