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Purdue (27-8 in 2025–26) hosts Valparaiso (17-14 in 2025–26) on Nov 6, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
VAL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PUR defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
PUR offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · VAL defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
VALPUR
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
VALPURNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Fletcher Loyer's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Dease | 31.0 | 11.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| Rakim Chaney | 29.7 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| JT Pettigrew | 29.5 | 13.5 | 7.6 | 2.2 |
| Brody Whitaker | 28.6 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Shon Tupuola | 24.7 | 6.2 | 5.1 | 1.1 |
| Justus McNair | 22.1 | 9.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Carter Hopoi | 13.3 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| Sader Servilus | 12.9 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith | 35.8 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 8.8 |
| Fletcher Loyer | 31.2 | 15.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn | 29.4 | 15.0 | 8.4 | 2.5 |
| C.J. Cox | 24.5 | 7.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Oscar Cluff | 24.4 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 1.5 |
| Jack Benter | 15.3 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Gicarri Harris | 14.7 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Omer Mayer | 13.8 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
VAL offenseper gamePUR defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
VALForAgainst47% of VAL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
PURForAgainst49% of PUR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
VAL 0series1 PUR| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2020 | VAL 61 | PUR 68 | PUR+7 | +7 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | VAL16-14 · last 30 games | PUR22-8 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 45.6%#286 of 361 | 49.0%#19 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.1#206 of 361 | 125.3#1 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −0.9#185 of 361 | +16.9#12 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | −0.6#184 of 361 | +10.9#13 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.