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Air Force (3-29 in 2025–26) hosts Idaho State (10-20 in 2025–26) on Nov 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
IDST offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · AF defense in 0
AF offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · IDST defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
IDSTAF
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
IDSTAFNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Connor Hollenbeck's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Kheil | 29.4 | 7.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 28.8 | 13.1 | 4.7 | 1.4 |
| Lachlan Brewer | 28.4 | 6.9 | 3.0 | 0.9 |
| Jamison Guerra | 22.9 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| Louis Bond | 18.1 | 6.0 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| Caleb Van De Griend | 16.5 | 9.8 | 5.8 | 0.5 |
| Gus Etchison | 16.1 | 11.4 | 1.5 | 2.9 |
| Evan Otten | 14.3 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hobin | 30.7 | 11.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| Kam Sanders | 28.9 | 13.0 | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| Ethan Greenberg | 28.3 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Eli Robinson | 24.9 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 22.7 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Caleb Walker | 18.3 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 0.7 |
| A.J. Patterson | 14.5 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Kolby Gilles | 13.5 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
IDST offenseper gameAF defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
IDSTForAgainst49% of IDST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
AFForAgainst45% of AF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
IDST 0series1 AF| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | IDST 48 | AF 59 | AF+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | IDST10-20 · last 30 games | AF3-27 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 110.6#145 of 361 | 92.7#361 of 361 | 109.2 |
| 2nd half points for | 39.6#173 of 361 | 33.7#354 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 77.7#169 of 361 | 80.9#19 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −5.9#256 of 361 | −27.6#360 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.