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Louisville (23-10 in 2025–26) hosts Chattanooga (10-19 in 2025–26) on Nov 2, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UTC offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · LOU defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
LOU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · UTC defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UTCLOU
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Mikel Brown Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Darner | 32.1 | 10.9 | 4.8 | 2.1 |
| Jordan Frison | 31.4 | 18.1 | 3.2 | 3.8 |
| Brennan Watkins | 30.8 | 13.0 | 4.3 | 2.1 |
| Billy Smith | 21.1 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| Teddy Washington Jr. | 19.5 | 8.1 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| Collin Mulholland | 17.3 | 8.2 | 3.6 | 1.8 |
| Houston Holland | 12.8 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| Makai Richards | 12.7 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Conwell | 32.2 | 17.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 31.1 | 19.6 | 3.6 | 4.4 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 28.3 | 13.3 | 4.9 | 1.4 |
| Isaac McKneely | 27.5 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Sananda Fru | 20.7 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 1.3 |
| Adrian Wooley | 20.4 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Khani Rooths | 15.5 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 0.7 |
| Aly Khalifa | 11.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
UTC offenseper gameLOU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UTCForAgainst46% of UTC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
LOUForAgainst48% of LOU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UTC 1series0 LOU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | UTC 81 | LOU 71 | UTC+10 | +10 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UTC10-20 · last 30 games | LOU20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 116.8#31 of 361 | 104.5#299 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −5.8#254 of 361 | +15.0#19 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | −3.9#252 of 361 | +10.4#18 of 361 | −0.5 |
| 1st half points for | 34.6#194 of 361 | 40.0#19 of 361 | 34.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.