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Mississippi State (13-19 in 2025–26) hosts Jackson State (12-21 in 2025–26) on Nov 9, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
JKST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · MSST defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
MSST offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · JKST defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
JKSTMSST
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
JKSTMSSTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Daeshun Ruffin's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daeshun Ruffin | 36.4 | 26.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 |
| Jayme Mitchell Jr. | 34.1 | 16.9 | 6.1 | 0.9 |
| Dorian McMillian | 29.0 | 12.2 | 4.2 | 0.9 |
| Jalen Tatum | 28.1 | 9.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| Tamarion Hoover | 22.1 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| Delyle Williams | 21.3 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| Devin Ree | 21.1 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 0.5 |
| Raevon Thomas | 19.2 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 34.3 | 21.3 | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| Jayden Epps | 26.7 | 11.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 24.1 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming | 22.8 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 0.7 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee | 20.7 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Achor Achor | 18.5 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 0.3 |
| Sergej Macura | 18.3 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.5 |
| Quincy Ballard | 18.1 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
JKST offenseper gameMSST defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
JKSTForAgainst48% of JKST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MSSTForAgainst48% of MSST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
JKST 0series2 MSST| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2022 | MSST 69 | JKST 59 | MSST+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2020 | JKST 59 | MSST 82 | MSST+23 | +23 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | JKST12-18 · last 30 games | MSST12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points for | 37.7#266 of 361 | 41.2#99 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.2#323 of 361 | 108.1#208 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −15.8#342 of 361 | −6.6#266 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | −11.2#345 of 361 | −4.7#272 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.