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UCF (21-11 in 2025–26) hosts Florida Gulf Coast (14-17 in 2025–26) on Nov 2, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
FGCU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UCF defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
UCF offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · FGCU defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
FGCUUCF
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
J.R. Konieczny's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Konieczny | 33.6 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 2.7 |
| Rahmir Barno | 31.5 | 10.1 | 2.2 | 4.5 |
| Jordan Ellerbee | 29.6 | 12.9 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| Michael Duax | 27.3 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 1.3 |
| Isaiah Malone | 26.1 | 12.3 | 6.1 | 0.5 |
| Rory Stewart | 19.8 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| Darren Williams | 17.3 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Tristen Guillouette | 13.6 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks | 33.9 | 14.2 | 2.7 | 5.9 |
| Jordan Burks | 32.1 | 13.6 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| Jamichael Stillwell | 30.2 | 10.8 | 8.1 | 2.9 |
| Riley Kugel | 29.3 | 14.2 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| John Bol | 22.6 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 0.3 |
| Chris Johnson | 18.5 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Devan Cambridge | 16.1 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 14.0 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
FGCU offenseper gameUCF defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
FGCUForAgainst47% of FGCU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UCFForAgainst46% of UCF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
FGCU 0series1 UCF| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | FGCU 80 | UCF 102 | UCF+22 | +22 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | FGCU14-16 · last 30 games | UCF20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 44.4%#345 of 361 | 47.4%#136 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 71.3#206 of 361 | 85.8#30 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Possessions per game | 69.0#124 of 361 | 70.3#59 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +0.5#162 of 361 | +4.2#108 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.