Props this week
Anytime TD
Volume drivers and his share
| Smith's role | Last 3 | Last 6 | 2026 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Touch share | 0.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 2.3% |
| Touches a game | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Snap share | 15.7% | 29.0% | 26.0% | 23.9% |
Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Each bar is measured against a touchdown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 1 of his team's games in this span (Nov 23 vs TB); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.
| Split | Scored | Rate | TDs/game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 0/5 | 0% | 0.00 |
| Last 10 | 0/10 | 0% | 0.00 |
| 2026 season | 0/1 | 0% | 0.00 |
| 2025 season | 0/17 | 0% | 0.00 |
| At home | 0/12 | 0% | 0.00 |
| On the road | 0/16 | 0% | 0.00 |
| As a favorite | 0/21 | 0% | 0.00 |
| Long rest | 0/6 | 0% | 0.00 |
| Prime time | 0/5 | 0% | 0.00 |
| With Matthew Stafford | 0/27 | 0% | 0.00 |
| Without Puka Nacua (Questionable) | 0/5 | 0% | 0.00 |
| With Puka Nacua | 0/23 | 0% | 0.00 |
| Without Jordan Whittington (Doubtful) | 0/4 | 0% | 0.00 |
| With Jordan Whittington | 0/24 | 0% | 0.00 |
Books and line movement
| Book | Line | Yes |
|---|---|---|
| MGM | — | +500 |
| DK | — | +950 |
| FD | — | +950 |
We have not seen a line for this yet.
Routes
Routes and coverage
2024–25 seasons · 26 targets with a route label| Route | Share | Tgt | Catch | Yds/tgt | EPA/tgt | NYG allow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quick out | 7 | 100% | 9.4(5.5) | +0.73 | 5.1 | |
| Hitch / curl | 5 | 100% | 11.2(6.8) | +1.21 | 6.7 | |
| Corner | 4 | 50% | 21.8(10.4) | +1.24 | 13.1 | |
| Post | 3 | 33% | 16.0(12.3) | +1.05 | 12.2 | |
| Screen | 3 | 100% | 3.3(5.8) | −0.29 | 6.1 | |
| In / dig | 2 | 50% | 18.0(9.6) | +2.55 | 9.4 | |
| Go | 1 | 0% | 0.0(9.9) | −2.54 | 10.8 | |
| Shallow cross | 1 | 100% | 6.0(6.5) | +0.91 | 6.2 |
Against man and zone
| Defense | Tgt | Catch | Yds/tgt | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zone | 17 | 76% | 13.1 | +0.95 |
| Man | 9 | 78% | 9.6 | +0.63 |
Against each coverage
| Defense | Tgt | Catch | Yds/tgt | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cover 1 | 8 | 75% | 9.3 | +0.64 |
| Cover 2 | 6 | 83% | 8.7 | +0.49 |
| Cover 3 | 6 | 83% | 11.2 | +0.99 |
| Cover 6 | 2 | 50% | 24.0 | +1.82 |
| Cover 9 | 2 | 50% | 25.5 | +1.79 |
| 2-man | 1 | 100% | 12.0 | +0.55 |
| Cover 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | +0.04 |
Routes are the ones the player was targetedon: nflverse labels the targeted receiver's route on about nine in ten targets, and routes run without a throw are not public, so this shows where a player's looks come from, not everything he ran. Yards per target in brackets is the league figure for that route. Rows with few targets are dimmed; small samples swing.
Game log
| Game | Result | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Snap % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 vs SFSep 10 | L 7–27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26% |
| 2025 W21 · playoffs @ SEAJan 25 | L 27–31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15% |
| 2025 W20 · playoffs @ CHIJan 18 | W 20–17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6% |
| 2025 W19 · playoffs @ CARJan 10 | W 34–31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43% |
| 2025 W18 vs ARIJan 4 | W 37–20 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 33% |
| 2025 W17 @ ATLDec 29 | L 24–27 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 0 | 51% |
| 2025 W16 @ SEADec 18 | L 37–38 | 2 | 2 | 57 | 0 | 24% |
| 2025 W15 vs DETDec 14 | W 41–34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4% |
| 2025 W14 @ ARIDec 7 | W 45–17 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 30% |
| 2025 W13 @ CARNov 30 | L 28–31 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 0 | 38% |
| 2025 W11 vs SEANov 16 | W 21–19 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 12% |
| 2025 W10 @ SFNov 9 | W 42–26 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 49% |
| 2025 W9 vs NONov 2 | W 34–10 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 16% |
| 2025 W7 @ JAXOct 19 | W 35–7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 47% |
| 2025 W6 @ BALOct 12 | W 17–3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25% |
| 2025 W4 vs INDSep 28 | W 27–20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8% |
| 2025 W2 @ TENSep 14 | W 33–19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| 2025 W1 vs HOUSep 7 | W 14–9 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 0 | 3% |
Prop lines come from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM through TheRundown and can lag what a book shows right now — check the book before you rely on a number. Splits count the games he played (snap counts show who was on the field) and describe the past; they are not a prediction. A game he played with no stat line counts as a zero; a game he sat out is left out, because books void the prop then. Stats and route labels from nflverse. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.