Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Katlyn Cerminara

5:00 PM ET· scheduled
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Thin market — no sportsbook has priced this fight. Every probability below is model-only, with nothing to check it against.
Model pickThe fight model's single most likely outcome: predicted winner, their most likely method of victory, and whether it ends inside the distance. Full probability breakdown below.
Jamey-Lyn Horthby DEC
71% to win · 46% that it’s by DEC · 73% this goes the distance
Model fair price -240
Probetrics fight model
Katlyn Cerminara
29% +240
Jamey-Lyn Horth
71% -240
How it ends
Cerminara by KO/TKO
1.1%
fair +9084
Cerminara by SUB
1.1%
fair +9084
Cerminara by DEC
27.3%
fair +267
Horth by KO/TKO
21.4%
fair +368
Horth by SUB
3.5%
fair +2782
Horth by DEC
45.7%
fair +119

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R114.6%fair +586
Ends in R28.0%fair +1147
Ends in R34.4%fair +2168
Goes distance73.0%fair -270
How this fight plays out

The model makes Horth a clear 71% favorite. Striking volume is near even (4.8 vs 3.9 per minute), so the fight likely turns on damage rather than output. Cerminara tends to settle in for the long haul — 9 of 11 tracked fights reached the judges. Horth's most likely path is on the scorecards (46%), and the fight goes the distance 73% of the time.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.