UTEP (8-20 in 2025–26) hosts New Mexico State (13-16 in 2025–26) on Nov 12, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
NMSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UTEP defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
UTEP offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NMSU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jemel Jones's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jemel Jones | 30.3 | 19.9 | 4.5 | 2.7 |
| Julius Mims | 29.2 | 11.0 | 9.1 | 0.6 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne | 26.7 | 7.3 | 5.6 | 0.3 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz | 25.4 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Gabe Pickens | 24.1 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 3.0 |
| Jayland Randall | 19.8 | 8.9 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| Elijah Elliott | 18.5 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| Kyrese Mullen | 13.8 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaseem Watson | 35.1 | 13.1 | 5.5 | 1.5 |
| Caleb Blackwell | 33.4 | 12.1 | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| Jamal West Jr. | 32.5 | 16.2 | 6.7 | 1.6 |
| Elijah Jones | 30.6 | 12.4 | 6.4 | 0.5 |
| KJ Thomas | 30.3 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Trey Horton III | 11.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| LA Hayes | 11.3 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Cassius Brooks | 10.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
44% of NMSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of UTEP's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | NMSU+4 | +4 | ||
| Feb 7, 2026 | UTEP+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTEP+3 | +3 | ||
| Jan 11, 2025 | NMSU+28 | +28 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | UTEP+25 | +25 | ||
| Jan 4, 2024 | NMSU+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2022 | NMSU+25 | +25 | ||
| Nov 12, 2022 | UTEP+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2021 | NMSU+3 | +3 | ||
| Nov 13, 2021 | NMSU+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | NMSU13-17 · last 30 games | UTEP9-21 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 76.4#87 of 361 | 69.8#311 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 109.9#162 of 361 | 101.4#320 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −3.2#139 of 361 | −0.7#282 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | 0.0#171 of 361 | −9.2#294 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.