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Kansas State (12-20 in 2025–26) hosts South Dakota State (11-18 in 2025–26) on Nov 3, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SDST offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · KSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
KSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · SDST defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SDSTKSU
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
P.J. Haggerty's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Sayler | 35.2 | 17.2 | 3.9 | 2.2 |
| Jaden Jackson | 32.7 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 2.9 |
| Matthew Mors | 30.5 | 9.5 | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| Kalen Garry | 29.9 | 10.3 | 5.1 | 3.3 |
| Damon Wilkinson | 26.3 | 15.1 | 5.9 | 1.3 |
| Bubz Alvarez | 17.3 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| Luke Haertle | 16.2 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 1.7 |
| Alec Squires | 13.5 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Haggerty | 38.0 | 24.0 | 5.7 | 2.9 |
| Nate Johnson | 35.4 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| David Castillo | 33.3 | 8.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Taj Manning | 28.8 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 1.3 |
| Khamari McGriff | 20.2 | 9.2 | 4.4 | 1.0 |
| C.J. Jones | 19.9 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Andrej Kostic | 17.6 | 7.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Dorin Buca | 14.1 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 0.2 |
SDST offenseper gameKSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
SDSTForAgainst47% of SDST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
KSUForAgainst47% of KSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SDST 0series1 KSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2023 | SDST 68 | KSU 91 | KSU+23 | +23 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SDST11-19 · last 30 games | KSU10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 67.7#204 of 361 | 73.0#10 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 75.9#216 of 361 | 79.9#26 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −3.7#155 of 361 | −1.2#293 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.6#167 of 361 | 113.4#95 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.