Missouri (20-12 in 2025–26) hosts Cleveland State (8-22 in 2025–26) on Nov 3, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CLE offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MIZ defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
MIZ offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · CLE defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Mark Mitchell Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Beard | 32.6 | 12.1 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Dayan Nessah | 31.8 | 18.6 | 7.0 | 3.9 |
| Jaidon Lipscomb | 31.1 | 15.3 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Josiah Harris | 26.0 | 9.9 | 6.2 | 1.2 |
| Chevalier Emery | 22.9 | 12.9 | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Foster Wonders | 22.7 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Preist Ryan | 17.7 | 6.4 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
| Holden Pierre-Louis | 16.1 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. | 35.9 | 19.2 | 5.2 | 3.8 |
| Jayden Stone | 31.7 | 12.2 | 5.1 | 1.5 |
| T.O. Barrett | 29.7 | 12.9 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Trent Pierce | 29.5 | 10.5 | 3.8 | 0.8 |
| Anthony Robinson II | 23.1 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. | 21.2 | 7.7 | 5.4 | 0.5 |
| Jacob Crews | 17.7 | 4.7 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| Trent Burns | 10.3 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 0.0 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
44% of CLE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
44% of MIZ's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | MIZ+27 | +27 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CLE8-22 · last 30 games | MIZ18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −14.8#332 of 361 | +11.9#55 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −14.2#333 of 361 | +5.5#87 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 45.0%#321 of 361 | 47.5%#112 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Possessions per game | 70.6#49 of 361 | 67.7#202 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.