Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Bijan Robinson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rush yds/g
77.5
Rec/g
5.5
Rec yds/g
49.5
Targets/g
7.0
2026 games
2

Before the lines post · next: at GB

Rush yds No line yet

ATL at GB · Thu, Sep 24, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 44.5 · wind 4 mph · 4 days rest
GB allows the 10th-most rushing yards to RBs (103 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

84.5
18 of 36 over50%range 3763%avg 76% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 8 vs PIT: 68 · 50 snaps (89%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 16 at PHI: 97 · 46 snaps (75%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 vs KC: 31 · 50 snaps (82%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 vs NO: 28 · 36 snaps (64%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 3 vs TB: 61 · 58 snaps (67%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 at CAR: 95 · 39 snaps (56%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 vs SEA: 103 · 50 snaps (68%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at TB: 63 · 42 snaps (68%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs DAL: 86 · 42 snaps (74%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at NO: 116 · 61 snaps (78%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 at DEN: 35 · 42 snaps (71%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs LAC: 102 · 61 snaps (75%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 at MIN: 92 · 63 snaps (85%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 16 at LV: 125 · 44 snaps (76%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 vs NYG: 94 · 50 snaps (75%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 29 at WSH: 90 · 58 snaps (91%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 5 vs CAR: 170 · 69 snaps (87%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 vs TB: 24 · 63 snaps (83%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at MIN: 143 · 43 snaps (65%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 21 at CAR: 72 · 53 snaps (80%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs WSH: 75 · 45 snaps (69%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs BUF: 170 · 52 snaps (74%)2025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at SF: 40 · 57 snaps (88%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs MIA: 25 · 30 snaps (60%)2025 wk 9 · Nov 2 at NE: 46 · 54 snaps (96%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at IND: 84 · 54 snaps (86%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs CAR: 104 · 56 snaps (85%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 at NO: 70 · 37 snaps (66%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 30 at NYJ: 142 · 60 snaps (87%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs SEA: 86 · 43 snaps (67%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 11 at TB: 93 · 64 snaps (90%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 at ARI: 76 · 54 snaps (70%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 29 vs LAR: 195 · 42 snaps (79%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs NO: 33 · 53 snaps (84%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at PIT: 83 · 46 snaps (77%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 vs CAR: 72 · 35 snaps (51%)84.5
84.5

Middle half of these games: 62.5102.3 · median 85 · range 24195

Projected range · contextmedian 72middle half 4310380% range 26140

How his rush yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Robinson's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Carry share59.1%60.9%58.7%60.2%
Carries a game17.318.218.516.9
Snap share70.7%75.2%64.0%78.2%
DriverATL offenseGB defense faces
Rushes per game26.3 #627.3 #4
Rush rate over expected+4.6 #4+4.2 #2
Early-down rush rate49.6% #548.5% #7

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 51/520%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season0/20%
2025 season7/1741%
At home9/1850%
On the road9/1850%
As an underdog9/1850%
Short rest2/633%
Prime time7/1070%
With Michael Penix Jr.6/1250%
Vs soft defenses8/1553%

Rush att No line yet

ATL at GB · Thu, Sep 24, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 44.5 · wind 4 mph · 4 days rest
GB allows the 3rd-most carries to RBs (25 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

19.5
13 of 36 over36%range 2450%avg 76% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 8 vs PIT: 18 · 50 snaps (89%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 16 at PHI: 14 · 46 snaps (75%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 vs KC: 16 · 50 snaps (82%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 vs NO: 7 · 36 snaps (64%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 3 vs TB: 12 · 58 snaps (67%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 at CAR: 15 · 39 snaps (56%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 vs SEA: 21 · 50 snaps (68%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at TB: 13 · 42 snaps (68%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs DAL: 19 · 42 snaps (74%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at NO: 20 · 61 snaps (78%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 at DEN: 12 · 42 snaps (71%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs LAC: 26 · 61 snaps (75%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 at MIN: 22 · 63 snaps (85%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 16 at LV: 22 · 44 snaps (76%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 vs NYG: 22 · 50 snaps (75%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 29 at WSH: 17 · 58 snaps (91%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 5 vs CAR: 28 · 69 snaps (87%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 vs TB: 12 · 63 snaps (83%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at MIN: 22 · 43 snaps (65%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 21 at CAR: 13 · 53 snaps (80%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs WSH: 17 · 45 snaps (69%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs BUF: 19 · 52 snaps (74%)2025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at SF: 14 · 57 snaps (88%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs MIA: 9 · 30 snaps (60%)2025 wk 9 · Nov 2 at NE: 12 · 54 snaps (96%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at IND: 17 · 54 snaps (86%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs CAR: 23 · 56 snaps (85%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 at NO: 14 · 37 snaps (66%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 30 at NYJ: 23 · 60 snaps (87%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs SEA: 20 · 43 snaps (67%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 11 at TB: 19 · 64 snaps (90%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 at ARI: 16 · 54 snaps (70%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 29 vs LAR: 22 · 42 snaps (79%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs NO: 15 · 53 snaps (84%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at PIT: 21 · 46 snaps (77%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 vs CAR: 16 · 35 snaps (51%)19.5
19.5

Middle half of these games: 1421.3 · median 17 · range 728

Projected range · contextmedian 16.2middle half 11.62180% range 825

How his rush att tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Robinson's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Carry share59.1%60.9%58.7%60.2%
Carries a game17.318.218.516.9
Snap share70.7%75.2%64.0%78.2%
DriverATL offenseGB defense faces
Rushes per game26.3 #627.3 #4
Rush rate over expected+4.6 #4+4.2 #2
Early-down rush rate49.6% #548.5% #7

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 52/540%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season5/1729%
At home7/1839%
On the road6/1833%
As an underdog6/1833%
Short rest1/617%
Prime time3/1030%
With Michael Penix Jr.4/1233%
Vs soft defenses6/1540%

Receptions No line yet

ATL at GB · Thu, Sep 24, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 44.5 · wind 4 mph · 4 days rest
GB allows the 10th-fewest receptions to RBs (3.9 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

4.5
14 of 36 over39%range 2753%avg 76% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 8 vs PIT: 5 · 50 snaps (89%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 16 at PHI: 4 · 46 snaps (75%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 vs KC: 2 · 50 snaps (82%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 vs NO: 4 · 36 snaps (64%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 3 vs TB: 3 · 58 snaps (67%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 at CAR: 3 · 39 snaps (56%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 vs SEA: 3 · 50 snaps (68%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at TB: 7 · 42 snaps (68%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs DAL: 7 · 42 snaps (74%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at NO: 3 · 61 snaps (78%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 at DEN: 4 · 42 snaps (71%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs LAC: 6 · 61 snaps (75%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 at MIN: 2 · 63 snaps (85%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 16 at LV: 1 · 44 snaps (76%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 vs NYG: 2 · 50 snaps (75%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 29 at WSH: 3 · 58 snaps (91%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 5 vs CAR: 2 · 69 snaps (87%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 vs TB: 6 · 63 snaps (83%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at MIN: 3 · 43 snaps (65%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 21 at CAR: 5 · 53 snaps (80%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs WSH: 4 · 45 snaps (69%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs BUF: 6 · 52 snaps (74%)2025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at SF: 6 · 57 snaps (88%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs MIA: 3 · 30 snaps (60%)2025 wk 9 · Nov 2 at NE: 8 · 54 snaps (96%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at IND: 2 · 54 snaps (86%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs CAR: 4 · 56 snaps (85%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 at NO: 2 · 37 snaps (66%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 30 at NYJ: 5 · 60 snaps (87%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs SEA: 2 · 43 snaps (67%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 11 at TB: 8 · 64 snaps (90%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 at ARI: 7 · 54 snaps (70%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 29 vs LAR: 5 · 42 snaps (79%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs NO: 3 · 53 snaps (84%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at PIT: 8 · 46 snaps (77%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 vs CAR: 3 · 35 snaps (51%)4.5
4.5

Middle half of these games: 36 · median 4 · range 18

Projected range · contextmedian 4.5middle half 36.280% range 1.88

How his receptions tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Robinson's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Target share21.3%27.0%28.0%19.9%
Targets a game5.77.87.06.1
Snap share70.7%75.2%64.0%78.2%
DriverATL offenseGB defense faces
Dropbacks per game33.9 #2635.9 #17
Pass rate over expected−4.6 #29−4.2 #31
Neutral-script pass rate50.4% #2748.0% #32
Dropback success rate43.8% #2445.6% #18

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
Passes to himRobinsonLeagueATL offenseGB defense faces
Catchable-target rate80.0%68.1%67.1% #2470.5% #10
Drop rate2.5%5.5%4.4% #265.1% #19
Contested-target rate7.0%13.0%15.2% #717.9% #2
Pressure on his QB29.7%28.3% #2228.0% #23

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 53/560%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season9/1753%
At home6/1833%
On the road8/1844%
As an underdog8/1844%
Short rest2/633%
Prime time4/1040%
With Michael Penix Jr.5/1242%
Vs tough defenses3/1030%

Rec yds No line yet

ATL at GB · Thu, Sep 24, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 44.5 · wind 4 mph · 4 days rest
GB allows the 15th-fewest receiving yards to RBs (31 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

38
16 of 36 over44%range 3258%avg 76% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 8 vs PIT: 43 · 50 snaps (89%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 16 at PHI: 25 · 46 snaps (75%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 vs KC: 21 · 50 snaps (82%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 vs NO: 46 · 36 snaps (64%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 3 vs TB: 16 · 58 snaps (67%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 at CAR: 10 · 39 snaps (56%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 vs SEA: 40 · 50 snaps (68%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at TB: 43 · 42 snaps (68%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs DAL: 59 · 42 snaps (74%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at NO: 28 · 61 snaps (78%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 at DEN: 28 · 42 snaps (71%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs LAC: 33 · 61 snaps (75%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 at MIN: 9 · 63 snaps (85%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 16 at LV: 10 · 44 snaps (76%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 vs NYG: 9 · 50 snaps (75%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 29 at WSH: 8 · 58 snaps (91%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 5 vs CAR: 3 · 69 snaps (87%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 vs TB: 100 · 63 snaps (83%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at MIN: 25 · 43 snaps (65%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 21 at CAR: 39 · 53 snaps (80%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs WSH: 106 · 45 snaps (69%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs BUF: 68 · 52 snaps (74%)2025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at SF: 52 · 57 snaps (88%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs MIA: 23 · 30 snaps (60%)2025 wk 9 · Nov 2 at NE: 50 · 54 snaps (96%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at IND: 4 · 54 snaps (86%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs CAR: 39 · 56 snaps (85%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 at NO: 37 · 37 snaps (66%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 30 at NYJ: 51 · 60 snaps (87%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs SEA: 8 · 43 snaps (67%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 11 at TB: 82 · 64 snaps (90%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 at ARI: 92 · 54 snaps (70%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 29 vs LAR: 34 · 42 snaps (79%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs NO: 10 · 53 snaps (84%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at PIT: 90 · 46 snaps (77%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 vs CAR: 9 · 35 snaps (51%)38
38

Middle half of these games: 1050.3 · median 33.5 · range 3106

Projected range · contextmedian 36middle half 16.45780% range 481

How his rec yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Robinson's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Target share21.3%27.0%28.0%19.9%
Targets a game5.77.87.06.1
Snap share70.7%75.2%64.0%78.2%
DriverATL offenseGB defense faces
Dropbacks per game33.9 #2635.9 #17
Pass rate over expected−4.6 #29−4.2 #31
Neutral-script pass rate50.4% #2748.0% #32
Dropback success rate43.8% #2445.6% #18

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
Passes to himRobinsonLeagueATL offenseGB defense faces
Catchable-target rate80.0%68.1%67.1% #2470.5% #10
Drop rate2.5%5.5%4.4% #265.1% #19
Contested-target rate7.0%13.0%15.2% #717.9% #2
Pressure on his QB29.7%28.3% #2228.0% #23

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 52/540%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season10/1759%
At home8/1844%
On the road8/1844%
As an underdog6/1833%
Short rest2/633%
Prime time3/1030%
With Michael Penix Jr.7/1258%
Vs middling defenses9/1753%

Rush + rec yds No line yet

ATL at GB · Thu, Sep 24, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 44.5 · wind 4 mph · 4 days rest
GB allows the 14th-most rushing + receiving yards to RBs (134 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

155.5
9 of 36 over25%range 1538%avg 76% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 8 vs PIT: 111 · 50 snaps (89%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 16 at PHI: 122 · 46 snaps (75%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 vs KC: 52 · 50 snaps (82%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 vs NO: 74 · 36 snaps (64%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 3 vs TB: 77 · 58 snaps (67%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 at CAR: 105 · 39 snaps (56%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 vs SEA: 143 · 50 snaps (68%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at TB: 106 · 42 snaps (68%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs DAL: 145 · 42 snaps (74%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at NO: 144 · 61 snaps (78%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 at DEN: 63 · 42 snaps (71%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs LAC: 135 · 61 snaps (75%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 at MIN: 101 · 63 snaps (85%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 16 at LV: 135 · 44 snaps (76%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 vs NYG: 103 · 50 snaps (75%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 29 at WSH: 98 · 58 snaps (91%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 5 vs CAR: 173 · 69 snaps (87%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 vs TB: 124 · 63 snaps (83%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at MIN: 168 · 43 snaps (65%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 21 at CAR: 111 · 53 snaps (80%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs WSH: 181 · 45 snaps (69%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs BUF: 238 · 52 snaps (74%)2025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at SF: 92 · 57 snaps (88%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs MIA: 48 · 30 snaps (60%)2025 wk 9 · Nov 2 at NE: 96 · 54 snaps (96%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at IND: 88 · 54 snaps (86%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs CAR: 143 · 56 snaps (85%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 at NO: 107 · 37 snaps (66%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 30 at NYJ: 193 · 60 snaps (87%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs SEA: 94 · 43 snaps (67%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 11 at TB: 175 · 64 snaps (90%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 at ARI: 168 · 54 snaps (70%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 29 vs LAR: 229 · 42 snaps (79%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs NO: 43 · 53 snaps (84%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at PIT: 173 · 46 snaps (77%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 vs CAR: 81 · 35 snaps (51%)155.5
155.5

Middle half of these games: 93.5150.8 · median 111 · range 43238

Projected range · contextmedian 114middle half 8115580% range 52194

How his rush + rec yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Robinson's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Target share21.3%27.0%28.0%19.9%
Carry share59.1%60.9%58.7%60.2%
Touches a game23.026.025.522.9
Snap share70.7%75.2%64.0%78.2%
DriverATL offenseGB defense faces
Rushes per game26.3 #627.3 #4
Rush rate over expected+4.6 #4+4.2 #2
Dropbacks per game33.9 #2635.9 #17
Pass rate over expected−4.6 #29−4.2 #31

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
Passes to himRobinsonLeagueATL offenseGB defense faces
Catchable-target rate80.0%68.1%67.1% #2470.5% #10
Drop rate2.5%5.5%4.4% #265.1% #19
Contested-target rate7.0%13.0%15.2% #717.9% #2
Pressure on his QB29.7%28.3% #2228.0% #23

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 53/560%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season7/1741%
At home4/1822%
On the road5/1828%
As an underdog5/1828%
Short rest1/617%
Prime time4/1040%
With Michael Penix Jr.4/1233%
Vs middling defenses4/1429%

Anytime TD No line yet

ATL at GB · Thu, Sep 24, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 44.5 · wind 4 mph · 4 days rest

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). Here is how often he has scored, in the situations this game sets up.

20 of 36 scored56%range 4268%avg 76% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 8 vs PIT: 0 · 50 snaps (89%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 16 at PHI: 0 · 46 snaps (75%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 vs KC: 1 · 50 snaps (82%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 vs NO: 0 · 36 snaps (64%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 3 vs TB: 0 · 58 snaps (67%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 at CAR: 1 · 39 snaps (56%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 vs SEA: 1 · 50 snaps (68%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at TB: 1 · 42 snaps (68%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs DAL: 0 · 42 snaps (74%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at NO: 1 · 61 snaps (78%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 at DEN: 0 · 42 snaps (71%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs LAC: 1 · 61 snaps (75%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 at MIN: 1 · 63 snaps (85%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 16 at LV: 0 · 44 snaps (76%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 vs NYG: 1 · 50 snaps (75%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 29 at WSH: 1 · 58 snaps (91%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 5 vs CAR: 1 · 69 snaps (87%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 vs TB: 1 · 63 snaps (83%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at MIN: 0 · 43 snaps (65%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 21 at CAR: 0 · 53 snaps (80%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs WSH: 1 · 45 snaps (69%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs BUF: 1 · 52 snaps (74%)2025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at SF: 1 · 57 snaps (88%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs MIA: 0 · 30 snaps (60%)2025 wk 9 · Nov 2 at NE: 0 · 54 snaps (96%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at IND: 0 · 54 snaps (86%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs CAR: 1 · 56 snaps (85%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 at NO: 0 · 37 snaps (66%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 30 at NYJ: 1 · 60 snaps (87%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs SEA: 0 · 43 snaps (67%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 11 at TB: 1 · 64 snaps (90%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 at ARI: 1 · 54 snaps (70%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 29 vs LAR: 1 · 42 snaps (79%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs NO: 0 · 53 snaps (84%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at PIT: 1 · 46 snaps (77%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 vs CAR: 0 · 35 snaps (51%)
Volume drivers and his share
Robinson's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Touch share41.1%44.2%45.1%39.2%
Touches a game23.026.025.522.9
Snap share70.7%75.2%64.0%78.2%

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Each bar is measured against a touchdown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitScoredRate
Last 53/560%
Last 106/1060%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season9/1753%
At home10/1856%
On the road10/1856%
As an underdog10/1856%
Short rest4/667%
Prime time6/1060%
With Michael Penix Jr.8/1267%

Routes

Routes and coverage

2024–25 seasons · 173 targets with a route label
Weighted by where Bijan Robinson's targets come from, GB has allowed 0.09 yds/target more than the league average on those routes. They play man on 26% of dropbacks (league 40%).
A description of how GB's defense has fared, not a projection. Each defense number is pulled toward the league average in proportion to how few targets it rests on.
RouteShareTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgtGB allow
Swing
5485%8.1(5.3)+0.285.9
Screen
4493%4.7(5.8)−0.055.7
Quick out
3177%7.8(5.5)+0.375.1
Hitch / curl
2075%8.6(6.8)+0.376.9
Shallow cross
683%5.2(6.5)−0.166.0
Texas / angle
580%19.4(6.5)+1.096.0
Wheel
450%9.5(10.2)+0.799.8
Slant
30%0.0(7.2)−1.157.1
Go
20%0.0(9.9)−1.079.9
Corner
20%0.0(10.4)−1.049.6
Deep out
1100%6.0(8.0)+0.288.1
Post
1100%14.0(12.3)+1.6512.8

Against man and zone

DefenseTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgt
Zone13280%6.7+0.15
Man4180%8.9+0.35

Against each coverage

DefenseTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgt
Cover 35389%7.7+0.29
Cover 24973%5.8+0.07
Cover 13479%9.9+0.46
Cover 41681%6.9+0.22
Cover 6989%5.3−0.09
2-man4100%7.3+0.33
Cover 0367%-0.3−0.90
Cover 9333%7.7−0.33

Routes are the ones the player was targetedon: nflverse labels the targeted receiver's route on about nine in ten targets, and routes run without a throw are not public, so this shows where a player's looks come from, not everything he ran. Yards per target in brackets is the league figure for that route. Rows with few targets are dimmed; small samples swing.

Game log

GameResultCarRush ydsRush TDTgtRecRec ydsRec TDSnap %
2026 W2 vs CARSep 20L 33416720439051%
2026 W1 @ PITSep 13L 13202183010890177%
2025 W18 vs NOJan 4W 1917153303310084%
2025 W17 vs LARDec 29W 27242219518534179%
2025 W16 @ ARIDec 21W 26191676011792170%
2025 W15 @ TBDec 11W 29281993111882090%
2025 W14 vs SEADec 7L 93720860228067%
2025 W13 @ NYJNov 30L 24272314217551087%
2025 W12 @ NONov 23W 2410147002237066%
2025 W11 vs CARNov 16L 27302310425439085%
2025 W10 @ INDNov 9L 253117840224086%
2025 W9 @ NENov 2L 23241246010850096%
2025 W8 vs MIAOct 26L 103492503323060%
2025 W7 @ SFOct 19L 1020144008652188%
2025 W6 vs BUFOct 13W 24141917018668074%
2025 W4 vs WSHSep 28W 34271775154106069%
2025 W3 @ CARSep 21L 030137206539080%
2025 W2 @ MINSep 14W 2262214305325065%
2025 W1 vs TBSep 7L 20231224076100183%

Prop lines come from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM through TheRundown and can lag what a book shows right now — check the book before you rely on a number. Splits count the games he played (snap counts show who was on the field) and describe the past; they are not a prediction. A game he played with no stat line counts as a zero; a game he sat out is left out, because books void the prop then. Stats and route labels from nflverse. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.