Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Jaxson Dart

QB · New York Giants

Pass yds/g
230.0
Rush yds/g
54.0
2026 games
1

Props this week

Pass yds 213.5

Over -113 · Under -113 · books price the over at 50%
NYG at LAR · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 8 days rest
LAR allows the 10th-most passing yards to QBs (246 a game over its last 17)
213.5
5 of 15 over33%range 1754%avg 85% of snapsbooks price 50% at 213.5 (-113 FD)
2025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at DAL: 0 · 3 snaps (4%)020252025 wk 3 · Sep 21 vs KC: 0 · 3 snaps (5%)02025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs LAC: 111 · 74 snaps (97%)1112025 wk 5 · Oct 5 at NO: 202 · 73 snaps (100%)2022025 wk 6 · Oct 9 vs PHI: 195 · 67 snaps (97%)1952025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at DEN: 283 · 77 snaps (100%)2832025 wk 8 · Oct 26 at PHI: 193 · 52 snaps (100%)1932025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs SF: 191 · 57 snaps (100%)1912025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at CHI: 242 · 52 snaps (71%)2422025 wk 13 · Dec 1 at NE: 139 · 55 snaps (100%)1392025 wk 15 · Dec 14 vs WSH: 246 · 66 snaps (97%)2462025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs MIN: 33 · 56 snaps (100%)332025 wk 17 · Dec 28 at LV: 207 · 64 snaps (100%)2072025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs DAL: 230 · 75 snaps (100%)2302026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs DAL: 230 · 69 snaps (100%)2302026213.5
213.5

Middle half of these games: 125230 · median 195 · range 0283

Projected range · contextmedian 192middle half 11225280% range 6.8316

How his pass yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Dart's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Pass attempts a game30.327.329.024.2
Snap share100.0%99.5%100.0%83.6%
DriverNYG offenseLAR defense faces
Dropbacks per game36.0 #1839.8 #4
Pass rate over expected−2.7 #26−0.7 #22
Neutral-script pass rate49.2% #2955.1% #15
Dropback success rate45.3% #1646.4% #13
EPA per dropback+0.09 #11+0.01 #19

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
His passesDartLeagueLAR defense faces
Catchable-ball rate67.7%68.1%69.5% #16
Interception-worthy throws2.8%3.1%3.7% #7
Completion % under pressure25.0%34.6%37.1% #10
Completion % clean71.5%69.4%68.7% #18
Pressure rate29.9%29.7%32.5% #7
Drops by his receivers5.6%5.5%6.0% #13

His last 13 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Market curve vs his games0%50%100%124.5149.5199.5213.5249.5299.5349.5

books price the over (hollow = one side priced, margin included) · his games over that number

NumberBest overBooks priceHis games
-2000 FD95%*73% (11/15)
-1100 MGM92%*67% (10/15)
-166 FD64%*47% (7/15)
main-115 MGM50%33% (5/15)
main-113 FD50%33% (5/15)
main-112 DK50%33% (5/15)
+114 FD47%*33% (5/15)
+200 FD33%*7% (1/15)
+630 FD14%*0% (0/15)
+1500 FD6%*0% (0/15)

* A one-sided price includes the book's margin, which is larger on far alternates, so the probability reads a little high. Numbers a book has not refreshed in a while, and old main lines it has moved off, are left out.

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 2 of his team's games in this span (Nov 23 at DET, Nov 16 vs GB); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 53/560%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season1/1100%
2025 season4/1429%
At home3/838%
On the road2/729%
As an underdog4/1331%
Prime time1/425%
Vs soft defenses5/683%
Books and line movement
BookLineOverUnder
MGM211.5-115-115
DK214.5-112-111
FD213.5-113-113

Steady at 213.5 since Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET.

Rush yds 31.5

Over -113 · Under -111 · books price the over at 50%
NYG at LAR · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 8 days rest
LAR allows the 10th-fewest rushing yards to QBs (16 a game over its last 17)
31.5
9 of 15 over60%range 3978%avg 85% of snapsbooks price 50% at 31.5 (-113 DK)
2025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at DAL: -3 · 3 snaps (4%)-320252025 wk 3 · Sep 21 vs KC: 3 · 3 snaps (5%)32025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs LAC: 54 · 74 snaps (97%)542025 wk 5 · Oct 5 at NO: 55 · 73 snaps (100%)552025 wk 6 · Oct 9 vs PHI: 58 · 67 snaps (97%)582025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at DEN: 11 · 77 snaps (100%)112025 wk 8 · Oct 26 at PHI: 17 · 52 snaps (100%)172025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs SF: 56 · 57 snaps (100%)562025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at CHI: 66 · 52 snaps (71%)662025 wk 13 · Dec 1 at NE: 20 · 55 snaps (100%)202025 wk 15 · Dec 14 vs WSH: 63 · 66 snaps (97%)632025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs MIN: 7 · 56 snaps (100%)72025 wk 17 · Dec 28 at LV: 48 · 64 snaps (100%)482025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs DAL: 32 · 75 snaps (100%)322026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs DAL: 54 · 69 snaps (100%)54202631.5
31.5

Middle half of these games: 1455.5 · median 48 · range -366

Projected range · contextmedian 36middle half 18.45880% range 6.682

How his rush yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Dart's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Carry share25.0%21.6%29.7%21.0%
Carries a game8.36.711.06.1
Snap share100.0%99.5%100.0%83.6%
DriverNYG offenseLAR defense faces
Rushes per game27.4 #324.8 #12
Rush rate over expected+2.7 #7+0.7 #11
Early-down rush rate49.8% #442.7% #24

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Market curve vs his games0%50%100%9.519.531.539.549.559.574.599.5124.5

books price the over (hollow = one side priced, margin included) · his games over that number

NumberBest overBooks priceHis games
-2000 FD95%*80% (12/15)
-670 FD87%*73% (11/15)
-350 FD78%*67% (10/15)
-220 FD71%*60% (9/15)
main-113 DK50%60% (9/15)
main-115 MGM50%53% (8/15)
+158 FD39%*53% (8/15)
+200 MGM33%*47% (7/15)
+490 FD17%*13% (2/15)
+625 MGM14%*0% (0/15)
+1100 FD8%*0% (0/15)
+1250 MGM7%*0% (0/15)
+1700 MGM6%*0% (0/15)

* A one-sided price includes the book's margin, which is larger on far alternates, so the probability reads a little high. Numbers a book has not refreshed in a while, and old main lines it has moved off, are left out.

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 2 of his team's games in this span (Nov 23 at DET, Nov 16 vs GB); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 54/580%
Last 106/1060%
2026 season1/1100%
2025 season8/1457%
At home6/875%
On the road3/743%
As an underdog7/1354%
Prime time2/450%
Vs tough defenses3/560%
Books and line movement
BookLineOverUnder
MGM32.5-115-111
DK31.5-113-111
FD31.5-113-113

Steady at 31.5 since Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET.

Pass TDs 1.5

Over +185 · Under -227 · books price the over at 34%
NYG at LAR · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 8 days rest
LAR allows the 8th-most passing TDs to QBs (1.8 a game over its last 17)
1.5
6 of 15 over40%range 2261%avg 85% of snapsbooks price 34% at 1.5 (+185 FD)
2025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at DAL: 0 · 3 snaps (4%)020252025 wk 3 · Sep 21 vs KC: 0 · 3 snaps (5%)02025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs LAC: 1 · 74 snaps (97%)12025 wk 5 · Oct 5 at NO: 2 · 73 snaps (100%)22025 wk 6 · Oct 9 vs PHI: 1 · 67 snaps (97%)12025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at DEN: 3 · 77 snaps (100%)32025 wk 8 · Oct 26 at PHI: 1 · 52 snaps (100%)12025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs SF: 2 · 57 snaps (100%)22025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at CHI: 0 · 52 snaps (71%)02025 wk 13 · Dec 1 at NE: 1 · 55 snaps (100%)12025 wk 15 · Dec 14 vs WSH: 2 · 66 snaps (97%)22025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs MIN: 0 · 56 snaps (100%)02025 wk 17 · Dec 28 at LV: 0 · 64 snaps (100%)02025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs DAL: 2 · 75 snaps (100%)22026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs DAL: 3 · 69 snaps (100%)320261.5
1.5

Middle half of these games: 02 · median 1 · range 03

Projected range · contextmedian 1.1middle half 02.180% range 02.3

How his pass tds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Dart's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Pass attempts a game30.327.329.024.2
Snap share100.0%99.5%100.0%83.6%
DriverNYG offenseLAR defense faces
Dropbacks per game36.0 #1839.8 #4
Pass rate over expected−2.7 #26−0.7 #22
Neutral-script pass rate49.2% #2955.1% #15
Dropback success rate45.3% #1646.4% #13
EPA per dropback+0.09 #11+0.01 #19

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
His passesDartLeagueLAR defense faces
Catchable-ball rate67.7%68.1%69.5% #16
Interception-worthy throws2.8%3.1%3.7% #7
Completion % under pressure25.0%34.6%37.1% #10
Completion % clean71.5%69.4%68.7% #18
Pressure rate29.9%29.7%32.5% #7
Drops by his receivers5.6%5.5%6.0% #13

His last 13 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Market curve vs his games0%50%100%0.51.52.5

books price the over (hollow = one side priced, margin included) · his games over that number

NumberBest overBooks priceHis games
-310 FD76%*67% (10/15)
main+185 FD34%40% (6/15)
+750 FD12%*13% (2/15)

* A one-sided price includes the book's margin, which is larger on far alternates, so the probability reads a little high. Numbers a book has not refreshed in a while, and old main lines it has moved off, are left out.

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 2 of his team's games in this span (Nov 23 at DET, Nov 16 vs GB); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 53/560%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season1/1100%
2025 season5/1436%
At home4/850%
On the road2/729%
As an underdog5/1338%
Prime time1/425%
Vs soft defenses4/667%
Books and line movement
BookLineOverUnder
DK1.5+175-227
FD1.5+185-250

Steady at 1.5 since Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET.

Pass att 31.5

Over -104 · Under -122 · books price the over at 48%
NYG at LAR · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 8 days rest
LAR allows the 2nd-most pass attempts to QBs (36 a game over its last 17)
31.5
5 of 15 over33%range 1754%avg 85% of snapsbooks price 48% at 31.5 (-104 DK)
2025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at DAL: 0 · 3 snaps (4%)020252025 wk 3 · Sep 21 vs KC: 0 · 3 snaps (5%)02025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs LAC: 20 · 74 snaps (97%)202025 wk 5 · Oct 5 at NO: 40 · 73 snaps (100%)402025 wk 6 · Oct 9 vs PHI: 25 · 67 snaps (97%)252025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at DEN: 33 · 77 snaps (100%)332025 wk 8 · Oct 26 at PHI: 24 · 52 snaps (100%)242025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs SF: 33 · 57 snaps (100%)332025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at CHI: 29 · 52 snaps (71%)292025 wk 13 · Dec 1 at NE: 24 · 55 snaps (100%)242025 wk 15 · Dec 14 vs WSH: 36 · 66 snaps (97%)362025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs MIN: 13 · 56 snaps (100%)132025 wk 17 · Dec 28 at LV: 30 · 64 snaps (100%)302025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs DAL: 32 · 75 snaps (100%)322026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs DAL: 29 · 69 snaps (100%)29202631.5
31.5

Middle half of these games: 2232.5 · median 29 · range 040

Projected range · contextmedian 28middle half 19.33580% range 244

How his pass att tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Dart's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Pass attempts a game30.327.329.024.2
Snap share100.0%99.5%100.0%83.6%
DriverNYG offenseLAR defense faces
Dropbacks per game36.0 #1839.8 #4
Pass rate over expected−2.7 #26−0.7 #22
Neutral-script pass rate49.2% #2955.1% #15
Dropback success rate45.3% #1646.4% #13
EPA per dropback+0.09 #11+0.01 #19

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
His passesDartLeagueLAR defense faces
Catchable-ball rate67.7%68.1%69.5% #16
Interception-worthy throws2.8%3.1%3.7% #7
Completion % under pressure25.0%34.6%37.1% #10
Completion % clean71.5%69.4%68.7% #18
Pressure rate29.9%29.7%32.5% #7
Drops by his receivers5.6%5.5%6.0% #13

His last 13 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 2 of his team's games in this span (Nov 23 at DET, Nov 16 vs GB); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 52/540%
Last 104/1040%
2026 season0/10%
2025 season5/1436%
At home3/838%
On the road2/729%
As an underdog4/1331%
Prime time0/40%
Vs soft defenses1/425%
Books and line movement
BookLineOverUnder
MGM31.5-105-125
DK31.5-104-122

Steady at 31.5 since Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET.

Completions 19.5

Over -125 · Under +100 · books price the over at 53% · moved 20.519.5
NYG at LAR · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 8 days rest
LAR allows the 4th-most completions to QBs (23 a game over its last 17)
19.5
6 of 15 over40%range 2261%avg 85% of snapsbooks price 53% at 19.5 (-125 DK)
2025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at DAL: 0 · 3 snaps (4%)020252025 wk 3 · Sep 21 vs KC: 0 · 3 snaps (5%)02025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs LAC: 13 · 74 snaps (97%)132025 wk 5 · Oct 5 at NO: 26 · 73 snaps (100%)262025 wk 6 · Oct 9 vs PHI: 17 · 67 snaps (97%)172025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at DEN: 15 · 77 snaps (100%)152025 wk 8 · Oct 26 at PHI: 14 · 52 snaps (100%)142025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs SF: 24 · 57 snaps (100%)242025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at CHI: 19 · 52 snaps (71%)192025 wk 13 · Dec 1 at NE: 17 · 55 snaps (100%)172025 wk 15 · Dec 14 vs WSH: 20 · 66 snaps (97%)202025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs MIN: 7 · 56 snaps (100%)72025 wk 17 · Dec 28 at LV: 22 · 64 snaps (100%)222025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs DAL: 22 · 75 snaps (100%)222026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs DAL: 23 · 69 snaps (100%)23202619.5
19.5

Middle half of these games: 13.522 · median 17 · range 026

Projected range · contextmedian 18.7middle half 12.12480% range 1.329

How his completions tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Dart's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Pass attempts a game30.327.329.024.2
Snap share100.0%99.5%100.0%83.6%
DriverNYG offenseLAR defense faces
Dropbacks per game36.0 #1839.8 #4
Pass rate over expected−2.7 #26−0.7 #22
Neutral-script pass rate49.2% #2955.1% #15
Dropback success rate45.3% #1646.4% #13
EPA per dropback+0.09 #11+0.01 #19

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
His passesDartLeagueLAR defense faces
Catchable-ball rate67.7%68.1%69.5% #16
Interception-worthy throws2.8%3.1%3.7% #7
Completion % under pressure25.0%34.6%37.1% #10
Completion % clean71.5%69.4%68.7% #18
Pressure rate29.9%29.7%32.5% #7
Drops by his receivers5.6%5.5%6.0% #13

His last 13 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 2 of his team's games in this span (Nov 23 at DET, Nov 16 vs GB); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 54/580%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season1/1100%
2025 season5/1436%
At home4/850%
On the road2/729%
As an underdog4/1331%
Prime time1/425%
Vs soft defenses2/2100%
Books and line movement
BookLineOverUnder
MGM19.5-135+100
DK19.5-125-102
  1. Sep 21, 1:43 AM ET19.5 1
  2. Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET20.5first seen

Rush att 6.5

Over -111 · Under -115 · books price the over at 50%
NYG at LAR · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 8 days rest
LAR allows the 2nd-fewest carries to QBs (3.0 a game over its last 17)
6.5
7 of 15 over47%range 2867%avg 85% of snapsbooks price 50% at 6.5 (-111 DK)
2025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at DAL: 1 · 3 snaps (4%)120252025 wk 3 · Sep 21 vs KC: 1 · 3 snaps (5%)12025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs LAC: 10 · 74 snaps (97%)102025 wk 5 · Oct 5 at NO: 7 · 73 snaps (100%)72025 wk 6 · Oct 9 vs PHI: 13 · 67 snaps (97%)132025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at DEN: 5 · 77 snaps (100%)52025 wk 8 · Oct 26 at PHI: 6 · 52 snaps (100%)62025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs SF: 8 · 57 snaps (100%)82025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at CHI: 6 · 52 snaps (71%)62025 wk 13 · Dec 1 at NE: 4 · 55 snaps (100%)42025 wk 15 · Dec 14 vs WSH: 9 · 66 snaps (97%)92025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs MIN: 2 · 56 snaps (100%)22025 wk 17 · Dec 28 at LV: 9 · 64 snaps (100%)92025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs DAL: 5 · 75 snaps (100%)52026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs DAL: 11 · 69 snaps (100%)1120266.5
6.5

Middle half of these games: 4.59 · median 6 · range 113

Projected range · contextmedian 6.1middle half 3.110.180% range 1.114.1

How his rush att tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Dart's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Carry share25.0%21.6%29.7%21.0%
Carries a game8.36.711.06.1
Snap share100.0%99.5%100.0%83.6%
DriverNYG offenseLAR defense faces
Rushes per game27.4 #324.8 #12
Rush rate over expected+2.7 #7+0.7 #11
Early-down rush rate49.8% #442.7% #24

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 2 of his team's games in this span (Nov 23 at DET, Nov 16 vs GB); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 53/560%
Last 104/1040%
2026 season1/1100%
2025 season6/1443%
At home5/863%
On the road2/729%
As an underdog5/1338%
Prime time2/450%
Vs tough defenses1/425%
Books and line movement
BookLineOverUnder
DK6.5-111-115

Steady at 6.5 since Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET.

Anytime TD

Yes +250 · books price yes at 30%
NYG at LAR · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 8 days rest
7 of 15 scored47%range 2867%avg 85% of snapsbooks price 30%
2025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at DAL: 0 · 3 snaps (4%)020252025 wk 3 · Sep 21 vs KC: 0 · 3 snaps (5%)02025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs LAC: 1 · 74 snaps (97%)12025 wk 5 · Oct 5 at NO: 0 · 73 snaps (100%)02025 wk 6 · Oct 9 vs PHI: 1 · 67 snaps (97%)12025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at DEN: 1 · 77 snaps (100%)12025 wk 8 · Oct 26 at PHI: 1 · 52 snaps (100%)12025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs SF: 1 · 57 snaps (100%)12025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at CHI: 1 · 52 snaps (71%)12025 wk 13 · Dec 1 at NE: 0 · 55 snaps (100%)02025 wk 15 · Dec 14 vs WSH: 0 · 66 snaps (97%)02025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs MIN: 0 · 56 snaps (100%)02025 wk 17 · Dec 28 at LV: 1 · 64 snaps (100%)12025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs DAL: 0 · 75 snaps (100%)02026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs DAL: 0 · 69 snaps (100%)02026
Volume drivers and his share
Dart's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Touch share13.2%11.5%16.7%10.5%
Touches a game8.36.711.06.1
Snap share100.0%99.5%100.0%83.6%

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Each bar is measured against a touchdown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 2 of his team's games in this span (Nov 23 at DET, Nov 16 vs GB); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitScoredRate
Last 51/520%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season0/10%
2025 season7/1450%
At home3/838%
On the road4/757%
As an underdog6/1346%
Prime time1/425%
Books and line movement
BookLineYes
MGM+220
DK+225
FD+250

We have not seen a line for this yet.

Game log

GameResultC/APass ydsTDINTCarRush ydsRush TDSnap %
2026 W1 vs DALSep 13W 282023/292303011540100%
2025 W18 vs DALJan 4W 341722/32230205320100%
2025 W17 @ LVDec 28W 341022/30207009482100%
2025 W16 vs MINDec 21L 13167/133301270100%
2025 W15 vs WSHDec 14L 212920/3624621963097%
2025 W13 @ NEDec 1L 153317/24139104200100%
2025 W10 @ CHINov 9L 202419/2924200666271%
2025 W9 vs SFNov 2L 243424/33191208561100%
2025 W8 @ PHIOct 26L 203814/24193106171100%
2025 W7 @ DENOct 19L 323315/33283315111100%
2025 W6 vs PHIOct 9W 341717/25195101358197%
2025 W5 @ NOOct 5L 142626/40202227550100%
2025 W4 vs LACSep 28W 211813/20111101054197%
2025 W3 vs KCSep 21L 9220/00001305%
2025 W2 @ DALSep 14L 37400/00001-304%

Prop lines come from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM through TheRundown and can lag what a book shows right now — check the book before you rely on a number. Splits count the games he played (snap counts show who was on the field) and describe the past; they are not a prediction. A game he played with no stat line counts as a zero; a game he sat out is left out, because books void the prop then. Stats and route labels from nflverse. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.