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Louisville (23-10 in 2025–26) hosts Morehead State (15-11 in 2025–26) on Nov 7, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MORE offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · LOU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
LOU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MORE defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MORELOU
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MORELOUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Mikel Brown Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Marshall | 32.3 | 15.1 | 4.6 | 2.1 |
| Anouar Mellouk | 28.5 | 9.1 | 4.8 | 0.8 |
| Chase Dawson | 27.4 | 8.2 | 1.6 | 3.3 |
| Davion Cunningham | 27.2 | 12.5 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| Jon Carroll | 26.8 | 12.3 | 8.3 | 0.5 |
| Vince Dawson III | 17.9 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| Josiah LeGree | 14.7 | 6.4 | 1.3 | 2.9 |
| Tamaury Releford | 12.7 | 4.8 | 3.7 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Conwell | 32.2 | 17.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 31.1 | 19.6 | 3.6 | 4.4 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 28.3 | 13.3 | 4.9 | 1.4 |
| Isaac McKneely | 27.5 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Sananda Fru | 20.7 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 1.3 |
| Adrian Wooley | 20.4 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Khani Rooths | 15.5 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 0.7 |
| Aly Khalifa | 11.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
MORE offenseper gameLOU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MOREForAgainst46% of MORE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
LOUForAgainst48% of LOU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MORE 0series1 LOU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2024 | MORE 45 | LOU 93 | LOU+48 | +48 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MORE16-14 · last 30 games | LOU20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points for | 32.8#261 of 361 | 40.0#19 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Scoring margin | −3.9#256 of 361 | +10.4#18 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −6.0#257 of 361 | +15.0#19 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.6#90 of 361 | 104.5#299 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Feb 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.