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Florida (25-7 in 2025–26) hosts Jacksonville (10-18 in 2025–26) on Nov 5, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
JAX offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · FLA defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
FLA offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · JAX defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
JAXFLA
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
JAXFLANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Thomas Haugh's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Wood | 31.9 | 16.1 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. | 26.9 | 8.8 | 6.6 | 0.6 |
| Chris Lockett Jr. | 26.8 | 9.9 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| Jaylen Jones | 26.5 | 8.7 | 4.1 | 2.7 |
| Evan Sterck | 25.3 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| Donovan Rivers | 20.9 | 9.1 | 4.1 | 0.6 |
| Allen Udemadu | 13.6 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 0.3 |
| Chris Arias | 12.3 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Haugh | 32.7 | 16.6 | 5.6 | 1.8 |
| Alex Condon | 30.7 | 15.7 | 7.0 | 3.4 |
| Boogie Fland | 30.1 | 11.7 | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| Xaivian Lee | 26.9 | 11.3 | 3.2 | 5.3 |
| Rueben Chinyelu | 25.3 | 10.3 | 12.5 | 0.7 |
| Urban Klavzar | 20.9 | 10.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Micah Handlogten | 14.7 | 3.4 | 5.4 | 0.9 |
| Isaiah Brown | 14.7 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
JAX offenseper gameFLA defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
JAXForAgainst50% of JAX's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
FLAForAgainst47% of FLA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
JAX 0series1 FLA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | JAX 60 | FLA 81 | FLA+21 | +21 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | JAX11-19 · last 30 games | FLA24-6 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 64.7#327 of 361 | 71.1#36 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points for | 36.8#295 of 361 | 45.2#9 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 115.0#59 of 361 | 101.1#337 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin | −4.6#269 of 361 | +13.8#9 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.