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San Diego State (21-11 in 2025–26) hosts Cal State Fullerton (16-16 in 2025–26) on Nov 3, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CSUF offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · SDSU defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
SDSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CSUF defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CSUFSDSU
Expected pace: about 72 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Reese Dixon-Waters's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Ward | 30.1 | 14.7 | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 28.0 | 10.6 | 5.4 | 2.4 |
| Christian Williams | 24.4 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Bryce Cofield | 20.5 | 6.9 | 4.3 | 2.1 |
| Bailey Nunn | 20.4 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Landon Seaman | 20.0 | 10.5 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| Kendrick De Luna | 18.3 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| KJ Garris | 16.0 | 8.4 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Dixon-Waters | 31.9 | 15.2 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| Miles Byrd | 28.9 | 10.5 | 5.1 | 2.4 |
| Elzie Harrington | 24.4 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| BJ Davis | 22.6 | 9.9 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Taj DeGourville | 20.5 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 3.9 |
| Magoon Gwath | 19.8 | 8.4 | 4.4 | 0.3 |
| Miles Heide | 18.6 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 0.4 |
| Tae Simmons | 17.8 | 6.7 | 4.0 | 0.4 |
CSUF offenseper gameSDSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CSUFForAgainst44% of CSUF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
SDSUForAgainst49% of SDSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CSUF 0series3 SDSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2023 | CSUF 57 | SDSU 83 | SDSU+26 | +26 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2022 | CSUF 57 | SDSU 80 | SDSU+23 | +23 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2021 | CSUF 56 | SDSU 66 | SDSU+10 | +10 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CSUF16-14 · last 30 games | SDSU19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 43.9%#351 of 361 | 48.9%#25 of 361 | 46.8% |
| 1st half points against | 38.5#37 of 361 | 32.9#280 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 109.6#195 of 361 | 103.7#309 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −1.0#190 of 361 | +6.1#80 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.