Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Pass yds/g
233.5
Rush yds/g
31.0
2026 games
2

Before the lines post · next: at CHI

Pass yds No line yet

PHI at CHI · Mon, Sep 28, 8:15 PM ET · favored by 3.5 · total 44 · wind 8 mph · 8 days rest
CHI allows the 5th-most passing yards to QBs (251 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

194
19 of 38 over50%range 3763%avg 95% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 6 vs GB: 278 · 76 snaps (100%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 16 vs ATL: 183 · 71 snaps (100%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at NO: 311 · 72 snaps (100%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 at TB: 158 · 57 snaps (100%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs CLE: 264 · 62 snaps (100%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 at NYG: 114 · 54 snaps (82%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at CIN: 236 · 61 snaps (100%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs JAX: 230 · 79 snaps (100%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at DAL: 202 · 54 snaps (79%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 14 vs WSH: 221 · 71 snaps (100%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 24 at LAR: 179 · 71 snaps (97%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 at BAL: 118 · 56 snaps (100%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 vs CAR: 108 · 58 snaps (100%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 vs PIT: 290 · 80 snaps (100%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 at WSH: 11 · 12 snaps (16%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 12 vs GB: 131 · 60 snaps (100%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 vs LAR: 128 · 63 snaps (100%)2024 wk 21 · Jan 26 vs WSH: 246 · 66 snaps (93%)2024 wk 22 · Feb 9 vs KC: 221 · 67 snaps (91%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 4 vs DAL: 152 · 63 snaps (100%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at KC: 101 · 60 snaps (100%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 21 vs LAR: 226 · 67 snaps (100%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 at TB: 130 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 vs DEN: 280 · 61 snaps (100%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 9 at NYG: 283 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at MIN: 326 · 50 snaps (100%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs NYG: 179 · 55 snaps (93%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 10 at GB: 183 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs DET: 135 · 72 snaps (100%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 at DAL: 289 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 28 vs CHI: 230 · 54 snaps (100%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 8 at LAC: 240 · 71 snaps (100%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 vs LV: 175 · 52 snaps (75%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 20 at WSH: 185 · 66 snaps (94%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 28 at BUF: 110 · 54 snaps (100%)2025 wk 19 · Jan 11 vs SF: 168 · 73 snaps (100%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs WSH: 203 · 55 snaps (100%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 at TEN: 264 · 76 snaps (100%)194
194

Middle half of these games: 139.3244.5 · median 193.5 · range 11326

Projected range · contextmedian 203middle half 11826680% range 7.2334

How his pass yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Hurts's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Pass attempts a game32.328.231.028.8
Snap share100.0%94.8%100.0%97.8%
DriverPHI offenseCHI defense faces
Dropbacks per game34.7 #2337.1 #11
Pass rate over expected−0.7 #17−0.0 #18
Neutral-script pass rate55.1% #1352.1% #26
Dropback success rate44.1% #2146.0% #15
EPA per dropback+0.09 #12+0.10 #12

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
His passesHurtsLeagueCHI defense faces
Catchable-ball rate68.3%68.1%69.0% #17
Interception-worthy throws1.9%3.1%4.5% #3
Completion % under pressure28.5%34.6%31.2% #27
Completion % clean69.8%69.4%67.3% #24
Pressure rate25.9%29.7%26.5% #27
Drops by his receivers5.5%5.5%6.6% #5

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 3 of his team's games in this span (Jan 4 vs WSH, Jan 5 vs NYG, Dec 29 vs DAL); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 52/540%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season2/2100%
2025 season7/1741%
At home11/2055%
On the road8/1844%
Vs CHI1/1100%
As a favorite16/3250%
Prime time4/944%
Vs soft defenses6/1540%
Without Dallas Goedert (Questionable)3/743%
With Dallas Goedert16/3152%
With Saquon Barkley19/3850%

Pass TDs No line yet

PHI at CHI · Mon, Sep 28, 8:15 PM ET · favored by 3.5 · total 44 · wind 8 mph · 8 days rest
CHI allows the 9th-most passing TDs to QBs (1.7 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

1.5
18 of 38 over47%range 3560%avg 95% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 6 vs GB: 2 · 76 snaps (100%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 16 vs ATL: 1 · 71 snaps (100%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at NO: 0 · 72 snaps (100%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 at TB: 1 · 57 snaps (100%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs CLE: 2 · 62 snaps (100%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 at NYG: 1 · 54 snaps (82%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at CIN: 1 · 61 snaps (100%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs JAX: 2 · 79 snaps (100%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at DAL: 2 · 54 snaps (79%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 14 vs WSH: 0 · 71 snaps (100%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 24 at LAR: 1 · 71 snaps (97%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 at BAL: 1 · 56 snaps (100%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 vs CAR: 2 · 58 snaps (100%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 vs PIT: 2 · 80 snaps (100%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 at WSH: 0 · 12 snaps (16%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 12 vs GB: 2 · 60 snaps (100%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 vs LAR: 0 · 63 snaps (100%)2024 wk 21 · Jan 26 vs WSH: 1 · 66 snaps (93%)2024 wk 22 · Feb 9 vs KC: 2 · 67 snaps (91%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 4 vs DAL: 0 · 63 snaps (100%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at KC: 0 · 60 snaps (100%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 21 vs LAR: 3 · 67 snaps (100%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 at TB: 2 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 vs DEN: 2 · 61 snaps (100%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 9 at NYG: 1 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at MIN: 3 · 50 snaps (100%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs NYG: 4 · 55 snaps (93%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 10 at GB: 1 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs DET: 0 · 72 snaps (100%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 at DAL: 1 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 28 vs CHI: 2 · 54 snaps (100%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 8 at LAC: 0 · 71 snaps (100%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 vs LV: 3 · 52 snaps (75%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 20 at WSH: 2 · 66 snaps (94%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 28 at BUF: 1 · 54 snaps (100%)2025 wk 19 · Jan 11 vs SF: 1 · 73 snaps (100%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs WSH: 3 · 55 snaps (100%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 at TEN: 2 · 76 snaps (100%)1.5
1.5

Middle half of these games: 12 · median 1 · range 04

Projected range · contextmedian 1.1middle half 12.180% range 03.1

How his pass tds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Hurts's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Pass attempts a game32.328.231.028.8
Snap share100.0%94.8%100.0%97.8%
DriverPHI offenseCHI defense faces
Dropbacks per game34.7 #2337.1 #11
Pass rate over expected−0.7 #17−0.0 #18
Neutral-script pass rate55.1% #1352.1% #26
Dropback success rate44.1% #2146.0% #15
EPA per dropback+0.09 #12+0.10 #12

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
His passesHurtsLeagueCHI defense faces
Catchable-ball rate68.3%68.1%69.0% #17
Interception-worthy throws1.9%3.1%4.5% #3
Completion % under pressure28.5%34.6%31.2% #27
Completion % clean69.8%69.4%67.3% #24
Pressure rate25.9%29.7%26.5% #27
Drops by his receivers5.5%5.5%6.6% #5

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 3 of his team's games in this span (Jan 4 vs WSH, Jan 5 vs NYG, Dec 29 vs DAL); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 53/560%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season2/2100%
2025 season8/1747%
At home13/2065%
On the road5/1828%
Vs CHI1/1100%
As a favorite17/3253%
Prime time1/911%
Vs soft defenses8/1650%
Without Dallas Goedert (Questionable)3/743%
With Dallas Goedert15/3148%
With Saquon Barkley18/3847%

Pass att No line yet

PHI at CHI · Mon, Sep 28, 8:15 PM ET · favored by 3.5 · total 44 · wind 8 mph · 8 days rest
CHI allows the 10th-most pass attempts to QBs (33 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

32
9 of 38 over24%range 1437%2 pushesavg 95% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 6 vs GB: 34 · 76 snaps (100%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 16 vs ATL: 30 · 71 snaps (100%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at NO: 38 · 72 snaps (100%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 at TB: 30 · 57 snaps (100%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs CLE: 25 · 62 snaps (100%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 at NYG: 14 · 54 snaps (82%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at CIN: 20 · 61 snaps (100%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs JAX: 24 · 79 snaps (100%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at DAL: 20 · 54 snaps (79%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 14 vs WSH: 28 · 71 snaps (100%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 24 at LAR: 22 · 71 snaps (97%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 at BAL: 19 · 56 snaps (100%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 vs CAR: 21 · 58 snaps (100%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 vs PIT: 32 · 80 snaps (100%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 at WSH: 4 · 12 snaps (16%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 12 vs GB: 21 · 60 snaps (100%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 vs LAR: 20 · 63 snaps (100%)2024 wk 21 · Jan 26 vs WSH: 28 · 66 snaps (93%)2024 wk 22 · Feb 9 vs KC: 22 · 67 snaps (91%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 4 vs DAL: 23 · 63 snaps (100%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at KC: 22 · 60 snaps (100%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 21 vs LAR: 32 · 67 snaps (100%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 at TB: 24 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 vs DEN: 38 · 61 snaps (100%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 9 at NYG: 33 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at MIN: 23 · 50 snaps (100%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs NYG: 20 · 55 snaps (93%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 10 at GB: 26 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs DET: 28 · 72 snaps (100%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 at DAL: 39 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 28 vs CHI: 34 · 54 snaps (100%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 8 at LAC: 40 · 71 snaps (100%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 vs LV: 15 · 52 snaps (75%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 20 at WSH: 30 · 66 snaps (94%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 28 at BUF: 27 · 54 snaps (100%)2025 wk 19 · Jan 11 vs SF: 35 · 73 snaps (100%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs WSH: 25 · 55 snaps (100%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 at TEN: 37 · 76 snaps (100%)32
32

Middle half of these games: 21.332 · median 25.5 · range 440

Projected range · contextmedian 31middle half 253780% range 19.340

How his pass att tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Hurts's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Pass attempts a game32.328.231.028.8
Snap share100.0%94.8%100.0%97.8%
DriverPHI offenseCHI defense faces
Dropbacks per game34.7 #2337.1 #11
Pass rate over expected−0.7 #17−0.0 #18
Neutral-script pass rate55.1% #1352.1% #26
Dropback success rate44.1% #2146.0% #15
EPA per dropback+0.09 #12+0.10 #12

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
His passesHurtsLeagueCHI defense faces
Catchable-ball rate68.3%68.1%69.0% #17
Interception-worthy throws1.9%3.1%4.5% #3
Completion % under pressure28.5%34.6%31.2% #27
Completion % clean69.8%69.4%67.3% #24
Pressure rate25.9%29.7%26.5% #27
Drops by his receivers5.5%5.5%6.6% #5

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 3 of his team's games in this span (Jan 4 vs WSH, Jan 5 vs NYG, Dec 29 vs DAL); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 52/540%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season1 push6/1735%
At home2 push4/2020%
On the road5/1828%
Vs CHI1/1100%
As a favorite2 push8/3225%
Prime time3/933%
Vs soft defenses1 push2/922%
Without Dallas Goedert (Questionable)1 push0/70%
With Dallas Goedert1 push9/3129%
With Saquon Barkley2 push9/3824%

Completions No line yet

PHI at CHI · Mon, Sep 28, 8:15 PM ET · favored by 3.5 · total 44 · wind 8 mph · 8 days rest
CHI allows the 16th-fewest completions to QBs (21 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

19.5
13 of 38 over34%range 2348%avg 95% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 6 vs GB: 20 · 76 snaps (100%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 16 vs ATL: 23 · 71 snaps (100%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at NO: 29 · 72 snaps (100%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 at TB: 18 · 57 snaps (100%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs CLE: 16 · 62 snaps (100%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 at NYG: 10 · 54 snaps (82%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at CIN: 16 · 61 snaps (100%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs JAX: 18 · 79 snaps (100%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at DAL: 14 · 54 snaps (79%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 14 vs WSH: 18 · 71 snaps (100%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 24 at LAR: 15 · 71 snaps (97%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 at BAL: 11 · 56 snaps (100%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 vs CAR: 14 · 58 snaps (100%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 vs PIT: 25 · 80 snaps (100%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 at WSH: 1 · 12 snaps (16%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 12 vs GB: 13 · 60 snaps (100%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 vs LAR: 15 · 63 snaps (100%)2024 wk 21 · Jan 26 vs WSH: 20 · 66 snaps (93%)2024 wk 22 · Feb 9 vs KC: 17 · 67 snaps (91%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 4 vs DAL: 19 · 63 snaps (100%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at KC: 15 · 60 snaps (100%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 21 vs LAR: 21 · 67 snaps (100%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 at TB: 15 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 vs DEN: 23 · 61 snaps (100%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 9 at NYG: 24 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at MIN: 19 · 50 snaps (100%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs NYG: 15 · 55 snaps (93%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 10 at GB: 15 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs DET: 14 · 72 snaps (100%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 at DAL: 27 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 28 vs CHI: 19 · 54 snaps (100%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 8 at LAC: 21 · 71 snaps (100%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 vs LV: 12 · 52 snaps (75%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 20 at WSH: 22 · 66 snaps (94%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 28 at BUF: 13 · 54 snaps (100%)2025 wk 19 · Jan 11 vs SF: 20 · 73 snaps (100%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs WSH: 14 · 55 snaps (100%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 at TEN: 26 · 76 snaps (100%)19.5
19.5

Middle half of these games: 14.320.8 · median 17.5 · range 129

Projected range · contextmedian 19middle half 12.32480% range 1.430

How his completions tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Hurts's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Pass attempts a game32.328.231.028.8
Snap share100.0%94.8%100.0%97.8%
DriverPHI offenseCHI defense faces
Dropbacks per game34.7 #2337.1 #11
Pass rate over expected−0.7 #17−0.0 #18
Neutral-script pass rate55.1% #1352.1% #26
Dropback success rate44.1% #2146.0% #15
EPA per dropback+0.09 #12+0.10 #12

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
His passesHurtsLeagueCHI defense faces
Catchable-ball rate68.3%68.1%69.0% #17
Interception-worthy throws1.9%3.1%4.5% #3
Completion % under pressure28.5%34.6%31.2% #27
Completion % clean69.8%69.4%67.3% #24
Pressure rate25.9%29.7%26.5% #27
Drops by his receivers5.5%5.5%6.6% #5

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 3 of his team's games in this span (Jan 4 vs WSH, Jan 5 vs NYG, Dec 29 vs DAL); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 53/560%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season7/1741%
At home7/2035%
On the road6/1833%
Vs CHI0/10%
As a favorite12/3238%
Prime time4/944%
Vs middling defenses4/1331%
Without Dallas Goedert (Questionable)1/714%
With Dallas Goedert12/3139%
With Saquon Barkley13/3834%

Rush yds No line yet

PHI at CHI · Mon, Sep 28, 8:15 PM ET · favored by 3.5 · total 44 · wind 8 mph · 8 days rest
CHI allows the 4th-most rushing yards to QBs (23 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

31
21 of 38 over55%range 4268%2 pushesavg 95% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 6 vs GB: 33 · 76 snaps (100%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 16 vs ATL: 85 · 71 snaps (100%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at NO: 25 · 72 snaps (100%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 at TB: 20 · 57 snaps (100%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs CLE: 33 · 62 snaps (100%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 at NYG: 22 · 54 snaps (82%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at CIN: 37 · 61 snaps (100%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs JAX: 67 · 79 snaps (100%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at DAL: 56 · 54 snaps (79%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 14 vs WSH: 39 · 71 snaps (100%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 24 at LAR: 39 · 71 snaps (97%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 at BAL: 29 · 56 snaps (100%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 vs CAR: 59 · 58 snaps (100%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 vs PIT: 45 · 80 snaps (100%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 at WSH: 41 · 12 snaps (16%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 12 vs GB: 36 · 60 snaps (100%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 vs LAR: 70 · 63 snaps (100%)2024 wk 21 · Jan 26 vs WSH: 16 · 66 snaps (93%)2024 wk 22 · Feb 9 vs KC: 72 · 67 snaps (91%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 4 vs DAL: 62 · 63 snaps (100%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at KC: 15 · 60 snaps (100%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 21 vs LAR: 40 · 67 snaps (100%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 at TB: 62 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 vs DEN: 3 · 61 snaps (100%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 9 at NYG: 13 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at MIN: -10 · 50 snaps (100%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs NYG: 22 · 55 snaps (93%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 10 at GB: 27 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs DET: 31 · 72 snaps (100%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 at DAL: 33 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 28 vs CHI: 31 · 54 snaps (100%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 8 at LAC: 8 · 71 snaps (100%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 vs LV: 39 · 52 snaps (75%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 20 at WSH: 40 · 66 snaps (94%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 28 at BUF: 5 · 54 snaps (100%)2025 wk 19 · Jan 11 vs SF: 14 · 73 snaps (100%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs WSH: 46 · 55 snaps (100%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 at TEN: 16 · 76 snaps (100%)31
31

Middle half of these games: 20.544 · median 33 · range -1085

Projected range · contextmedian 16.5middle half 4.83580% range 056

How his rush yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Hurts's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Carry share18.3%17.0%21.1%22.3%
Carries a game5.75.76.06.5
Snap share100.0%94.8%100.0%97.8%
DriverPHI offenseCHI defense faces
Rushes per game24.7 #1524.7 #14
Rush rate over expected+0.7 #16+0.0 #15
Early-down rush rate47.2% #845.4% #15

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 3 of his team's games in this span (Jan 4 vs WSH, Jan 5 vs NYG, Dec 29 vs DAL); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 52/540%
Last 102 push4/1040%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season2 push6/1735%
At home2 push14/2070%
On the road7/1839%
Vs CHI1 push0/10%
As a favorite2 push19/3259%
Prime time1 push5/956%
Vs soft defenses1 push6/1155%
Without Dallas Goedert (Questionable)5/771%
With Dallas Goedert2 push16/3152%
With Saquon Barkley2 push21/3855%

Quarters and halves

By quarter and half

2025–26 seasons · per game, 19 games played
StatQ1Q2Q3Q41H2HGame1H share
Pass yds
42.9
55.0
44.7
57.6
97.910520348%
Pass att
6.8
8.3
6.2
7.4
15.113.929.052%
Pass TDs
0.37
0.42
0.37
0.47
0.790.841.6348%
Rush yds
7.2
8.9
5.6
4.5
16.110.126.261%
Rush att
1.42
1.79
1.26
1.95
3.213.216.4250%

Averages over the games he played, from nflverse play-by-play; overtime counts in the second half and the game only. Book lines for a half or quarter are not in our data, so this is history to read against a line, not a comparison with one. A team that is ahead runs more in the second half, one that is behind throws more: the split describes how games went, not how the next one will.

Game log

GameResultC/APass ydsTDINTCarRush ydsRush TDSnap %
2026 W2 @ TENSep 20W 242026/37264225160100%
2026 W1 vs WSHSep 13W 242214/25203307460100%
2025 W19 · playoffs vs SFJan 11L 192320/35168105140100%
2025 W17 @ BUFDec 28W 131213/2711010350100%
2025 W16 @ WSHDec 20W 291822/3018520740094%
2025 W15 vs LVDec 14W 31012/1517530739075%
2025 W14 @ LACDec 8L 192221/4024004480100%
2025 W13 vs CHINov 28L 152419/34230214310100%
2025 W12 @ DALNov 23L 212427/39289107332100%
2025 W11 vs DETNov 16W 16914/281350010311100%
2025 W10 @ GBNov 10W 10715/26183105270100%
2025 W8 vs NYGOct 26W 382015/2017940422093%
2025 W7 @ MINOct 19W 282219/23326304-100100%
2025 W6 @ NYGOct 9L 173424/33283117131100%
2025 W5 vs DENOct 5L 172123/3828020230100%
2025 W4 @ TBSep 28W 312515/24130209620100%
2025 W3 vs LARSep 21W 332621/32226309401100%
2025 W2 @ KCSep 14W 201715/22101009151100%
2025 W1 vs DALSep 4W 242019/231520014622100%

Prop lines come from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM through TheRundown and can lag what a book shows right now — check the book before you rely on a number. Splits count the games he played (snap counts show who was on the field) and describe the past; they are not a prediction. A game he played with no stat line counts as a zero; a game he sat out is left out, because books void the prop then. Stats and route labels from nflverse. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.