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UC San Diego (21-11 in 2025–26) hosts Fresno State (12-19 in 2025–26) on Nov 7, 2026, 10:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
FRES offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · UCSD defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
UCSD offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · FRES defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
FRESUCSD
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
DeShawn Gory's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder | 37.1 | 15.6 | 3.0 | 2.1 |
| DeShawn Gory | 34.4 | 17.1 | 7.6 | 2.6 |
| Wilson Jacques | 29.6 | 9.7 | 9.0 | 0.7 |
| Zaon Collins | 27.3 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| David Douglas Jr. | 26.3 | 11.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Bastien Rieber | 23.1 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Cameron Faas | 17.2 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| DJ Stickman | 13.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie | 32.3 | 10.3 | 5.1 | 3.3 |
| Leo Beath | 29.7 | 7.7 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| Alex Chaikin | 29.1 | 8.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Hudson Mayes | 29.1 | 15.2 | 6.9 | 2.6 |
| Bol Dengdit | 24.1 | 11.3 | 5.4 | 1.7 |
| Jaden Vance | 18.5 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| Emanuel Prospere II | 16.3 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| Aidan Burke | 15.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
FRES offenseper gameUCSD defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
FRESForAgainst47% of FRES's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UCSDForAgainst46% of UCSD's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
FRES 0series1 UCSD| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | UCSD 78 | FRES 73 | UCSD+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | FRES12-18 · last 30 games | UCSD19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 46.7%#195 of 361 | 44.9%#328 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Scoring margin | −1.2#201 of 361 | +3.5#94 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −1.7#201 of 361 | +5.1#94 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 107.4#250 of 361 | 102.4#327 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.