Michigan vs UConn Odds, Stats & Props — Nov 6

MarketMarket

Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

Pro

Model's read

The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.

Start 7-day free trial See the record

What to know

Scoring margin

MICH +17.6 · CONN +12.4

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

MICH 9-1 · CONN 7-3

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

MICH 3d · CONN 3d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

MICH offensevsCONN defense

MICH offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · CONN defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

58.1%

#9

45.7%

slight#8

Turnovers · per 100 plays

14.6%

#181

15.8%

Stronger#94

Offensive rebounding %

35.4%

#42slight

28.7%

#94

Free throw rate

28.2%

#92Stronger

28.9%

#289

CONN offensevsMICH defense

CONN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MICH defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

55.3%

#33

44.7%

slight#2

Turnovers · per 100 plays

14.4%

#166Stronger

13.6%

#250

Offensive rebounding %

35.7%

#33slight

27.7%

#60

Free throw rate

21.5%

#305

19.7%

Stronger#24

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

MICHCONN

+24.8 3rdNet rating11th +18.8

122.4 10thOffensive rating49th 117.7

97.6 8thDefensive rating14th 98.9

70.9 44thPace289th 65.8

Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

MICH getting to the line
MICH offense 28.2% (92nd) vs CONN defense allowing 28.9% (289th)
+197 spots
CONN turnovers
CONN offense 14.4% (166th) vs MICH defense allowing 13.6% (250th)
+84 spots
MICH offensive rebounding
MICH offense 35.4% (42nd) vs CONN defense allowing 28.7% (94th)
+52 spots
CONN offensive rebounding
CONN offense 35.7% (33rd) vs MICH defense allowing 27.7% (60th)
+27 spots
MICH 2-point shooting
MICH offense 61.0% (5th) vs CONN defense allowing 45.8% (12th)
+7 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

MICH

OAK

CONN

3 days rest

CONN

GWEB

MICH

3 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

MICH · last 10

31-3 · 213 days rest

Apr 6 vs CONN2025–26W 69–63
Apr 4 @ ARIZ2025–26W 91–73
Mar 29 vs TENN2025–26W 95–62
Mar 27 vs ALA2025–26W 90–77
Mar 21 vs SLU2025–26W 95–72
Mar 19 vs HOW2025–26W 101–80
Mar 15 vs PUR2025–26L 72–80
Mar 14 vs WIS2025–26W 68–65
Mar 13 vs OSU2025–26W 71–67
Mar 8 vs MSU2025–26W 90–80

9-1 in these

CONN · last 10

29-5 · 213 days rest

Apr 6 @ MICH2025–26L 63–69
Apr 4 vs ILL2025–26W 71–62
Mar 29 @ DUKE2025–26W 73–72
Mar 27 vs MSU2025–26W 67–63
Mar 22 vs UCLA2025–26W 73–57
Mar 20 vs FUR2025–26W 82–71
Mar 14 @ SJU2025–26L 52–72
Mar 13 vs GTWN2025–26W 67–51
Mar 12 vs XAV2025–26W 93–68
Mar 7 @ MARQ2025–26L 62–68

7-3 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

Michigan Wolverines

UConn Huskies

Yaxel Lendeborg

MICH vs CONN

Player page →

Points No line yet

MICH at CONN

Full breakdown

Yaxel Lendeborg's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

the game-by-game chart
hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

MICH rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Yaxel Lendeborg	33.9	14.8	6.7	3.3
Elliot Cadeau	28.9	10.1	2.3	6.1
Morez Johnson Jr.	27.2	12.4	7.6	1.1
Aday Mara	23.4	12.5	6.7	2.3
Trey McKenney	23.1	9.1	2.5	0.9
Nimari Burnett	19.1	7.8	2.3	0.9
Roddy Gayle Jr.	18.9	4.4	2.9	0.8
L.J. Cason	18.1	9.9	1.4	2.7

CONN rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Alex Karaban	34.1	11.5	5.2	2.7
Silas Demary Jr.	32.3	11.8	4.9	6.3
Solo Ball	29.1	12.8	2.9	1.8
Braylon Mullins	28.8	12.3	3.3	1.2
Tarris Reed Jr.	26.5	13.0	8.3	2.7
Jayden Ross	17.9	4.7	2.4	1.2
Eric Reibe	13.6	6.5	3.5	0.6
Jaylin Stewart	12.1	2.7	1.7	0.6

Team rankings (2025–26)History

MICH offenseper gameCONN defense

Effective FG%

9th58.1%

45.7%8th

Turnover %

181st14.6%

15.8%94th

Offensive rebound %

42nd35.4%

28.7%94th

Free throw rate

92nd28.2%

28.9%289th

Points

8th86.8

65.17th

Field goal %

6th50.5%

40.2%13th

2-point %

5th61.0%

45.8%12th

3-point %

57th36.0%

30.3%13th

Free throw %

93rd74.7%

71.9%147th

Rebounds

14th40.0

30.916th

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

MICHForAgainst

1st half

39.8

35.4

2nd half

42.6

35.4

Game

82.4

70.8

48% of MICH's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

CONNForAgainst

1st half

36.8

33.6

2nd half

35.8

33.4

Game

72.6

67.1

51% of CONN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

1 meetings

MICH 1series0 CONN

Last 1M

Avg total

132.0

combined points

Avg margin

MICH 6.0

per meeting

Biggest win

MICH +6

Apr 6, 2026

Last meeting

MICH won

Apr 6, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026MICH 1-0 CONN

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Apr 6, 2026	CONN 63	MICH 69	MICH+6	+6

Measure	MICH27-3 · last 30 games	CONN25-5 · last 30 games	League
Possessions per game	70.1#73 of 361	65.3#306 of 361	68.0
2nd half points for	43.4#32 of 361	38.0#255 of 361	39.5
1st half points against	33.2#265 of 361	31.3#335 of 361	35.0
Points scored per 100 possessions	123.4#4 of 361	115.9#61 of 361	109.2

Measure	MICH27-3 · last 30 games	CONN25-5 · last 30 games	League
Possessions per game	70.1#73 of 361	65.3#306 of 361	68.0
2nd half points for	43.4#32 of 361	38.0#255 of 361	39.5
1st half points against	33.2#265 of 361	31.3#335 of 361	35.0
Points scored per 100 possessions	123.4#4 of 361	115.9#61 of 361	109.2

Michigan vs UConn — College Basketball, Nov 6, 2026

MarketMarket

Model's read

What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory