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Tennessee State (16-9 in 2025–26) and Murray State (20-12 in 2025–26) meet at a neutral site on Nov 2, 2026, 11:30 AM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MUR offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · TNST defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
TNST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MUR defense in 2
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MURTNST
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Aaron Nkrumah's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Domon | 29.5 | 16.1 | 5.1 | 1.6 |
| Javon Jackson | 28.1 | 16.1 | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| Fred King | 25.3 | 13.3 | 8.3 | 0.5 |
| Layne Taylor | 23.1 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| JJ Traynor | 22.5 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Mason Miller | 22.3 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 0.3 |
| KJ Tenner | 19.2 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Mathis Courbon | 13.1 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Harris | 32.1 | 9.7 | 3.6 | 5.7 |
| Aaron Nkrumah | 31.9 | 18.4 | 5.8 | 3.2 |
| Travis Harper II | 30.8 | 16.9 | 4.3 | 0.9 |
| Jalen Pitre | 26.2 | 5.4 | 5.8 | 0.7 |
| Antoine Lorick III | 24.7 | 11.1 | 5.5 | 1.0 |
| Carlous Williams | 18.3 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Khalil London | 14.1 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Jabrion Spikes | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
MUR offenseper gameTNST defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MURForAgainst49% of MUR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
TNSTForAgainst47% of TNST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MUR 3series0 TNST| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | MUR 73 | TNST 62 | MUR+11 | +11 |
| Jan 13, 2022 | TNST 44 | MUR 67 | MUR+23 | +23 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2021 | TNST 53 | MUR 73 | MUR+20 | +20 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MUR18-12 · last 30 games | TNST18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 44.1#16 of 361 | 38.8#225 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.5#92 of 361 | 105.8#283 of 361 | 109.9 |
| 2nd half points for | 43.2#37 of 361 | 40.3#145 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 116.0#59 of 361 | 110.4#149 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Feb 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.