NFL · Props

Cam Skattebo

RB · New York Giants

Rush yds/g: 81.0
Rec/g: 0.0
Rec yds/g: 0.0
Targets/g: 0.0
2026 games: 1

Props this week

Rush yds 50.5

Over -113 · Under -113 · books price the over at 50% · moved 49.5 → 50.5

NYG at LAR · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 8 days rest

LAR allows the 13th-fewest rushing yards to RBs (93 a game over its last 17)

Teammate

What if the line were50.5

6 of 9 over67%range 40–86%avg 53% of snapsbooks price 50% at 50.5 (-113 FD)

Middle half of these games: 45–79 · median 60 · range -3–98

Projected range · contextmedian 50middle half 30–7280% range 18.3–98

How his rush yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share

Skattebo's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Carry share	41.1%	48.0%	48.6%	43.2%
Carries a game	12.3	16.0	18.0	12.6
Snap share	47.3%	59.3%	61.0%	52.3%

Driver	NYG offense	LAR defense faces
Rushes per game	27.4 #3	24.8 #12
Rush rate over expected	+2.7 #7	+0.7 #11
Early-down rush rate	49.8% #4	42.7% #24

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Market curve vs his games

● books price the over (hollow = one side priced, margin included) · ● his games over that number

Number	Best over	Books price	His games
	-1600 FD	94%*	78% (7/9)
	-750 FD	90%*	78% (7/9)
	-225 FD	69%*	78% (7/9)
main	-140 MGM	54%	67% (6/9)
main	-113 FD	50%	67% (6/9)
main	-114 DK	50%	67% (6/9)
	+142 FD	41%*	56% (5/9)
	+225 FD	31%*	33% (3/9)
	+250 MGM	29%*	33% (3/9)
	+490 FD	17%*	11% (1/9)
	+680 FD	13%*	0% (0/9)
	+920 FD	10%*	0% (0/9)
	+1400 FD	7%*	0% (0/9)

* A one-sided price includes the book's margin, which is larger on far alternates, so the probability reads a little high. Numbers a book has not refreshed in a while, and old main lines it has moved off, are left out.

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

Split	Over	Rate	Avg	Med
Last 5	4/5	80%	62.0	60
Last 10	6/9	67%	54.6	60
2026 season	1/1	100%	81.0	81
2025 season	5/8	63%	51.3	59.5
At home	4/4	100%	79.5	80
On the road	2/5	40%	34.6	45
As an underdog	6/9	67%	54.6	60
Prime time	3/3	100%	79.7	81
With Jaxson Dart	5/6	83%	64.8	69.5
Vs middling defenses	2/3	67%	68.3	79

Books and line movement

Book	Line	Over	Under
MGM	48.5	-140	+105
DK	51.5	-114	-110
FD	50.5	-113	-113

Sep 21, 1:43 AM ET50.5▲ 1
Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET49.5first seen

Rec yds 11.5

Over -113 · Under -108 · books price the over at 50%

NYG at LAR · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 8 days rest

LAR allows the 2nd-most receiving yards to RBs (45 a game over its last 17)

Teammate

What if the line were11.5

7 of 9 over78%range 50–92%avg 53% of snapsbooks price 50% at 11.5 (-113 FD)

Middle half of these games: 12–34 · median 14 · range 0–61

Volume drivers and his share

Skattebo's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Target share	9.5%	11.2%	0.0%	13.2%
Targets a game	2.7	3.2	0.0	4.0
Snap share	47.3%	59.3%	61.0%	52.3%

Driver	NYG offense	LAR defense faces
Dropbacks per game	36.0 #18	39.8 #4
Pass rate over expected	−2.7 #26	−0.7 #22
Neutral-script pass rate	49.2% #29	55.1% #15
Dropback success rate	45.3% #16	46.4% #13

Throw quality

Passes to him	Skattebo	League	NYG offense	LAR defense faces
Catchable-target rate	81.3%	68.1%	67.9% #16	69.5% #16
Drop rate	3.8%	5.5%	5.6% #13	6.0% #13
Contested-target rate	6.3%	13.0%	12.2% #22	12.8% #15
Pressure on his QB	—	29.7%	31.1% #10	32.5% #7

His last 8 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Market curve vs his games

● books price the over (hollow = one side priced, margin included) · ● his games over that number

Number	Best over	Books price	His games
main	-113 FD	50%	78% (7/9)
main	-115 MGM	50%	56% (5/9)
	+250 MGM	29%*	33% (3/9)

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

Split	Over	Rate	Avg	Med
Last 5	4/5	80%	21.8	18
Last 10	7/9	78%	23.0	14
2026 season	0/1	0%	0.0	0
2025 season	7/8	88%	25.9	16
At home	2/4	50%	21.0	11.5
On the road	5/5	100%	24.6	18
As an underdog	7/9	78%	23.0	14
Prime time	2/3	67%	24.3	12
With Jaxson Dart	4/6	67%	20.0	15
Vs soft defenses	2/3	67%	16.0	14

Books and line movement

Book	Line	Over	Under
MGM	12.5	-115	-115
DK	11.5	-116	-108
FD	11.5	-113	-113

Steady at 11.5 since Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET.

Receptions 1.5

Over -143 · Under +120 · books price the over at 57%

NYG at LAR · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 8 days rest

LAR allows the 2nd-most receptions to RBs (5.4 a game over its last 17)

Teammate

What if the line were1.5

7 of 9 over78%range 50–92%avg 53% of snapsbooks price 57% at 1.5 (-143 DK)

Middle half of these games: 2–3 · median 2 · range 0–6

Projected range · contextmedian 2middle half 0.9–3.580% range 0–4.7

How his receptions tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share

Skattebo's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Target share	9.5%	11.2%	0.0%	13.2%
Targets a game	2.7	3.2	0.0	4.0
Snap share	47.3%	59.3%	61.0%	52.3%

Driver	NYG offense	LAR defense faces
Dropbacks per game	36.0 #18	39.8 #4
Pass rate over expected	−2.7 #26	−0.7 #22
Neutral-script pass rate	49.2% #29	55.1% #15
Dropback success rate	45.3% #16	46.4% #13

Throw quality

Passes to him	Skattebo	League	NYG offense	LAR defense faces
Catchable-target rate	81.3%	68.1%	67.9% #16	69.5% #16
Drop rate	3.8%	5.5%	5.6% #13	6.0% #13
Contested-target rate	6.3%	13.0%	12.2% #22	12.8% #15
Pressure on his QB	—	29.7%	31.1% #10	32.5% #7

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

Split	Over	Rate	Avg	Med
Last 5	3/5	60%	2.4	2
Last 10	7/9	78%	2.7	2
2026 season	0/1	0%	0.0	0
2025 season	7/8	88%	3.0	2
At home	3/4	75%	2.5	2
On the road	4/5	80%	2.8	2
As an underdog	7/9	78%	2.7	2
Prime time	2/3	67%	2.7	2
With Jaxson Dart	4/6	67%	2.3	2
Vs soft defenses	0/1	0%	0.0	0

Books and line movement

Book	Line	Over	Under
MGM	1.5	-160	+120
DK	1.5	-143	+112
FD	1.5	-154	+116

Steady at 1.5 since Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET.

Rush + rec yds 68.5

Over -115 · Under -111 · books price the over at 50%

NYG at LAR · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 8 days rest

LAR allows the 9th-most rushing + receiving yards to RBs (138 a game over its last 17)

Teammate

What if the line were68.5

6 of 9 over67%range 40–86%avg 53% of snapsbooks price 50% at 68.5 (-115 DK)

Middle half of these games: 59–104 · median 90 · range 9–121

Projected range · contextmedian 68middle half 43–9880% range 23–129

How his rush + rec yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share

Skattebo's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Target share	9.5%	11.2%	0.0%	13.2%
Carry share	41.1%	48.0%	48.6%	43.2%
Touches a game	15.0	19.2	18.0	16.6
Snap share	47.3%	59.3%	61.0%	52.3%

Driver	NYG offense	LAR defense faces
Rushes per game	27.4 #3	24.8 #12
Rush rate over expected	+2.7 #7	+0.7 #11
Dropbacks per game	36.0 #18	39.8 #4
Pass rate over expected	−2.7 #26	−0.7 #22

Throw quality

Passes to him	Skattebo	League	NYG offense	LAR defense faces
Catchable-target rate	81.3%	68.1%	67.9% #16	69.5% #16
Drop rate	3.8%	5.5%	5.6% #13	6.0% #13
Contested-target rate	6.3%	13.0%	12.2% #22	12.8% #15
Pressure on his QB	—	29.7%	31.1% #10	32.5% #7

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

Split	Over	Rate	Avg	Med
Last 5	4/5	80%	83.8	94
Last 10	6/9	67%	77.6	90
2026 season	1/1	100%	81.0	81
2025 season	5/8	63%	77.1	92
At home	4/4	100%	100.5	100
On the road	2/5	40%	59.2	59
As an underdog	6/9	67%	77.6	90
Prime time	3/3	100%	104.0	110
With Jaxson Dart	5/6	83%	84.8	92
Vs soft defenses	2/4	50%	63.3	70

Books and line movement

Book	Line	Over	Under
DK	68.5	-115	-111

Steady at 68.5 since Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET.

Rush att 13.5

Over +100 · Under -135 · books price the over at 47%

NYG at LAR · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 8 days rest

LAR allows the 14th-most carries to RBs (22 a game over its last 17)

Teammate

What if the line were13.5

5 of 9 over56%range 30–78%avg 53% of snapsbooks price 47% at 13.5 (+100 MGM)

Middle half of these games: 10–18 · median 15 · range 2–25

Projected range · contextmedian 13middle half 9.4–16.680% range 6.4–20

How his rush att tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share

Skattebo's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Carry share	41.1%	48.0%	48.6%	43.2%
Carries a game	12.3	16.0	18.0	12.6
Snap share	47.3%	59.3%	61.0%	52.3%

Driver	NYG offense	LAR defense faces
Rushes per game	27.4 #3	24.8 #12
Rush rate over expected	+2.7 #7	+0.7 #11
Early-down rush rate	49.8% #4	42.7% #24

Market curve vs his games

● books price the over (hollow = one side priced, margin included) · ● his games over that number

Number	Best over	Books price	His games
main	-128 DK	53%	56% (5/9)
main	+100 MGM	47%	56% (5/9)

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

Split	Over	Rate	Avg	Med
Last 5	4/5	80%	14.2	16
Last 10	5/9	56%	13.2	15
2026 season	1/1	100%	18.0	18
2025 season	4/8	50%	12.6	13
At home	3/4	75%	18.0	18.5
On the road	2/5	40%	9.4	11
As an underdog	5/9	56%	13.2	15
Prime time	2/3	67%	15.7	18
With Jaxson Dart	5/6	83%	16.0	17
Vs middling defenses	0/1	0%	11.0	11

Books and line movement

Book	Line	Over	Under
MGM	13.5	+100	-135
DK	12.5	-128	+101

Steady at 13.5 since Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET.

Anytime TD

Yes +120 · books price yes at 47%

NYG at LAR · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 8 days rest

Teammate

6 of 9 scored67%range 40–86%avg 53% of snapsbooks price 47%

Volume drivers and his share

Skattebo's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Touch share	25.9%	31.2%	27.3%	27.9%
Touches a game	15.0	19.2	18.0	16.6
Snap share	47.3%	59.3%	61.0%	52.3%

Each bar is measured against a touchdown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

Split	Scored	Rate	TDs/game
Last 5	4/5	80%	0.80
Last 10	6/9	67%	0.67
2026 season	1/1	100%	1.00
2025 season	5/8	63%	0.63
At home	3/4	75%	0.75
On the road	3/5	60%	0.60
As an underdog	6/9	67%	0.67
Prime time	3/3	100%	1.00
With Jaxson Dart	4/6	67%	0.67

Books and line movement

Book	Line	Yes
MGM	—	+120
DK	—	+115
FD	—	+110

We have not seen a line for this yet.

Routes

Routes and coverage

2024–25 seasons · 32 targets with a route label

Weighted by where Cam Skattebo's targets come from, LAR has allowed 0.01 yds/target more than the league average on those routes. They play man on 37% of dropbacks (league 40%).

A description of how LAR's defense has fared, not a projection. Each defense number is pulled toward the league average in proportion to how few targets it rests on.

Route	Tgt	Catch	Yds/tgt	EPA/tgt	LAR allow
Quick out	9	67%	7.3(5.5)	−0.23	5.2
Swing	9	67%	5.2(5.3)	+0.04	5.4
Hitch / curl	8	88%	6.6(6.8)	+0.17	6.9
Screen	4	100%	5.8(5.8)	+0.58	6.4
Texas / angle	1	0%	0.0(6.5)	−0.84	6.2
Wheel	1	100%	18.0(10.2)	+2.26	9.7

Against man and zone

Defense	Tgt	Catch	Yds/tgt	EPA/tgt
Zone	22	68%	6.0	+0.06
Man	10	90%	7.6	+0.20

Against each coverage

Defense	Tgt	Catch	Yds/tgt	EPA/tgt
Cover 2	9	67%	6.6	+0.29
Cover 1	8	88%	6.1	−0.12
Cover 3	7	71%	6.1	+0.44
Cover 6	3	67%	3.7	−0.69
2-man	2	100%	13.5	+1.51
Cover 4	2	100%	9.0	+0.58
Cover 9	1	0%	0.0	−3.44

Routes are the ones the player was targetedon: nflverse labels the targeted receiver's route on about nine in ten targets, and routes run without a throw are not public, so this shows where a player's looks come from, not everything he ran. Yards per target in brackets is the league figure for that route. Rows with few targets are dimmed; small samples swing.

Game log

Game	Result	Car	Rush yds	Rush TD	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Snap %
2026 W1 vs DALSep 13	W 28–20	18	81	1	0	0	0	0	61%
2025 W8 @ PHIOct 26	L 20–38	3	12	0	2	1	18	1	21%
2025 W7 @ DENOct 19	L 32–33	16	60	0	6	3	34	1	60%
2025 W6 vs PHIOct 9	W 34–17	19	98	3	2	2	12	0	71%
2025 W5 @ NOOct 5	L 14–26	15	59	0	7	6	45	0	68%
2025 W4 vs LACSep 28	W 21–18	25	79	0	2	2	11	0	75%
2025 W3 vs KCSep 21	L 9–22	10	60	1	8	6	61	0	59%
2025 W2 @ DALSep 14	L 37–40	11	45	1	3	2	14	0	52%
2025 W1 @ WSHSep 7	L 6–21	2	-3	0	2	2	12	0	12%

Prop lines come from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM through TheRundown and can lag what a book shows right now — check the book before you rely on a number. Splits count the games he played (snap counts show who was on the field) and describe the past; they are not a prediction. A game he played with no stat line counts as a zero; a game he sat out is left out, because books void the prop then. Stats and route labels from nflverse. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.