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Kansas (23-10 in 2025–26) hosts Middle Tennessee (14-15 in 2025–26) on Nov 6, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MTSU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · KU defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
KU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MTSU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MTSUKU
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MTSUKUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Darryn Peterson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torey Alston | 32.7 | 14.6 | 8.3 | 1.7 |
| Kamari Lands | 29.7 | 14.0 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| Chris Loofe | 27.2 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 0.7 |
| Jahvin Carter | 25.7 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Sean Smith | 23.1 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 3.3 |
| Alec Oglesby | 22.6 | 7.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Tre Green | 17.9 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. | 14.2 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Council Jr. | 35.9 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 5.4 |
| Flory Bidunga | 32.6 | 12.7 | 9.4 | 1.4 |
| Tre White | 30.9 | 12.6 | 6.2 | 1.3 |
| Darryn Peterson | 29.5 | 18.1 | 4.3 | 1.4 |
| Bryson Tiller | 27.4 | 8.3 | 6.4 | 1.5 |
| Jamari McDowell | 17.9 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Elmarko Jackson | 17.1 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Jayden Dawson | 7.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
MTSU offenseper gameKU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MTSUForAgainst46% of MTSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
KUForAgainst48% of KU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
No meetings yet on record between these two teams.
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MTSU14-16 · last 30 games | KU21-9 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.6#168 of 361 | 103.1#321 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin | −1.2#201 of 361 | +4.8#68 of 361 | −0.5 |
| 2nd half points against | 39.7#182 of 361 | 36.7#315 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −1.7#202 of 361 | +7.1#71 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.