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Florida State (18-15 in 2025–26) hosts Troy (19-11 in 2025–26) on Nov 6, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
TROY offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · FSU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
FSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · TROY defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
TROYFSU
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
TROYFSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Robert McCray V's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd | 37.4 | 14.0 | 10.1 | 2.4 |
| Cooper Campbell | 34.3 | 11.9 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Victor Valdes | 29.3 | 13.6 | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Cobi Campbell | 27.9 | 7.1 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Theo Seng | 26.7 | 12.2 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 22.2 | 11.4 | 3.4 | 0.7 |
| Austin Cross | 16.5 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 15.2 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lajae Jones | 32.9 | 14.7 | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| Robert McCray V | 30.0 | 19.6 | 3.9 | 5.5 |
| Chauncey Wiggins | 29.1 | 14.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| Martin Somerville | 26.7 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| Thomas Bassong | 24.1 | 6.1 | 4.0 | 0.5 |
| Alex Steen | 22.6 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 1.1 |
| AJ Swinton | 18.5 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Kobe MaGee | 14.3 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
TROY offenseper gameFSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
TROYForAgainst46% of TROY's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
FSUForAgainst49% of FSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
TROY 1series0 FSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2022 | TROY 79 | FSU 72 | TROY+7 | +7 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | TROY19-11 · last 30 games | FSU16-14 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 44.9%#326 of 361 | 48.2%#62 of 361 | 46.8% |
| 1st half points against | 32.0#311 of 361 | 36.6#96 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 108.4#231 of 361 | 111.4#151 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +5.2#90 of 361 | +0.6#159 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.