Sam LaPorta

Rec/g: 5.5
Rec yds/g: 50.0
Targets/g: 7.5
2026 games: 2

Before the lines post · next: vs NYJ

Rec yds No line yet

DET vs NYJ · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · favored by 6.5 · total 48 · indoors · 10 days rest

NYJ allows the 15th-fewest receiving yards to TEs (53 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

Teammate

What if the line were50

14 of 28 over50%range 35–65%avg 88% of snaps

Middle half of these games: 31.8–57 · median 49.5 · range 6–111

Projected range · contextmedian 42middle half 19.3–6880% range 4.7–96

How his rec yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share

LaPorta's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Target share	18.3%	18.5%	19.5%	18.6%
Targets a game	6.7	6.2	7.5	5.4
Snap share	85.0%	91.3%	89.5%	90.7%

Driver	DET offense	NYJ defense faces
Dropbacks per game	37.5 #10	34.3 #23
Pass rate over expected	−1.4 #21	+0.1 #16
Neutral-script pass rate	52.8% #20	53.9% #24
Dropback success rate	47.7% #10	48.2% #11

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality

Passes to him	LaPorta	League	DET offense	NYJ defense faces
Catchable-target rate	69.8%	68.1%	66.8% #26	73.7% #1
Drop rate	0.0%	5.5%	6.2% #8	6.4% #9
Contested-target rate	7.9%	13.0%	7.3% #30	17.1% #4
Pressure on his QB	—	29.7%	29.9% #17	24.1% #30

His last 11 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 1 of his team's games in this span (Nov 17 vs JAX); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

Split	Over	Rate	Avg	Med
Last 5	3/5	60%	53.0	52
Last 10	5/10	50%	51.0	50
2026 season	1/2	50%	50.0	50
2025 season	5/9	56%	54.3	53
At home	6/14	43%	47.8	48
On the road	8/14	57%	49.8	52
As a favorite	11/23	48%	48.8	48
In domes	8/19	42%	45.6	48
Long rest	4/4	100%	77.8	74.5
With Jared Goff	14/28	50%	48.8	49.5
Vs middling defenses	3/8	38%	38.9	40.5

Receptions No line yet

DET vs NYJ · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · favored by 6.5 · total 48 · indoors · 10 days rest

NYJ allows the 16th-fewest receptions to TEs (5.1 a game over its last 17)

Teammate

What if the line were5

8 of 28 over29%range 17–44%5 pushesavg 88% of snaps

Middle half of these games: 3–6 · median 4 · range 1–7

Projected range · contextmedian 4.6middle half 3–6.480% range 1.8–8.2

How his receptions tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share

LaPorta's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Target share	18.3%	18.5%	19.5%	18.6%
Targets a game	6.7	6.2	7.5	5.4
Snap share	85.0%	91.3%	89.5%	90.7%

Driver	DET offense	NYJ defense faces
Dropbacks per game	37.5 #10	34.3 #23
Pass rate over expected	−1.4 #21	+0.1 #16
Neutral-script pass rate	52.8% #20	53.9% #24
Dropback success rate	47.7% #10	48.2% #11

Throw quality

Passes to him	LaPorta	League	DET offense	NYJ defense faces
Catchable-target rate	69.8%	68.1%	66.8% #26	73.7% #1
Drop rate	0.0%	5.5%	6.2% #8	6.4% #9
Contested-target rate	7.9%	13.0%	7.3% #30	17.1% #4
Pressure on his QB	—	29.7%	29.9% #17	24.1% #30

Split	Over	Rate	Avg	Med
Last 52 push	2/5	40%	5.0	5
Last 104 push	2/10	20%	4.5	5
2026 season1 push	1/2	50%	5.5	5.5
2025 season3 push	2/9	22%	4.4	5
At home2 push	5/14	36%	4.6	4.5
On the road3 push	3/14	21%	3.8	4
As a favorite4 push	6/23	26%	4.1	4
In domes2 push	5/19	26%	3.9	3
Long rest	3/4	75%	5.0	6
With Jared Goff5 push	8/28	29%	4.2	4
Vs middling defenses1 push	3/10	30%	4.5	4

Anytime TD No line yet

DET vs NYJ · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · favored by 6.5 · total 48 · indoors · 10 days rest

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). Here is how often he has scored, in the situations this game sets up.

Teammate

11 of 28 scored39%range 26–55%avg 88% of snaps

Volume drivers and his share

LaPorta's role	Last 3	Last 6	2026	2025
Touch share	10.3%	10.2%	11.5%	9.4%
Touches a game	6.7	6.2	7.5	5.4
Snap share	85.0%	91.3%	89.5%	90.7%

Each bar is measured against a touchdown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 1 of his team's games in this span (Nov 17 vs JAX); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

Split	Scored	Rate	TDs/game
Last 5	2/5	40%	0.40
Last 10	4/10	40%	0.40
2026 season	1/2	50%	0.50
2025 season	3/9	33%	0.33
At home	4/14	29%	0.29
On the road	7/14	50%	0.50
As a favorite	9/23	39%	0.39
In domes	6/19	32%	0.32
Long rest	3/4	75%	0.75
With Jared Goff	11/28	39%	0.39

Routes

Routes and coverage

2024–25 seasons · 136 targets with a route label

Weighted by where Sam LaPorta's targets come from, NYJ has allowed 0.04 yds/target less than the league average on those routes. They play man on 47% of dropbacks (league 40%).

A description of how NYJ's defense has fared, not a projection. Each defense number is pulled toward the league average in proportion to how few targets it rests on.

Route	Tgt	Catch	Yds/tgt	EPA/tgt	NYJ allow
Hitch / curl	38	82%	7.1(6.8)	+0.37	6.3
Quick out	30	80%	7.1(5.5)	+0.44	5.7
In / dig	22	59%	7.7(9.6)	+0.44	9.8
Shallow cross	15	87%	10.1(6.5)	+0.44	7.0
Post	9	78%	13.7(12.3)	+1.02	11.3
Screen	8	88%	10.5(5.8)	+0.45	6.1
Corner	6	67%	17.2(10.4)	+1.26	10.5
Go	4	75%	20.0(9.9)	+1.37	9.3
Slant	2	100%	6.5(7.2)	−0.29	7.3
Wheel	1	100%	52.0(10.2)	+4.42	11.6
Deep out	1	100%	8.0(8.0)	+2.37	7.9

Against man and zone

Defense	Tgt	Catch	Yds/tgt	EPA/tgt
Zone	91	80%	9.7	+0.55
Man	45	73%	8.5	+0.57

Against each coverage

Defense	Tgt	Catch	Yds/tgt	EPA/tgt
Cover 3	39	74%	11.1	+0.52
Cover 1	34	65%	8.4	+0.34
Cover 2	34	91%	9.2	+0.67
2-man	6	100%	11.7	+1.40
Cover 6	6	83%	10.3	+0.50
Cover 4	6	83%	6.5	+0.65
Cover 0	5	100%	5.6	+1.11
Cover 9	1	100%	15.0	+0.94

Routes are the ones the player was targetedon: nflverse labels the targeted receiver's route on about nine in ten targets, and routes run without a throw are not public, so this shows where a player's looks come from, not everything he ran. Yards per target in brackets is the league figure for that route. Rows with few targets are dimmed; small samples swing.

Game log

Game	Result	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Snap %
2026 W2 @ BUFSep 17	L 31–41	7	6	52	1	98%
2026 W1 vs NOSep 13	W 31–30	8	5	48	0	81%
2025 W10 @ WSHNov 9	W 44–22	5	5	53	0	76%
2025 W9 vs MINNov 2	L 24–27	8	6	97	1	100%
2025 W7 vs TBOct 20	W 24–9	3	3	15	0	97%
2025 W6 @ KCOct 12	L 17–30	6	5	55	1	96%
2025 W5 @ CINOct 5	W 37–24	6	5	92	1	94%
2025 W4 vs CLESep 28	W 34–10	4	3	39	0	93%
2025 W3 @ BALSep 22	W 38–30	4	4	33	0	84%
2025 W2 vs CHISep 14	W 52–21	4	3	26	0	85%
2025 W1 @ GBSep 7	L 13–27	9	6	79	0	91%

Prop lines come from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM through TheRundown and can lag what a book shows right now — check the book before you rely on a number. Splits count the games he played (snap counts show who was on the field) and describe the past; they are not a prediction. A game he played with no stat line counts as a zero; a game he sat out is left out, because books void the prop then. Stats and route labels from nflverse. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.