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Lafayette (10-21 in 2025–26) hosts Penn State (12-20 in 2025–26) on Nov 10, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
PSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · LAF defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
LAF offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PSU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
PSULAF
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
PSULAFNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Caleb Williams's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo | 34.1 | 12.4 | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| Josh Reed | 32.6 | 14.4 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Ivan Juric | 28.2 | 11.5 | 6.4 | 1.2 |
| Freddie Dilione V | 28.1 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Dominick Stewart | 25.5 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Eli Rice | 20.3 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| Melih Tunca | 19.2 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Mason Blackwood | 13.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Butler | 34.8 | 11.3 | 2.2 | 4.5 |
| Andrew Phillips | 34.1 | 13.6 | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| Caleb Williams | 32.9 | 16.0 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert | 30.0 | 7.1 | 7.3 | 0.6 |
| Shareef Jackson | 22.9 | 10.5 | 4.2 | 1.5 |
| Ryan Pettit | 20.9 | 6.3 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Misha Bednostin | 13.0 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| KaiMani Murdock | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
PSU offenseper gameLAF defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
PSUForAgainst42% of PSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
LAFForAgainst46% of LAF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
PSU 1series0 LAF| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | LAF 57 | PSU 70 | PSU+13 | +13 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | PSU10-20 · last 30 games | LAF10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points for | 40.7#129 of 361 | 37.1#288 of 361 | 39.5 |
| 1st half points against | 39.2#22 of 361 | 35.3#163 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 109.3#176 of 361 | 103.7#295 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 120.9#8 of 361 | 113.0#105 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.