Dayton (23-11 in 2025–26) hosts Northern Illinois (7-20 in 2025–26) on Nov 7, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
NIU offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · DAY defense in 4 (2 by a clear margin)
DAY offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · NIU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Javon Bennett's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianni Cobb | 33.9 | 12.0 | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| Makhai Valentine | 33.4 | 13.5 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
| Taj Walters | 32.7 | 10.4 | 5.7 | 0.8 |
| Dylan Ducommun | 29.1 | 8.7 | 2.9 | 3.2 |
| Hassan Washington | 19.7 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 0.5 |
| Gustav Winther | 18.0 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| Daemar Kelly | 17.9 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| Carlos Coronado | 11.0 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett | 36.5 | 15.9 | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery | 30.8 | 11.5 | 4.6 | 2.1 |
| Keonte Jones | 29.3 | 5.8 | 4.7 | 2.3 |
| Amaël L'Etang | 26.5 | 13.0 | 5.9 | 1.9 |
| Jordan Derkack | 23.0 | 11.2 | 4.8 | 1.8 |
| Jaiun Simon | 22.4 | 6.0 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| Bryce Heard | 19.6 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| Jacob Conner | 13.1 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
45% of NIU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
50% of DAY's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | DAY+38 | +38 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | NIU8-22 · last 30 games | DAY20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin per 100 possessions | −16.1#345 of 361 | +5.3#89 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −13.5#321 of 361 | +11.0#67 of 361 | −0.5 |
| 1st half points against | 38.6#34 of 361 | 33.1#274 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.8#84 of 361 | 103.1#320 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.