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Fairfield (20-13 in 2025–26) hosts Vermont (20-12 in 2025–26) on Nov 5, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UVM offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · FAIR defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
FAIR offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UVM defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UVMFAIR
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UVMFAIRNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
TJ Hurley's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Hurley | 31.9 | 17.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| Sean Blake | 30.0 | 9.9 | 4.5 | 3.6 |
| Gus Yalden | 28.3 | 15.2 | 6.2 | 2.4 |
| TJ Long | 25.8 | 9.9 | 4.4 | 1.2 |
| Noah Barnett | 22.9 | 5.8 | 3.5 | 0.7 |
| Lucas Mari | 20.4 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 1.1 |
| Ben Johnson | 19.4 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Momo Nkugwa | 15.0 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Sparks | 35.3 | 16.9 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig | 32.7 | 12.1 | 9.5 | 1.9 |
| Brandon Benjamin | 31.7 | 15.1 | 10.6 | 1.4 |
| Tony Williams | 24.7 | 7.5 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Halon Rawlins | 19.5 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Eric Mejia | 19.0 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Deuce Turner | 18.4 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 8.7 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 0.0 |
UVM offenseper gameFAIR defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UVMForAgainst45% of UVM's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
FAIRForAgainst47% of FAIR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UVM 0series1 FAIR| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2024 | UVM 66 | FAIR 67 | FAIR+1 | +1 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UVM18-12 · last 30 games | FAIR19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −0.9#90 of 361 | +2.1#238 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 45.7%#281 of 361 | 47.1%#151 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Possessions per game | 63.8#350 of 361 | 66.4#266 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 106.6#266 of 361 | 108.6#223 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.