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South Florida (24-8 in 2025–26) and Saint Joseph's (20-11 in 2025–26) meet at a neutral site on Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
JOES offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · USF defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
USF offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · JOES defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
JOESUSF
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
JOESUSFNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Wes Enis's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Simpson | 35.5 | 15.7 | 4.5 | 6.7 |
| Jaiden Glover-Toscano | 33.7 | 15.9 | 5.3 | 1.1 |
| Austin Williford | 31.7 | 9.4 | 5.3 | 1.1 |
| Justice Ajogbor | 31.2 | 8.3 | 5.5 | 1.7 |
| Dasear Haskins | 28.5 | 11.6 | 6.4 | 1.7 |
| Anthony Finkley | 15.7 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| Khaafiq Myers | 14.5 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| Jaden Smith | 8.1 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Enis | 35.3 | 19.1 | 4.0 | 2.9 |
| Joseph Pinion | 30.7 | 14.3 | 4.2 | 3.2 |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 27.8 | 15.7 | 9.2 | 1.5 |
| Josh Omojafo | 27.6 | 8.6 | 5.2 | 1.1 |
| CJ Brown | 26.1 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Isaiah Jones | 15.7 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 0.4 |
| Daimion Collins | 13.9 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| Gavin Hightower | 12.0 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
JOES offenseper gameUSF defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
JOESForAgainst49% of JOES's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
USFForAgainst48% of USF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
JOES 0series1 USF| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2022 | USF 75 | JOES 62 | USF+13 | +13 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | JOES19-11 · last 30 games | USF23-7 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points for | 36.6#300 of 361 | 45.0#12 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 105.8#254 of 361 | 118.2#38 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Possessions per game | 67.7#206 of 361 | 72.9#11 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 1st half points against | 31.7#319 of 361 | 35.8#139 of 361 | 35.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.