Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Ashton Jeanty

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rush yds/g
75.0
Rec/g
5.0
Rec yds/g
30.0
Targets/g
6.5
2026 games
2

Props this week

Rush yds 63.5

Over -111 · Under -113 · books price the over at 50%
LV at LAC · Sun, Sep 20, 4:05 PM ET · underdog by 6.5 · total 43.5 · wind 3 mph · 7 days rest · final: 48 (under)
LAC allows the 9th-fewest rushing yards to RBs (89 a game over its last 17)
Score against
63.5
6 of 19 over32%range 1750%avg 78% of snapsbooks price 50% at 63.5 (-111 DK)
2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 at NE: 38 · 54 snaps (86%)3820252025 wk 2 · Sep 15 vs LAC: 43 · 39 snaps (56%)432025 wk 3 · Sep 21 at WSH: 63 · 40 snaps (61%)632025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs CHI: 138 · 44 snaps (85%)1382025 wk 5 · Oct 5 at IND: 67 · 37 snaps (54%)672025 wk 6 · Oct 12 vs TEN: 75 · 48 snaps (79%)752025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at KC: 21 · 22 snaps (63%)212025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs JAX: 42 · 58 snaps (91%)422025 wk 10 · Nov 6 at DEN: 60 · 52 snaps (87%)602025 wk 11 · Nov 17 vs DAL: 7 · 44 snaps (73%)72025 wk 12 · Nov 23 vs CLE: 50 · 64 snaps (81%)502025 wk 13 · Nov 30 at LAC: 31 · 46 snaps (96%)312025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs DEN: 30 · 35 snaps (70%)302025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at PHI: 35 · 30 snaps (71%)352025 wk 16 · Dec 21 at HOU: 128 · 50 snaps (93%)1282025 wk 17 · Dec 28 vs NYG: 60 · 48 snaps (81%)602025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs KC: 87 · 60 snaps (97%)872026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs MIA: 102 · 50 snaps (74%)10220262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 at LAC: 48 · closing line 63.5 · 51 snaps (81%)4863.5
63.5

Middle half of these games: 36.571 · median 50 · range 7138

Projected range · contextmedian 57middle half 348180% range 21111

How his rush yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Jeanty's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Carry share72.2%75.8%66.7%72.3%
Carries a game23.319.822.015.6
Snap share84.0%82.8%77.5%77.9%
DriverLV offenseLAC defense faces
Rushes per game21.2 #3023.5 #23
Rush rate over expected+0.7 #15−1.8 #23
Early-down rush rate43.8% #2246.9% #11

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Market curve vs his games0%50%100%62.563.5

books price the over (hollow = one side priced, margin included) · his games over that number

NumberBest overBooks priceHis games
main-113 FD50%37% (7/19)
main-111 DK50%32% (6/19)

* A one-sided price includes the book's margin, which is larger on far alternates, so the probability reads a little high. Numbers a book has not refreshed in a while, and old main lines it has moved off, are left out.

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 53/560%
Last 103/1030%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season5/1729%
At home4/1040%
On the road2/922%
Vs LAC0/30%
As an underdog3/1520%
Division games1/714%
With Kirk Cousins1/250%
Vs tough defenses2/540%
Books and line movement
BookLineOverUnder
MGM63.5-115-115
DK63.5-111-113
FD62.5-113-113

Steady at 63.5 since Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET.

Rec yds 26.5

Over -110 · Under -113 · books price the over at 50%
LV at LAC · Sun, Sep 20, 4:05 PM ET · underdog by 6.5 · total 43.5 · wind 3 mph · 7 days rest · final: 15 (under)
LAC allows the 11th-fewest receiving yards to RBs (29 a game over its last 17)
Score against
26.5
7 of 19 over37%range 2156%avg 78% of snapsbooks price 50% at 26.5 (-110 DK)
2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 at NE: 2 · 54 snaps (86%)220252025 wk 2 · Sep 15 vs LAC: 1 · 39 snaps (56%)12025 wk 3 · Sep 21 at WSH: 0 · 40 snaps (61%)02025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs CHI: 17 · 44 snaps (85%)172025 wk 5 · Oct 5 at IND: 42 · 37 snaps (54%)422025 wk 6 · Oct 12 vs TEN: 11 · 48 snaps (79%)112025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at KC: 13 · 22 snaps (63%)132025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs JAX: 47 · 58 snaps (91%)472025 wk 10 · Nov 6 at DEN: 3 · 52 snaps (87%)32025 wk 11 · Nov 17 vs DAL: 27 · 44 snaps (73%)272025 wk 12 · Nov 23 vs CLE: 58 · 64 snaps (81%)582025 wk 13 · Nov 30 at LAC: 30 · 46 snaps (96%)302025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs DEN: 8 · 35 snaps (70%)82025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at PHI: 7 · 30 snaps (71%)72025 wk 16 · Dec 21 at HOU: 60 · 50 snaps (93%)602025 wk 17 · Dec 28 vs NYG: 13 · 48 snaps (81%)132025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs KC: 7 · 60 snaps (97%)72026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs MIA: 45 · 50 snaps (74%)4520262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 at LAC: 15 · closing line 26.5 · 51 snaps (81%)1526.5
26.5

Middle half of these games: 736 · median 13 · range 060

Projected range · contextmedian 18.6middle half 6.73780% range 057

How his rec yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Jeanty's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Target share21.4%17.6%22.4%14.8%
Targets a game6.04.76.54.3
Snap share84.0%82.8%77.5%77.9%
DriverLV offenseLAC defense faces
Dropbacks per game33.8 #2733.6 #29
Pass rate over expected−0.7 #18+1.8 #10
Neutral-script pass rate53.9% #1654.9% #17
Dropback success rate41.9% #2845.9% #16

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
Passes to himJeantyLeagueLV offenseLAC defense faces
Catchable-target rate85.7%68.1%66.9% #2567.1% #21
Drop rate6.1%5.5%4.9% #226.4% #6
Contested-target rate2.6%13.0%12.1% #2311.3% #26
Pressure on his QB29.7%33.1% #530.5% #14

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Market curve vs his games0%50%100%24.526.5

books price the over (hollow = one side priced, margin included) · his games over that number

NumberBest overBooks priceHis games
main-125 MGM51%37% (7/19)
main-110 DK50%37% (7/19)

* A one-sided price includes the book's margin, which is larger on far alternates, so the probability reads a little high. Numbers a book has not refreshed in a while, and old main lines it has moved off, are left out.

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 52/540%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season6/1735%
At home4/1040%
On the road3/933%
Vs LAC1/333%
As an underdog5/1533%
Division games1/714%
With Kirk Cousins1/250%
Vs tough defenses3/933%
Books and line movement
BookLineOverUnder
MGM24.5-125-115
DK26.5-110-114
FD26.5-113-113

Steady at 26.5 since Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET.

Receptions 3.5

Over -150 · Under +119 · books price the over at 56%
LV at LAC · Sun, Sep 20, 4:05 PM ET · underdog by 6.5 · total 43.5 · wind 3 mph · 7 days rest · final: 4 (over)
LAC allows the 6th-fewest receptions to RBs (3.3 a game over its last 17)
Score against
3.5
8 of 19 over42%range 2661%avg 78% of snapsbooks price 56% at 3.5 (-150 MGM)
2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 at NE: 2 · 54 snaps (86%)220252025 wk 2 · Sep 15 vs LAC: 3 · 39 snaps (56%)32025 wk 3 · Sep 21 at WSH: 0 · 40 snaps (61%)02025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs CHI: 2 · 44 snaps (85%)22025 wk 5 · Oct 5 at IND: 5 · 37 snaps (54%)52025 wk 6 · Oct 12 vs TEN: 2 · 48 snaps (79%)22025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at KC: 1 · 22 snaps (63%)12025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs JAX: 5 · 58 snaps (91%)52025 wk 10 · Nov 6 at DEN: 3 · 52 snaps (87%)32025 wk 11 · Nov 17 vs DAL: 6 · 44 snaps (73%)62025 wk 12 · Nov 23 vs CLE: 8 · 64 snaps (81%)82025 wk 13 · Nov 30 at LAC: 6 · 46 snaps (96%)62025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs DEN: 2 · 35 snaps (70%)22025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at PHI: 4 · 30 snaps (71%)42025 wk 16 · Dec 21 at HOU: 1 · 50 snaps (93%)12025 wk 17 · Dec 28 vs NYG: 2 · 48 snaps (81%)22025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs KC: 3 · 60 snaps (97%)32026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs MIA: 6 · 50 snaps (74%)620262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 at LAC: 4 · closing line 3.5 · 51 snaps (81%)43.5
3.5

Middle half of these games: 25 · median 3 · range 08

Projected range · contextmedian 3.3middle half 2580% range 16.6

How his receptions tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Jeanty's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Target share21.4%17.6%22.4%14.8%
Targets a game6.04.76.54.3
Snap share84.0%82.8%77.5%77.9%
DriverLV offenseLAC defense faces
Dropbacks per game33.8 #2733.6 #29
Pass rate over expected−0.7 #18+1.8 #10
Neutral-script pass rate53.9% #1654.9% #17
Dropback success rate41.9% #2845.9% #16

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
Passes to himJeantyLeagueLV offenseLAC defense faces
Catchable-target rate85.7%68.1%66.9% #2567.1% #21
Drop rate6.1%5.5%4.9% #226.4% #6
Contested-target rate2.6%13.0%12.1% #2311.3% #26
Pressure on his QB29.7%33.1% #530.5% #14

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Market curve vs his games0%50%100%3.54.5

books price the over (hollow = one side priced, margin included) · his games over that number

NumberBest overBooks priceHis games
main-150 MGM56%42% (8/19)
main+130 FD41%32% (6/19)

* A one-sided price includes the book's margin, which is larger on far alternates, so the probability reads a little high. Numbers a book has not refreshed in a while, and old main lines it has moved off, are left out.

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 52/540%
Last 106/1060%
2026 season2/2100%
2025 season6/1735%
At home4/1040%
On the road4/944%
Vs LAC2/367%
As an underdog6/1540%
Division games2/729%
With Kirk Cousins2/2100%
Vs tough defenses4/1136%
Books and line movement
BookLineOverUnder
MGM3.5-150+110
DK3.5-152+119
FD4.5+130-174

Steady at 3.5 since Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET.

Rush + rec yds 94.5

Over -113 · Under -113 · books price the over at 50%
LV at LAC · Sun, Sep 20, 4:05 PM ET · underdog by 6.5 · total 43.5 · wind 3 mph · 7 days rest · final: 63 (under)
LAC allows the 9th-fewest rushing + receiving yards to RBs (118 a game over its last 17)
Score against
94.5
5 of 19 over26%range 1345%avg 78% of snapsbooks price 50% at 94.5 (-113 DK)
2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 at NE: 40 · 54 snaps (86%)4020252025 wk 2 · Sep 15 vs LAC: 44 · 39 snaps (56%)442025 wk 3 · Sep 21 at WSH: 63 · 40 snaps (61%)632025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs CHI: 155 · 44 snaps (85%)1552025 wk 5 · Oct 5 at IND: 109 · 37 snaps (54%)1092025 wk 6 · Oct 12 vs TEN: 86 · 48 snaps (79%)862025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at KC: 34 · 22 snaps (63%)342025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs JAX: 89 · 58 snaps (91%)892025 wk 10 · Nov 6 at DEN: 63 · 52 snaps (87%)632025 wk 11 · Nov 17 vs DAL: 34 · 44 snaps (73%)342025 wk 12 · Nov 23 vs CLE: 108 · 64 snaps (81%)1082025 wk 13 · Nov 30 at LAC: 61 · 46 snaps (96%)612025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs DEN: 38 · 35 snaps (70%)382025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at PHI: 42 · 30 snaps (71%)422025 wk 16 · Dec 21 at HOU: 188 · 50 snaps (93%)1882025 wk 17 · Dec 28 vs NYG: 73 · 48 snaps (81%)732025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs KC: 94 · 60 snaps (97%)942026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs MIA: 147 · 50 snaps (74%)14720262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 at LAC: 63 · closing line 94.5 · 51 snaps (81%)6394.5
94.5

Middle half of these games: 43101 · median 63 · range 34188

Projected range · contextmedian 77middle half 5510580% range 35131

How his rush + rec yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Jeanty's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Target share21.4%17.6%22.4%14.8%
Carry share72.2%75.8%66.7%72.3%
Touches a game29.324.528.519.9
Snap share84.0%82.8%77.5%77.9%
DriverLV offenseLAC defense faces
Rushes per game21.2 #3023.5 #23
Rush rate over expected+0.7 #15−1.8 #23
Dropbacks per game33.8 #2733.6 #29
Pass rate over expected−0.7 #18+1.8 #10

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
Passes to himJeantyLeagueLV offenseLAC defense faces
Catchable-target rate85.7%68.1%66.9% #2567.1% #21
Drop rate6.1%5.5%4.9% #226.4% #6
Contested-target rate2.6%13.0%12.1% #2311.3% #26
Pressure on his QB29.7%33.1% #530.5% #14

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 52/540%
Last 103/1030%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season4/1724%
At home3/1030%
On the road2/922%
Vs LAC0/30%
As an underdog2/1513%
Division games0/70%
With Kirk Cousins1/250%
Vs tough defenses2/729%
Books and line movement
BookLineOverUnder
DK94.5-113-113

Steady at 94.5 since Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET.

Rush att 15.5

Over -124 · Under -102 · books price the over at 52%
LV at LAC · Sun, Sep 20, 4:05 PM ET · underdog by 6.5 · total 43.5 · wind 3 mph · 7 days rest · final: 21 (over)
LAC allows the 16th-fewest carries to RBs (22 a game over its last 17)
Score against
15.5
11 of 19 over58%range 3974%avg 78% of snapsbooks price 52% at 15.5 (-124 DK)
2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 at NE: 19 · 54 snaps (86%)1920252025 wk 2 · Sep 15 vs LAC: 11 · 39 snaps (56%)112025 wk 3 · Sep 21 at WSH: 17 · 40 snaps (61%)172025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs CHI: 21 · 44 snaps (85%)212025 wk 5 · Oct 5 at IND: 14 · 37 snaps (54%)142025 wk 6 · Oct 12 vs TEN: 23 · 48 snaps (79%)232025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at KC: 6 · 22 snaps (63%)62025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs JAX: 13 · 58 snaps (91%)132025 wk 10 · Nov 6 at DEN: 19 · 52 snaps (87%)192025 wk 11 · Nov 17 vs DAL: 6 · 44 snaps (73%)62025 wk 12 · Nov 23 vs CLE: 17 · 64 snaps (81%)172025 wk 13 · Nov 30 at LAC: 15 · 46 snaps (96%)152025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs DEN: 10 · 35 snaps (70%)102025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at PHI: 9 · 30 snaps (71%)92025 wk 16 · Dec 21 at HOU: 24 · 50 snaps (93%)242025 wk 17 · Dec 28 vs NYG: 16 · 48 snaps (81%)162025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs KC: 26 · 60 snaps (97%)262026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs MIA: 23 · 50 snaps (74%)2320262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 at LAC: 21 · closing line 15.5 · 51 snaps (81%)2115.5
15.5

Middle half of these games: 1221 · median 17 · range 626

Projected range · contextmedian 17.9middle half 12.82380% range 8.828

How his rush att tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Jeanty's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Carry share72.2%75.8%66.7%72.3%
Carries a game23.319.822.015.6
Snap share84.0%82.8%77.5%77.9%
DriverLV offenseLAC defense faces
Rushes per game21.2 #3023.5 #23
Rush rate over expected+0.7 #15−1.8 #23
Early-down rush rate43.8% #2246.9% #11

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Market curve vs his games0%50%100%15.516.5

books price the over (hollow = one side priced, margin included) · his games over that number

NumberBest overBooks priceHis games
main-124 DK52%58% (11/19)
main-115 MGM50%53% (10/19)

* A one-sided price includes the book's margin, which is larger on far alternates, so the probability reads a little high. Numbers a book has not refreshed in a while, and old main lines it has moved off, are left out.

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 55/5100%
Last 106/1060%
2026 season2/2100%
2025 season9/1753%
At home6/1060%
On the road5/956%
Vs LAC1/333%
As an underdog7/1547%
Division games3/743%
With Kirk Cousins2/2100%
Vs middling defenses6/1060%
Books and line movement
BookLineOverUnder
MGM16.5-115-115
DK15.5-124-102

Steady at 16.5 since Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET.

Anytime TD

Yes +100 · books price yes at 51%
LV at LAC · Sun, Sep 20, 4:05 PM ET · underdog by 6.5 · total 43.5 · wind 3 mph · 7 days rest · final: 0 (no)
Score against
8 of 19 scored42%range 2661%avg 78% of snapsbooks price 51%
2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 at NE: 1 · 54 snaps (86%)120252025 wk 2 · Sep 15 vs LAC: 0 · 39 snaps (56%)02025 wk 3 · Sep 21 at WSH: 0 · 40 snaps (61%)02025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs CHI: 1 · 44 snaps (85%)12025 wk 5 · Oct 5 at IND: 0 · 37 snaps (54%)02025 wk 6 · Oct 12 vs TEN: 1 · 48 snaps (79%)12025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at KC: 0 · 22 snaps (63%)02025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs JAX: 1 · 58 snaps (91%)12025 wk 10 · Nov 6 at DEN: 1 · 52 snaps (87%)12025 wk 11 · Nov 17 vs DAL: 0 · 44 snaps (73%)02025 wk 12 · Nov 23 vs CLE: 1 · 64 snaps (81%)12025 wk 13 · Nov 30 at LAC: 0 · 46 snaps (96%)02025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs DEN: 0 · 35 snaps (70%)02025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at PHI: 0 · 30 snaps (71%)02025 wk 16 · Dec 21 at HOU: 1 · 50 snaps (93%)12025 wk 17 · Dec 28 vs NYG: 0 · 48 snaps (81%)02025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs KC: 0 · 60 snaps (97%)02026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs MIA: 1 · 50 snaps (74%)120262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 at LAC: 0 · 51 snaps (81%)0
Volume drivers and his share
Jeanty's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Touch share48.6%46.5%46.0%39.4%
Touches a game29.324.528.519.9
Snap share84.0%82.8%77.5%77.9%

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Each bar is measured against a touchdown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitScoredRate
Last 52/540%
Last 103/1030%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season7/1741%
At home5/1050%
On the road3/933%
Vs LAC0/30%
As an underdog4/1527%
Division games1/714%
With Kirk Cousins1/250%
Books and line movement
BookLineYes
MGM-110
DK+100
FD+100

We have not seen a line for this yet.

Routes

Routes and coverage

2024–25 seasons · 73 targets with a route label
Weighted by where Ashton Jeanty's targets come from, LAC has allowed 0.45 yds/target less than the league average on those routes. They play man on 31% of dropbacks (league 40%).
A description of how LAC's defense has fared, not a projection. Each defense number is pulled toward the league average in proportion to how few targets it rests on.
RouteShareTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgtLAC allow
Swing
2286%2.2(5.3)−0.314.8
Screen
1788%5.1(5.8)−0.065.2
Quick out
1369%5.2(5.5)−0.255.0
Hitch / curl
1164%3.4(6.8)−0.056.9
Texas / angle
540%1.6(6.5)−1.766.0
Wheel
450%10.0(10.2)+0.619.1
Go
1100%60.0(9.9)+6.359.0

Against man and zone

DefenseTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgt
Zone5576%4.1−0.33
Man1872%6.6+0.35

Against each coverage

DefenseTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgt
Cover 22383%2.9−0.71
Cover 32075%6.5+0.37
Cover 11377%6.8+0.32
Cover 41060%2.3−0.91
Cover 0367%8.7+0.89
2-man250%2.0−0.24
Cover 61100%4.0+0.03
Cover 91100%2.0−0.20

Routes are the ones the player was targetedon: nflverse labels the targeted receiver's route on about nine in ten targets, and routes run without a throw are not public, so this shows where a player's looks come from, not everything he ran. Yards per target in brackets is the league figure for that route. Rows with few targets are dimmed; small samples swing.

Quarters and halves

By quarter and half

2025–26 seasons · per game, 19 games played
StatQ1Q2Q3Q41H2HGame1H share
Rush yds
15.3
18.8
15.5
9.6
34.225.159.258%
Rush att
4.3
4.2
4.8
3.1
8.47.916.352%
Rec yds
5.5
4.4
7.7
3.7
9.911.421.447%
Receptions
0.79
0.84
0.95
0.84
1.631.793.4248%
Targets
1.00
1.42
1.11
1.00
2.422.114.5353%

Averages over the games he played, from nflverse play-by-play; overtime counts in the second half and the game only. Book lines for a half or quarter are not in our data, so this is history to read against a line, not a comparison with one. A team that is ahead runs more in the second half, one that is behind throws more: the split describes how games went, not how the next one will.

Game log

GameResultCarRush ydsRush TDTgtRecRec ydsRec TDSnap %
2026 W2 @ LACSep 20W 2614214807415081%
2026 W1 vs MIASep 13W 27132310206645274%
2025 W18 vs KCJan 4W 141226870537097%
2025 W17 vs NYGDec 28L 1034166002213081%
2025 W16 @ HOUDec 21L 21232412812160193%
2025 W15 @ PHIDec 14L 0319350647071%
2025 W14 vs DENDec 7L 172410300428070%
2025 W13 @ LACNov 30L 1431153108630096%
2025 W12 vs CLENov 23L 1024175008858181%
2025 W11 vs DALNov 17L 16336708627073%
2025 W10 @ DENNov 6L 71019601533087%
2025 W9 vs JAXNov 2L 2930134205547191%
2025 W7 @ KCOct 19L 03162101113063%
2025 W6 vs TENOct 12W 2010237514211079%
2025 W5 @ INDOct 5L 640146707542054%
2025 W4 vs CHISep 28L 24252113812217285%
2025 W3 @ WSHSep 21L 244117630000061%
2025 W2 vs LACSep 15L 92011430431056%
2025 W1 @ NESep 7W 201319381222086%

Prop lines come from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM through TheRundown and can lag what a book shows right now — check the book before you rely on a number. Splits count the games he played (snap counts show who was on the field) and describe the past; they are not a prediction. A game he played with no stat line counts as a zero; a game he sat out is left out, because books void the prop then. Stats and route labels from nflverse. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.