Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Jalen Coker

WR · Carolina Panthers

Rec/g
8.0
Rec yds/g
102.0
Targets/g
9.0
2026 games
2

Before the lines post · next: at CLE

Rec yds No line yet

CAR at CLE · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · favored by 3 · total 41 · wind 4 mph · 7 days rest
CLE allows the 3rd-fewest receiving yards to WRs (113 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

56
9 of 25 over36%range 2252%avg 70% of snaps
2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 vs CIN: 0 · 7 snaps (10%)020242024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at CHI: 68 · 32 snaps (53%)682024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs ATL: 30 · 43 snaps (65%)302024 wk 7 · Oct 20 at WSH: 10 · 22 snaps (51%)102024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at DEN: 78 · 42 snaps (69%)782024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs NO: 36 · 24 snaps (45%)362024 wk 10 · Nov 10 vs NYG: 41 · 53 snaps (88%)412024 wk 15 · Dec 15 vs DAL: 110 · 48 snaps (87%)1102024 wk 16 · Dec 22 vs ARI: 8 · 56 snaps (82%)82024 wk 17 · Dec 29 at TB: 35 · 41 snaps (87%)352024 wk 18 · Jan 5 at ATL: 62 · 62 snaps (93%)622025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at NYJ: 0 · 26 snaps (37%)020252025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs BUF: 36 · 40 snaps (66%)362025 wk 9 · Nov 2 at GB: 9 · 38 snaps (66%)92025 wk 10 · Nov 9 vs NO: 21 · 40 snaps (75%)212025 wk 11 · Nov 16 at ATL: 52 · 54 snaps (68%)522025 wk 12 · Nov 24 at SF: 32 · 38 snaps (83%)322025 wk 13 · Nov 30 vs LAR: 74 · 35 snaps (55%)742025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at NO: 60 · 39 snaps (68%)602025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs TB: 47 · 44 snaps (81%)472025 wk 17 · Dec 28 vs SEA: 16 · 38 snaps (72%)162025 wk 18 · Jan 3 at TB: 47 · 47 snaps (92%)472025 wk 19 · Jan 10 vs LAR: 134 · 59 snaps (88%)1342026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs CHI: 138 · 57 snaps (84%)13820262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 at ATL: 66 · 50 snaps (76%)6656
56

Middle half of these games: 2166 · median 41 · range 0138

Projected range · contextmedian 52middle half 317980% range 16.6104

How his rec yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Coker's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Target share29.1%23.8%27.3%16.9%
Targets a game10.07.39.04.6
Snap share82.7%82.2%80.0%70.9%
DriverCAR offenseCLE defense faces
Dropbacks per game34.2 #2533.2 #30
Pass rate over expected−2.7 #25−3.8 #30
Neutral-script pass rate52.3% #2151.1% #28
Dropback success rate44.2% #2042.8% #26

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
Passes to himCokerLeagueCAR offenseCLE defense faces
Catchable-target rate76.9%68.1%69.1% #1067.1% #20
Drop rate0.0%5.5%6.3% #76.4% #8
Contested-target rate16.9%13.0%9.6% #2911.9% #22
Pressure on his QB29.7%33.4% #434.2% #2

His last 14 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 3 of his team's games in this span (Dec 8 at PHI, Dec 1 vs TB, Nov 24 vs KC); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 53/560%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season2/2100%
2025 season3/1225%
At home4/1331%
On the road5/1242%
As a favorite3/475%
With Bryce Young8/2040%
Vs tough defenses3/743%

Receptions No line yet

CAR at CLE · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · favored by 3 · total 41 · wind 4 mph · 7 days rest
CLE allows the 2nd-fewest receptions to WRs (9.0 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

4
5 of 25 over20%range 1036%6 pushesavg 70% of snaps
2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 vs CIN: 0 · 7 snaps (10%)020242024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at CHI: 4 · 32 snaps (53%)42024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs ATL: 3 · 43 snaps (65%)32024 wk 7 · Oct 20 at WSH: 1 · 22 snaps (51%)12024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at DEN: 4 · 42 snaps (69%)42024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs NO: 2 · 24 snaps (45%)22024 wk 10 · Nov 10 vs NYG: 3 · 53 snaps (88%)32024 wk 15 · Dec 15 vs DAL: 4 · 48 snaps (87%)42024 wk 16 · Dec 22 vs ARI: 2 · 56 snaps (82%)22024 wk 17 · Dec 29 at TB: 2 · 41 snaps (87%)22024 wk 18 · Jan 5 at ATL: 7 · 62 snaps (93%)72025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at NYJ: 0 · 26 snaps (37%)020252025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs BUF: 3 · 40 snaps (66%)32025 wk 9 · Nov 2 at GB: 1 · 38 snaps (66%)12025 wk 10 · Nov 9 vs NO: 3 · 40 snaps (75%)32025 wk 11 · Nov 16 at ATL: 4 · 54 snaps (68%)42025 wk 12 · Nov 24 at SF: 3 · 38 snaps (83%)32025 wk 13 · Nov 30 vs LAR: 4 · 35 snaps (55%)42025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at NO: 4 · 39 snaps (68%)42025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs TB: 3 · 44 snaps (81%)32025 wk 17 · Dec 28 vs SEA: 2 · 38 snaps (72%)22025 wk 18 · Jan 3 at TB: 6 · 47 snaps (92%)62025 wk 19 · Jan 10 vs LAR: 9 · 59 snaps (88%)92026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs CHI: 8 · 57 snaps (84%)820262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 at ATL: 8 · 50 snaps (76%)84
4

Middle half of these games: 24 · median 3 · range 09

Projected range · contextmedian 4.9middle half 3.26.880% range 28.8

How his receptions tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Coker's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Target share29.1%23.8%27.3%16.9%
Targets a game10.07.39.04.6
Snap share82.7%82.2%80.0%70.9%
DriverCAR offenseCLE defense faces
Dropbacks per game34.2 #2533.2 #30
Pass rate over expected−2.7 #25−3.8 #30
Neutral-script pass rate52.3% #2151.1% #28
Dropback success rate44.2% #2042.8% #26

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
Passes to himCokerLeagueCAR offenseCLE defense faces
Catchable-target rate76.9%68.1%69.1% #1067.1% #20
Drop rate0.0%5.5%6.3% #76.4% #8
Contested-target rate16.9%13.0%9.6% #2911.9% #22
Pressure on his QB29.7%33.4% #434.2% #2

His last 14 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 3 of his team's games in this span (Dec 8 at PHI, Dec 1 vs TB, Nov 24 vs KC); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 54/580%
Last 103 push4/1040%
2026 season2/2100%
2025 season3 push2/1217%
At home2 push2/1315%
On the road4 push3/1225%
As a favorite2 push1/425%
With Bryce Young5 push5/2025%
Vs tough defenses2 push0/50%

Anytime TD No line yet

CAR at CLE · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · favored by 3 · total 41 · wind 4 mph · 7 days rest

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). Here is how often he has scored, in the situations this game sets up.

7 of 25 scored28%range 1644%avg 70% of snaps
2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 vs CIN: 0 · 7 snaps (10%)020242024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at CHI: 0 · 32 snaps (53%)02024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs ATL: 0 · 43 snaps (65%)02024 wk 7 · Oct 20 at WSH: 0 · 22 snaps (51%)02024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at DEN: 1 · 42 snaps (69%)12024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs NO: 0 · 24 snaps (45%)02024 wk 10 · Nov 10 vs NYG: 0 · 53 snaps (88%)02024 wk 15 · Dec 15 vs DAL: 1 · 48 snaps (87%)12024 wk 16 · Dec 22 vs ARI: 0 · 56 snaps (82%)02024 wk 17 · Dec 29 at TB: 0 · 41 snaps (87%)02024 wk 18 · Jan 5 at ATL: 0 · 62 snaps (93%)02025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at NYJ: 0 · 26 snaps (37%)020252025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs BUF: 0 · 40 snaps (66%)02025 wk 9 · Nov 2 at GB: 0 · 38 snaps (66%)02025 wk 10 · Nov 9 vs NO: 0 · 40 snaps (75%)02025 wk 11 · Nov 16 at ATL: 0 · 54 snaps (68%)02025 wk 12 · Nov 24 at SF: 0 · 38 snaps (83%)02025 wk 13 · Nov 30 vs LAR: 1 · 35 snaps (55%)12025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at NO: 1 · 39 snaps (68%)12025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs TB: 0 · 44 snaps (81%)02025 wk 17 · Dec 28 vs SEA: 0 · 38 snaps (72%)02025 wk 18 · Jan 3 at TB: 1 · 47 snaps (92%)12025 wk 19 · Jan 10 vs LAR: 1 · 59 snaps (88%)12026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs CHI: 1 · 57 snaps (84%)120262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 at ATL: 0 · 50 snaps (76%)0
Volume drivers and his share
Coker's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Touch share17.8%14.1%16.4%8.6%
Touches a game10.07.39.04.6
Snap share82.7%82.2%80.0%70.9%

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Each bar is measured against a touchdown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 3 of his team's games in this span (Dec 8 at PHI, Dec 1 vs TB, Nov 24 vs KC); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitScoredRate
Last 53/560%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season4/1233%
At home4/1331%
On the road3/1225%
As a favorite2/450%
With Bryce Young7/2035%

Routes

Routes and coverage

2024–25 seasons · 102 targets with a route label
Weighted by where Jalen Coker's targets come from, CLE has allowed 0.03 yds/target more than the league average on those routes. They play man on 49% of dropbacks (league 40%).
A description of how CLE's defense has fared, not a projection. Each defense number is pulled toward the league average in proportion to how few targets it rests on.
RouteShareTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgtCLE allow
Quick out
16100%5.8(5.5)+0.365.6
In / dig
1573%13.2(9.6)+0.489.0
Deep out
1362%10.7(8.0)+0.547.7
Go
1362%21.4(9.9)+1.8611.1
Hitch / curl
1283%6.5(6.8)+0.407.3
Post
978%12.4(12.3)+0.8511.8
Screen
786%2.6(5.8)−0.875.5
Corner
633%4.5(10.4)+0.2910.4
Slant
580%8.6(7.2)+1.196.3
Shallow cross
425%4.0(6.5)−0.247.4
Swing
1100%8.0(5.3)+1.084.9
Wheel
10%0.0(10.2)−1.1410.1

Against man and zone

DefenseTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgt
Zone5383%8.4+0.47
Man4961%11.5+0.66

Against each coverage

DefenseTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgt
Cover 13962%11.9+0.87
Cover 22186%8.0+0.51
Cover 31675%7.1+0.23
Cover 47100%16.4+1.80
Cover 0633%1.3−1.38
Cover 9580%4.0+0.24
Cover 6475%7.5−0.75
2-man4100%22.3+1.69

Routes are the ones the player was targetedon: nflverse labels the targeted receiver's route on about nine in ten targets, and routes run without a throw are not public, so this shows where a player's looks come from, not everything he ran. Yards per target in brackets is the league figure for that route. Rows with few targets are dimmed; small samples swing.

Game log

GameResultTgtRecRec ydsRec TDSnap %
2026 W2 @ ATLSep 20W 3439866076%
2026 W1 vs CHISep 13L 375998138284%
2025 W19 · playoffs vs LARJan 10L 3134129134188%
2025 W18 @ TBJan 3L 14167647192%
2025 W17 vs SEADec 28L 10272216072%
2025 W16 vs TBDec 21W 23205347081%
2025 W15 @ NODec 14L 17204460168%
2025 W13 vs LARNov 30W 31286474155%
2025 W12 @ SFNov 24L 9204332083%
2025 W11 @ ATLNov 16W 30274452068%
2025 W10 vs NONov 9L 7174321075%
2025 W9 @ GBNov 2W 1613119066%
2025 W8 vs BUFOct 26L 9404336066%
2025 W7 @ NYJOct 19W 136200037%

Prop lines come from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM through TheRundown and can lag what a book shows right now — check the book before you rely on a number. Splits count the games he played (snap counts show who was on the field) and describe the past; they are not a prediction. A game he played with no stat line counts as a zero; a game he sat out is left out, because books void the prop then. Stats and route labels from nflverse. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.