NFL · Props

Blake Corum

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Rush yds/g: 54.0
Rec/g: 0.0
Rec yds/g: 0.0
Targets/g: 0.0
2026 games: 1

Props this week

Rush yds 49.5

Over -109 · Under -115 · books price the over at 49% · moved 48.5 → 49.5

LAR vs NYG · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · favored by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 11 days rest

NYG allows the 5th-most rushing yards to RBs (112 a game over its last 17)

Teammate

What if the line were49.5

9 of 35 over26%range 16–39%avg 23% of snapsbooks price 50%* at 49.5 (-102 FD)

Middle half of these games: 10.5–50.5 · median 24 · range -4–128

Projected range · contextmedian 41middle half 21–6780% range 7.6–94

How his rush yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share

Corum's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Carry share	30.5%	34.0%	34.5%	31.3%
Carries a game	8.3	9.2	10.0	8.6
Snap share	32.7%	32.2%	23.0%	30.3%

Driver	LAR offense	NYG defense faces
Rushes per game	25.7 #8	23.4 #24
Rush rate over expected	−4.6 #30	−0.1 #16
Early-down rush rate	44.8% #17	44.8% #19

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Market curve vs his games

● books price the over (hollow = one side priced, margin included) · ● his games over that number

Number	Best over	Books price	His games
	-1200 MGM	92%*	49% (17/35)
	-420 FD	81%*	43% (15/35)
	-198 FD	66%*	37% (13/35)
main	-113 FD	50%	29% (10/35)
main	-102 FD	50%*	26% (9/35)
main	-115 MGM	50%	26% (9/35)
	+250 MGM	29%*	6% (2/35)
	+600 MGM	14%*	3% (1/35)
	+1200 FD	8%*	3% (1/35)
	+1200 MGM	8%*	3% (1/35)

* A one-sided price includes the book's margin, which is larger on far alternates, so the probability reads a little high. Numbers a book has not refreshed in a while, and old main lines it has moved off, are left out.

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

Split	Over	Rate	Avg	Med
Last 5	3/5	60%	46.4	54
Last 10	6/10	60%	57.8	54.5
2026 season	1/1	100%	54.0	54
2025 season	8/20	40%	43.3	44.5
At home	4/17	24%	24.1	13
On the road	5/18	28%	39.8	39.5
As a favorite	7/26	27%	33.9	23.5
Long rest	1/6	17%	20.5	16
Prime time	1/10	10%	18.0	11
With Matthew Stafford	9/34	26%	32.8	24.5
Vs soft defenses	4/16	25%	32.4	32.5
Without Puka Nacua (Questionable)	0/5	0%	22.2	25
With Puka Nacua	9/30	30%	33.8	23.5
Without Jordan Whittington (Doubtful)	1/5	20%	23.4	9
With Jordan Whittington	8/30	27%	33.6	24.5

Books and line movement

Book	Line	Over	Under
MGM	50.5	-115	-115
DK	49.5	-109	-115
FD	47.5	-113	-113

Sep 21, 1:43 AM ET49.5▲ 1
Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET48.5first seen

Rush att 10.5

Over -122 · Under +105 · books price the over at 53%

LAR vs NYG · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · favored by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 11 days rest

NYG allows the 11th-fewest carries to RBs (21 a game over its last 17)

Teammate

What if the line were10.5

8 of 35 over23%range 13–36%avg 23% of snapsbooks price 53% at 10.5 (-122 DK)

Middle half of these games: 3.5–9.5 · median 7 · range 1–14

Projected range · contextmedian 9.4middle half 6.1–12.980% range 3.5–15.7

How his rush att tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share

Corum's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Carry share	30.5%	34.0%	34.5%	31.3%
Carries a game	8.3	9.2	10.0	8.6
Snap share	32.7%	32.2%	23.0%	30.3%

Driver	LAR offense	NYG defense faces
Rushes per game	25.7 #8	23.4 #24
Rush rate over expected	−4.6 #30	−0.1 #16
Early-down rush rate	44.8% #17	44.8% #19

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

Split	Over	Rate	Avg	Med
Last 5	2/5	40%	9.8	10
Last 10	5/10	50%	9.9	10.5
2026 season	0/1	0%	10.0	10
2025 season	8/20	40%	8.6	8.5
At home	3/17	18%	5.9	5
On the road	5/18	28%	7.7	7.5
As a favorite	7/26	27%	7.1	7
Long rest	1/6	17%	5.5	5
Prime time	1/10	10%	5.1	3.5
With Matthew Stafford	8/34	24%	7.0	7
Vs tough defenses	2/10	20%	7.9	8
Without Puka Nacua (Questionable)	1/5	20%	6.0	5
With Puka Nacua	7/30	23%	7.0	7
Without Jordan Whittington (Doubtful)	2/5	40%	6.0	4
With Jordan Whittington	6/30	20%	7.0	7

Books and line movement

Book	Line	Over	Under
MGM	10.5	-140	+105
DK	10.5	-122	-104

Steady at 10.5 since Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET.

Anytime TD

Yes +200 · books price yes at 37%

LAR vs NYG · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · favored by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 11 days rest

Teammate

5 of 35 scored14%range 7–27%avg 23% of snapsbooks price 37%

Volume drivers and his share

Corum's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Touch share	15.3%	16.1%	17.9%	15.3%
Touches a game	9.3	10.2	10.0	9.5
Snap share	32.7%	32.2%	23.0%	30.3%

Each bar is measured against a touchdown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

Split	Scored	Rate	TDs/game
Last 5	0/5	0%	0.00
Last 10	4/10	40%	0.40
2026 season	0/1	0%	0.00
2025 season	5/20	25%	0.25
At home	1/17	6%	0.06
On the road	4/18	22%	0.22
As a favorite	4/26	15%	0.15
Long rest	0/6	0%	0.00
Prime time	1/10	10%	0.10
With Matthew Stafford	5/34	15%	0.15
Without Puka Nacua (Questionable)	0/5	0%	0.00
With Puka Nacua	5/30	17%	0.17
Without Jordan Whittington (Doubtful)	0/5	0%	0.00
With Jordan Whittington	5/30	17%	0.17

Books and line movement

Book	Line	Yes
MGM	—	+135
DK	—	+200
FD	—	+195

We have not seen a line for this yet.

Routes

Routes and coverage

2024–25 seasons · 27 targets with a route label

Weighted by where Blake Corum's targets come from, NYG has allowed 0.13 yds/target less than the league average on those routes. They play man on 45% of dropbacks (league 40%).

A description of how NYG's defense has fared, not a projection. Each defense number is pulled toward the league average in proportion to how few targets it rests on.

Route	Tgt	Catch	Yds/tgt	EPA/tgt	NYG allow
Quick out	10	70%	5.9(5.5)	−0.02	5.1
Hitch / curl	8	88%	3.6(6.8)	−0.23	6.7
Swing	4	50%	3.0(5.3)	−0.31	5.4
Screen	3	100%	5.3(5.8)	−0.07	6.1
Shallow cross	2	50%	7.5(6.5)	+0.28	6.2

Against man and zone

Defense	Tgt	Catch	Yds/tgt	EPA/tgt
Zone	27	74%	4.9	−0.11

Against each coverage

Defense	Tgt	Catch	Yds/tgt	EPA/tgt
Cover 2	12	83%	6.8	+0.28
Cover 3	7	57%	0.1	−0.71
Cover 4	3	100%	8.3	−0.00
Cover 9	3	67%	3.7	−0.46
Cover 6	2	50%	6.5	+0.06

Routes are the ones the player was targetedon: nflverse labels the targeted receiver's route on about nine in ten targets, and routes run without a throw are not public, so this shows where a player's looks come from, not everything he ran. Yards per target in brackets is the league figure for that route. Rows with few targets are dimmed; small samples swing.

Game log

Game	Result	Car	Rush yds	Rush TD	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	Snap %
2026 W1 vs SFSep 10	L 7–27	10	54	0	0	0	0	23%
2025 W21 · playoffs @ SEAJan 25	L 27–31	9	55	0	3	3	24	38%
2025 W20 · playoffs @ CHIJan 18	W 20–17	6	19	0	0	0	0	37%
2025 W19 · playoffs @ CARJan 10	W 34–31	11	45	0	2	2	13	37%
2025 W18 vs ARIJan 4	W 37–20	13	59	0	1	1	10	33%
2025 W17 @ ATLDec 29	L 24–27	6	18	0	0	0	0	25%
2025 W16 @ SEADec 18	L 37–38	14	48	1	2	1	13	29%
2025 W15 vs DETDec 14	W 41–34	11	71	1	0	0	0	46%
2025 W14 @ ARIDec 7	W 45–17	12	128	2	1	1	3	31%
2025 W13 @ CARNov 30	L 28–31	7	81	1	0	0	0	33%
2025 W12 vs TBNov 23	W 34–7	7	24	0	0	0	0	34%
2025 W11 vs SEANov 16	W 21–19	8	10	0	2	1	-5	31%
2025 W10 @ SFNov 9	W 42–26	13	56	0	0	0	0	39%
2025 W9 vs NONov 2	W 34–10	13	58	0	0	0	0	28%
2025 W7 @ JAXOct 19	W 35–7	12	37	0	1	1	6	34%
2025 W6 @ BALOct 12	W 17–3	5	23	0	0	0	0	23%
2025 W5 vs SFOct 2	L 23–26	1	13	0	2	0	0	9%
2025 W4 vs INDSep 28	W 27–20	9	21	0	4	2	-5	29%
2025 W3 @ PHISep 21	L 26–33	8	53	0	0	0	0	24%
2025 W2 @ TENSep 14	W 33–19	5	44	1	0	0	0	30%
2025 W1 vs HOUSep 7	W 14–9	1	2	0	1	1	14	17%

Prop lines come from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM through TheRundown and can lag what a book shows right now — check the book before you rely on a number. Splits count the games he played (snap counts show who was on the field) and describe the past; they are not a prediction. A game he played with no stat line counts as a zero; a game he sat out is left out, because books void the prop then. Stats and route labels from nflverse. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.