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Abilene Christian (11-19 in 2025–26) hosts Stephen F. Austin (26-5 in 2025–26) on Nov 11, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SFA offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ACU defense in 1
ACU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · SFA defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SFAACU
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
SFAACUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Keon Thompson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Thompson | 30.3 | 20.1 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Chrishawn Christmas | 29.3 | 5.5 | 6.9 | 1.4 |
| Lateef Patrick | 27.2 | 14.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Jerald Colonel | 26.5 | 4.9 | 7.1 | 0.9 |
| Narit Chotikavanic | 21.9 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| Kam Burton | 20.5 | 9.3 | 1.7 | 0.1 |
| Ahamed Mohammed | 16.1 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Gediminas Alisas | 13.1 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rich Smith | 30.0 | 9.3 | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| Bradyn Hubbard | 29.7 | 16.6 | 4.2 | 0.9 |
| Cbo Newton | 29.5 | 12.5 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Yaniel Rivera | 25.8 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| Joseph Venzant | 24.9 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| Cade Hornecker | 16.9 | 5.4 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| Zy Wright | 16.8 | 5.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Christian Alston | 11.9 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
SFA offenseper gameACU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
SFAForAgainst48% of SFA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
ACUForAgainst44% of ACU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SFA 8series2 ACU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | ACU 66 | SFA 76 | SFA+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | SFA 62 | ACU 57 | SFA+5 | +5 |
| Mar 13, 2024 | ACU 57 | SFA 60 | SFA+3 | +3 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ACU 63 | SFA 62 | ACU+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | SFA 79 | ACU 74 | SFA+5 | +5 |
| Feb 22, 2023 | SFA 91 | ACU 87 | SFA+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | ACU 68 | SFA 75 | SFA+7 | +7 |
| Mar 10, 2022 | ACU 76 | SFA 62 | ACU+14 | +14 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | ACU 71 | SFA 73 | SFA+2 | +2 |
| Jan 6, 2022 | SFA 64 | ACU 58 | SFA+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SFA25-5 · last 30 games | ACU11-19 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +8.7#6 of 361 | +0.2#265 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.6%#291 of 361 | 48.9%#32 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +12.5#33 of 361 | −8.7#290 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 113.7#89 of 361 | 99.4#337 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.