Jahmyr Gibbs

Rush yds/g: 104.0
Rec/g: 5.5
Rec yds/g: 45.5
Targets/g: 6.5
2026 games: 2

Before the lines post · next: vs NYJ

Rush yds No line yet

DET vs NYJ · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · favored by 6.5 · total 48 · indoors · 10 days rest

NYJ allows the 9th-most rushing yards to RBs (104 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

Teammate

What if the line were47.5

27 of 37 over73%range 60–83%avg 62% of snaps

Middle half of these games: 43–105 · median 71 · range 2–219

Projected range · contextmedian 63middle half 38–9080% range 23–122

How his rush yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share

Gibbs's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Carry share	80.0%	71.1%	84.9%	55.1%
Carries a game	21.3	16.8	22.5	14.3
Snap share	76.0%	77.3%	78.5%	67.0%

Driver	DET offense	NYJ defense faces
Rushes per game	25.1 #10	26.3 #7
Rush rate over expected	+1.4 #12	−0.1 #17
Early-down rush rate	45.4% #15	49.4% #6

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

Split	Over	Rate	Avg	Med
Last 5	3/5	60%	66.2	52
Last 10	5/10	50%	73.8	47.5
2026 season	2/2	100%	104.0	104
2025 season	10/17	59%	71.9	65
At home	13/19	68%	86.2	84
On the road	14/18	78%	72.8	66
As a favorite	22/29	76%	85.2	83
In domes	18/26	69%	82.3	80.5
Long rest	3/6	50%	57.0	50.5
With Jared Goff	27/37	73%	79.7	71
Vs soft defenses	11/13	85%	99.3	90

Rush att No line yet

DET vs NYJ · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · favored by 6.5 · total 48 · indoors · 10 days rest

NYJ allows the 8th-most carries to RBs (24 a game over its last 17)

Teammate

What if the line were15.5

14 of 37 over38%range 26–51%avg 62% of snaps

Middle half of these games: 12–17 · median 15 · range 7–29

Projected range · contextmedian 16.4middle half 11.8–2180% range 8–25

How his rush att tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share

Gibbs's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Carry share	80.0%	71.1%	84.9%	55.1%
Carries a game	21.3	16.8	22.5	14.3
Snap share	76.0%	77.3%	78.5%	67.0%

Driver	DET offense	NYJ defense faces
Rushes per game	25.1 #10	26.3 #7
Rush rate over expected	+1.4 #12	−0.1 #17
Early-down rush rate	45.4% #15	49.4% #6

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

Split	Over	Rate	Avg	Med
Last 5	4/5	80%	17.6	17
Last 10	5/10	50%	16.0	15.5
2026 season	2/2	100%	22.5	22.5
2025 season	6/17	35%	14.3	15
At home	4/19	21%	13.9	13
On the road	10/18	56%	15.9	16
As a favorite	10/29	34%	14.8	14
In domes	8/26	31%	14.5	14
Long rest	1/6	17%	12.5	12.5
With Jared Goff	14/37	38%	14.9	15
Vs soft defenses	6/15	40%	15.3	14

Receptions No line yet

DET vs NYJ · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · favored by 6.5 · total 48 · indoors · 10 days rest

NYJ allows the 8th-fewest receptions to RBs (3.6 a game over its last 17)

Teammate

What if the line were5

8 of 37 over22%range 13–34%5 pushesavg 62% of snaps

Middle half of these games: 2–5 · median 3 · range 0–11

Projected range · contextmedian 4.6middle half 3–6.480% range 1.8–8.2

How his receptions tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share

Gibbs's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Target share	15.9%	17.7%	16.9%	17.1%
Targets a game	6.0	6.8	6.5	5.5
Snap share	76.0%	77.3%	78.5%	67.0%

Driver	DET offense	NYJ defense faces
Dropbacks per game	37.5 #10	34.3 #23
Pass rate over expected	−1.4 #21	+0.1 #16
Neutral-script pass rate	52.8% #20	53.9% #24
Dropback success rate	47.7% #10	48.2% #11

Throw quality

Passes to him	Gibbs	League	DET offense	NYJ defense faces
Catchable-target rate	81.3%	68.1%	66.8% #26	73.7% #1
Drop rate	5.4%	5.5%	6.2% #8	6.4% #9
Contested-target rate	2.2%	13.0%	7.3% #30	17.1% #4
Pressure on his QB	—	29.7%	29.9% #17	24.1% #30

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

Split	Over	Rate	Avg	Med
Last 51 push	2/5	40%	5.2	5
Last 102 push	4/10	40%	5.6	5
2026 season1 push	1/2	50%	5.5	5.5
2025 season2 push	4/17	24%	4.5	3
At home3 push	6/19	32%	4.4	4
On the road2 push	2/18	11%	3.4	3
As a favorite3 push	6/29	21%	3.7	3
In domes3 push	6/26	23%	3.9	3
Long rest1 push	1/6	17%	4.0	3.5
With Jared Goff5 push	8/37	22%	3.9	3
Vs tough defenses3 push	1/14	7%	3.1	3

Rec yds No line yet

DET vs NYJ · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · favored by 6.5 · total 48 · indoors · 10 days rest

NYJ allows the 10th-most receiving yards to RBs (35 a game over its last 17)

Teammate

What if the line were39

12 of 37 over32%range 21–46%avg 62% of snaps

Middle half of these games: 18–45 · median 31 · range 0–107

Projected range · contextmedian 35middle half 15.8–5580% range 3.9–78

How his rec yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share

Gibbs's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Target share	15.9%	17.7%	16.9%	17.1%
Targets a game	6.0	6.8	6.5	5.5
Snap share	76.0%	77.3%	78.5%	67.0%

Driver	DET offense	NYJ defense faces
Dropbacks per game	37.5 #10	34.3 #23
Pass rate over expected	−1.4 #21	+0.1 #16
Neutral-script pass rate	52.8% #20	53.9% #24
Dropback success rate	47.7% #10	48.2% #11

Throw quality

Passes to him	Gibbs	League	DET offense	NYJ defense faces
Catchable-target rate	81.3%	68.1%	66.8% #26	73.7% #1
Drop rate	5.4%	5.5%	6.2% #8	6.4% #9
Contested-target rate	2.2%	13.0%	7.3% #30	17.1% #4
Pressure on his QB	—	29.7%	29.9% #17	24.1% #30

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

Split	Over	Rate	Avg	Med
Last 5	2/5	40%	42.6	33
Last 10	5/10	50%	48.0	39
2026 season	1/2	50%	45.5	45.5
2025 season	5/17	29%	36.2	31
At home	7/19	37%	36.0	30
On the road	5/18	28%	33.9	31.5
As a favorite	9/29	31%	33.3	30
In domes	8/26	31%	33.3	29
Long rest	2/6	33%	39.5	30.5
With Jared Goff	12/37	32%	35.0	31
Vs soft defenses	5/11	45%	44.8	33

Rush + rec yds No line yet

DET vs NYJ · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · favored by 6.5 · total 48 · indoors · 10 days rest

NYJ allows the 8th-most rushing + receiving yards to RBs (139 a game over its last 17)

Teammate

What if the line were113

14 of 37 over38%range 26–51%2 pushesavg 62% of snaps

Middle half of these games: 78–146 · median 104 · range 28–264

Projected range · contextmedian 103middle half 73–13980% range 47–175

How his rush + rec yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share

Gibbs's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Target share	15.9%	17.7%	16.9%	17.1%
Carry share	80.0%	71.1%	84.9%	55.1%
Touches a game	27.3	23.7	29.0	19.8
Snap share	76.0%	77.3%	78.5%	67.0%

Driver	DET offense	NYJ defense faces
Rushes per game	25.1 #10	26.3 #7
Rush rate over expected	+1.4 #12	−0.1 #17
Dropbacks per game	37.5 #10	34.3 #23
Pass rate over expected	−1.4 #21	+0.1 #16

Throw quality

Passes to him	Gibbs	League	DET offense	NYJ defense faces
Catchable-target rate	81.3%	68.1%	66.8% #26	73.7% #1
Drop rate	5.4%	5.5%	6.2% #8	6.4% #9
Contested-target rate	2.2%	13.0%	7.3% #30	17.1% #4
Pressure on his QB	—	29.7%	29.9% #17	24.1% #30

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

Split	Over	Rate	Avg	Med
Last 52 push	1/5	20%	108.8	113
Last 102 push	4/10	40%	121.8	113
2026 season1 push	1/2	50%	149.5	149.5
2025 season1 push	5/17	29%	108.2	97
At home	9/19	47%	122.2	106
On the road2 push	5/18	28%	106.7	101
As a favorite	12/29	41%	118.6	104
In domes	10/26	38%	115.5	104
Long rest1 push	2/6	33%	96.5	102
With Jared Goff2 push	14/37	38%	114.6	104
Vs soft defenses	5/11	45%	127.8	104

Anytime TD No line yet

DET vs NYJ · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · favored by 6.5 · total 48 · indoors · 10 days rest

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). Here is how often he has scored, in the situations this game sets up.

Teammate

26 of 37 scored70%range 57–81%avg 62% of snaps

Volume drivers and his share

Gibbs's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Touch share	42.5%	38.0%	44.6%	34.0%
Touches a game	27.3	23.7	29.0	19.8
Snap share	76.0%	77.3%	78.5%	67.0%

Each bar is measured against a touchdown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

Split	Scored	Rate	TDs/game
Last 5	4/5	80%	0.80
Last 10	6/10	60%	0.60
2026 season	2/2	100%	1.00
2025 season	10/17	59%	0.59
At home	15/19	79%	0.79
On the road	11/18	61%	0.61
As a favorite	22/29	76%	0.76
In domes	18/26	69%	0.69
Long rest	3/6	50%	0.50
With Jared Goff	26/37	70%	0.70

Routes

Routes and coverage

2024–25 seasons · 166 targets with a route label

Weighted by where Jahmyr Gibbs's targets come from, NYJ has allowed 0.12 yds/target more than the league average on those routes. They play man on 47% of dropbacks (league 40%).

A description of how NYJ's defense has fared, not a projection. Each defense number is pulled toward the league average in proportion to how few targets it rests on.

Route	Tgt	Catch	Yds/tgt	EPA/tgt	NYJ allow
Screen	41	88%	7.4(5.8)	+0.07	6.1
Quick out	34	74%	6.7(5.5)	+0.29	5.7
Hitch / curl	33	91%	6.6(6.8)	−0.04	6.3
Swing	31	84%	7.3(5.3)	+0.25	5.6
Texas / angle	11	100%	9.9(6.5)	+0.99	6.6
Shallow cross	5	60%	4.8(6.5)	+0.38	7.0
Go	3	0%	0.0(9.9)	−1.77	9.3
Slant	3	33%	2.3(7.2)	−0.41	7.3
Wheel	2	0%	0.0(10.2)	−1.05	11.6
Post	2	100%	14.5(12.3)	+3.01	11.3
In / dig	1	100%	15.0(9.6)	+2.82	9.8

Against man and zone

Defense	Tgt	Catch	Yds/tgt	EPA/tgt
Zone	117	85%	6.9	+0.09
Man	49	71%	7.3	+0.44

Against each coverage

Defense	Tgt	Catch	Yds/tgt	EPA/tgt
Cover 2	47	79%	7.4	+0.15
Cover 1	42	71%	7.7	+0.45
Cover 3	42	95%	6.7	+0.09
Cover 4	16	75%	7.1	+0.17
Cover 6	6	100%	5.2	+0.09
Cover 9	4	75%	2.3	−1.42
2-man	4	75%	3.3	+0.06
Cover 0	3	67%	6.7	+0.91

Routes are the ones the player was targetedon: nflverse labels the targeted receiver's route on about nine in ten targets, and routes run without a throw are not public, so this shows where a player's looks come from, not everything he ran. Yards per target in brackets is the league figure for that route. Rows with few targets are dimmed; small samples swing.

Game log

Game	Result	Car	Rush yds	Rush TD	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Snap %
2026 W2 @ BUFSep 17	L 31–41	16	52	0	8	6	61	1	83%
2026 W1 vs NOSep 13	W 31–30	29	156	2	5	5	30	0	74%
2025 W18 @ CHIJan 4	W 19–16	19	80	0	5	3	33	1	71%
2025 W17 @ MINDec 25	L 10–23	17	41	0	3	2	23	0	69%
2025 W16 vs PITDec 21	L 24–29	7	2	0	13	10	66	1	86%
2025 W15 @ LARDec 14	L 34–41	13	38	0	7	4	20	0	81%
2025 W14 vs DALDec 4	W 44–30	12	43	3	7	7	77	0	69%
2025 W13 vs GBNov 27	L 24–31	20	68	0	4	3	18	0	70%
2025 W12 vs NYGNov 23	W 34–27	15	219	2	12	11	45	1	74%
2025 W11 @ PHINov 16	L 9–16	12	39	0	8	5	107	0	73%
2025 W10 @ WSHNov 9	W 44–22	15	142	2	4	3	30	1	50%
2025 W9 vs MINNov 2	L 24–27	9	25	0	3	3	3	0	66%
2025 W7 vs TBOct 20	W 24–9	17	136	2	3	3	82	0	56%
2025 W6 @ KCOct 12	L 17–30	17	65	0	2	1	0	0	69%
2025 W5 @ CINOct 5	W 37–24	12	54	0	2	2	33	1	52%
2025 W4 vs CLESep 28	W 34–10	15	91	1	2	2	6	0	62%
2025 W3 @ BALSep 22	W 38–30	22	67	2	6	5	32	0	69%
2025 W2 vs CHISep 14	W 52–21	12	94	1	3	3	10	0	56%
2025 W1 @ GBSep 7	L 13–27	9	19	0	10	10	31	0	66%

Prop lines come from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM through TheRundown and can lag what a book shows right now — check the book before you rely on a number. Splits count the games he played (snap counts show who was on the field) and describe the past; they are not a prediction. A game he played with no stat line counts as a zero; a game he sat out is left out, because books void the prop then. Stats and route labels from nflverse. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.