USC vs California Odds, Stats & Props — Nov 11

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Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

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What to know

Scoring margin

USC −0.6 · CAL +4.1

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

USC 2-8 · CAL 5-5

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

USC 2d · CAL 2d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

USC offensevsCAL defense

USC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · CAL defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

50.4%

#222

49.6%

Stronger#83

Turnovers · per 100 plays

15.2%

#233

14.0%

slight#217

Offensive rebounding %

32.4%

#108slight

30.3%

#171

Free throw rate

32.1%

#18Stronger

24.5%

#145

CAL offensevsUSC defense

CAL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · USC defense in 2

Shooting · effective FG%

52.2%

#136

49.7%

slight#88

Turnovers · per 100 plays

13.4%

#85Stronger

14.2%

#204

Offensive rebounding %

25.8%

#320

32.2%

slight#262

Free throw rate

28.9%

#69Stronger

26.0%

#198

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

USCCAL

−0.8 191stNet rating86th +5.9

108.7 192ndOffensive rating119th 112.0

109.5 170thDefensive rating91st 106.1

71.6 26thPace123rd 69.1

Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

CAL scoring
CAL offense 77.4 (109th) vs USC defense allowing 78.4 (275th)
+166 spots
CAL getting to the line
CAL offense 28.9% (69th) vs USC defense allowing 26.0% (198th)
+129 spots
USC getting to the line
USC offense 32.1% (18th) vs CAL defense allowing 24.5% (145th)
+127 spots
CAL turnovers
CAL offense 13.4% (85th) vs USC defense allowing 14.2% (204th)
+119 spots
USC offensive rebounding
USC offense 32.4% (108th) vs CAL defense allowing 30.3% (171st)
+63 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

USC

WICH

CAL

2 days rest

CAL

RAD

HOU

USC

2 days rest3rd straight home game

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

USC · last 10

17-14 · 244 days rest

Mar 11 @ WASH2025–26L 79–83
Mar 7 vs UCLA2025–26L 68–89
Mar 4 @ WASH2025–26L 72–91
Feb 28 vs NEB2025–26L 67–82
Feb 24 @ UCLA2025–26L 62–81
Feb 21 vs ORE2025–26L 70–71
Feb 18 vs ILL2025–26L 65–101
Feb 11 @ OSU2025–26L 82–89
Feb 8 @ PSU2025–26W 77–75
Feb 3 vs IU2025–26W 81–75

2-8 in these

CAL · last 10

20-11 · 233 days rest

Mar 22 vs JOES2025–26L 75–76
Mar 18 vs UIC2025–26W 91–73
Mar 11 @ FSU2025–26L 89–95
Mar 7 @ WAKE2025–26L 73–80
Mar 4 @ GT2025–26W 76–65
Feb 28 vs PITT2025–26L 56–72
Feb 25 vs SMU2025–26W 73–69
Feb 21 vs STAN2025–26W 72–66
Feb 14 @ BC2025–26W 86–75
Feb 11 @ SYR2025–26L 100–107

5-5 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

USC Trojans

California Golden Bears

Chad Baker-Mazara

USC vs CAL

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Points No line yet

USC at CAL

Full breakdown

Chad Baker-Mazara's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

the game-by-game chart
hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

USC rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Kam Woods	33.5	10.9	4.5	4.3
Jacob Cofie	32.4	10.1	7.4	2.1
Ezra Ausar	31.9	12.9	7.3	1.6
Chad Baker-Mazara	28.0	17.2	3.8	1.9
Alijah Arenas	27.6	14.1	2.9	2.1
Jordan Marsh	18.5	8.0	2.1	1.4
Jerry Easter II	16.1	3.4	3.1	0.5
Gabe Dynes	11.0	1.6	2.0	0.4

CAL rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
John Camden	33.3	14.5	4.9	1.5
Dai Dai Ames	32.6	16.5	2.3	1.8
Justin Pippen	31.7	13.9	4.3	4.9
Chris Bell	28.6	12.9	2.5	0.5
Lee Dort	22.6	8.1	9.1	0.5
Milos Ilic	21.5	4.7	5.3	1.4
DeJuan Campbell	14.4	3.6	2.1	0.6
Semetri Carr	14.0	2.1	1.7	1.3

Team rankings (2025–26)History

USC offenseper gameCAL defense

Effective FG%

222nd50.4%

49.6%83rd

Turnover %

233rd15.2%

14.0%217th

Offensive rebound %

108th32.4%

30.3%171st

Free throw rate

18th32.1%

24.5%145th

Points

94th77.8

73.3139th

Field goal %

155th45.0%

43.2%91st

2-point %

178th51.8%

51.9%189th

3-point %

294th31.7%

30.9%34th

Free throw %

181st72.6%

65.8%1st

Rebounds

107th36.0

36.7296th

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

USCForAgainst

1st half

35.3

36.7

2nd half

37.4

42.1

Game

72.7

78.8

49% of USC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

CALForAgainst

1st half

36.2

34.7

2nd half

40.4

41.9

Game

76.5

76.6

47% of CAL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

8 meetings

USC 6series2 CAL

Last 8CCUUUUUU

Avg total

145.3

combined points

Avg margin

USC 9.8

per meeting

Biggest win

USC +37

Feb 16, 2023

Last meeting

CAL won

Nov 17, 2024

Every meetingHistory

2024USC 1-2 CAL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Nov 17, 2024	CAL 71	USC 66	CAL+5	+5
Feb 7, 2024	USC 77	CAL 83	CAL+6	+6
Jan 3, 2024	CAL 74	USC 82	USC+8	+8

2023USC 1-0 CAL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 16, 2023	CAL 60	USC 97	USC+37	+37

2022USC 3-0 CAL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Nov 30, 2022	USC 66	CAL 51	USC+15	+15
Jan 29, 2022	CAL 72	USC 79	USC+7	+7
Jan 6, 2022	USC 77	CAL 63	USC+14	+14

2021USC 1-0 CAL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 23, 2021	USC 76	CAL 68	USC+8	+8

Measure	USC16-14 · last 30 games	CAL19-11 · last 30 games	League
2nd half points against	42.9#42 of 361	39.4#196 of 361	39.7
Scoring margin	−1.6#208 of 361	+3.3#95 of 361	−0.5
Margin per 100 possessions	−2.2#209 of 361	+4.8#98 of 361	−0.7
Points allowed per 100 possessions	110.7#164 of 361	106.9#261 of 361	109.9

Measure	USC16-14 · last 30 games	CAL19-11 · last 30 games	League
2nd half points against	42.9#42 of 361	39.4#196 of 361	39.7
Scoring margin	−1.6#208 of 361	+3.3#95 of 361	−0.5
Margin per 100 possessions	−2.2#209 of 361	+4.8#98 of 361	−0.7
Points allowed per 100 possessions	110.7#164 of 361	106.9#261 of 361	109.9

USC vs California — College Basketball, Nov 11, 2026

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What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory