Loading the game…
⌘K
St. Thomas (21-9 in 2025–26) hosts Green Bay (16-15 in 2025–26) on Nov 8, 2026, 2:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
GB offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · STMN defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
STMN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · GB defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
GBSTMN
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
GBSTMNNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nolan Minessale's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Ruedinger | 37.3 | 12.3 | 4.1 | 6.3 |
| Marcus Hall | 35.5 | 14.6 | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| C.J. O'Hara | 34.3 | 15.7 | 4.0 | 1.2 |
| Justin Allen | 30.1 | 14.6 | 4.6 | 2.4 |
| Caden Wilkins | 21.3 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| Ramel Bethea | 13.2 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 0.3 |
| Keegan Van Kauwenberg | 10.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| LeBron Thomas | 9.7 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Janowski | 32.9 | 17.2 | 4.8 | 2.2 |
| Nolan Minessale | 31.9 | 19.3 | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Carter Bjerke | 26.0 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Austin Herro | 25.5 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Ben Oosterbaan | 24.9 | 8.7 | 4.7 | 1.5 |
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu | 21.2 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Ryan Dufault | 18.5 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Hayden Tibbits | 13.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
GB offenseper gameSTMN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
GBForAgainst46% of GB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
STMNForAgainst48% of STMN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
GB 1series3 STMN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | GB 61 | STMN 80 | STMN+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2024 | STMN 90 | GB 76 | STMN+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | STMN 51 | GB 64 | GB+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | GB 61 | STMN 82 | STMN+21 | +21 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | GB16-14 · last 30 games | STMN21-9 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 116.7#32 of 361 | 106.2#276 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 45.8%#277 of 361 | 48.3%#53 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Possessions per game | 64.5#334 of 361 | 69.0#122 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Scoring margin | −0.6#186 of 361 | +8.6#30 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.