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Alabama (23-9 in 2025–26) hosts Arkansas State (18-12 in 2025–26) on Nov 6, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ARST offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ALA defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
ALA offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · ARST defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
ARSTALA
Expected pace: about 73 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
ARSTALANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Labaron Philon Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Harmon | 29.8 | 15.4 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Jalen Hampton | 28.2 | 9.2 | 10.6 | 1.5 |
| Chandler Jackson | 27.7 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 5.0 |
| Matt Hayman | 23.2 | 11.5 | 3.1 | 2.2 |
| Aly Tounkara | 23.2 | 5.6 | 8.0 | 0.5 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 20.2 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 0.5 |
| TJ Caldwell | 19.1 | 9.4 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Joey Chammaa | 15.9 | 8.6 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labaron Philon Jr. | 32.3 | 21.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 |
| Amari Allen | 28.8 | 11.6 | 6.4 | 2.6 |
| Aden Holloway | 28.1 | 15.3 | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. | 27.9 | 14.1 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| Aiden Sherrell | 26.5 | 12.5 | 6.3 | 1.5 |
| Houston Mallette | 23.0 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 1.1 |
| Charles Bediako | 21.6 | 10.0 | 4.6 | 0.2 |
| London Jemison | 15.3 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
ARST offenseper gameALA defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
ARSTForAgainst48% of ARST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
ALAForAgainst48% of ALA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ARST 0series2 ALA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2024 | ARST 79 | ALA 88 | ALA+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2023 | ARST 65 | ALA 89 | ALA+24 | +24 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ARST18-12 · last 30 games | ALA21-9 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 107.5#248 of 361 | 113.1#102 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 46.6%#205 of 361 | 45.3%#305 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 112.6#103 of 361 | 123.3#5 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 47.0%#153 of 361 | 48.2%#64 of 361 | 46.8% |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.