Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Pass yds/g
291.0
Rush yds/g
46.0
2026 games
2

Before the lines post · next: vs LAC

Pass yds No line yet

BUF vs LAC · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · favored by 7 · total 50 · wind 4 mph · 10 days rest
LAC allows the 9th-fewest passing yards to QBs (207 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

249.5
19 of 41 over46%range 3459%avg 92% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 8 vs ARI: 232 · 62 snaps (100%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 12 at MIA: 139 · 41 snaps (91%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 23 vs JAX: 263 · 56 snaps (88%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 at BAL: 180 · 51 snaps (86%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at HOU: 131 · 60 snaps (98%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 14 at NYJ: 215 · 69 snaps (100%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 vs TEN: 323 · 55 snaps (100%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at SEA: 283 · 69 snaps (91%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs MIA: 235 · 66 snaps (100%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at IND: 280 · 73 snaps (99%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 vs KC: 262 · 73 snaps (100%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs SF: 148 · 43 snaps (74%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 at LAR: 342 · 60 snaps (100%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 at DET: 362 · 70 snaps (100%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 vs NE: 154 · 59 snaps (100%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 29 vs NYJ: 182 · 60 snaps (86%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 5 at NE: 0 · 1 snaps (1%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 12 vs DEN: 272 · 71 snaps (93%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 vs BAL: 127 · 61 snaps (100%)2024 wk 21 · Jan 26 at KC: 237 · 73 snaps (100%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 vs BAL: 394 · 85 snaps (100%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at NYJ: 148 · 65 snaps (87%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 18 vs MIA: 213 · 60 snaps (100%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs NO: 209 · 59 snaps (100%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 vs NE: 253 · 68 snaps (100%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 13 at ATL: 180 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 at CAR: 163 · 52 snaps (83%)2025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs KC: 273 · 66 snaps (100%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at MIA: 306 · 65 snaps (96%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs TB: 317 · 56 snaps (100%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 20 at HOU: 253 · 66 snaps (100%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 30 at PIT: 123 · 74 snaps (100%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs CIN: 251 · 64 snaps (100%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at NE: 193 · 70 snaps (100%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 at CLE: 130 · 50 snaps (100%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 28 vs PHI: 262 · 76 snaps (100%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs NYJ: 0 · 1 snaps (1%)2025 wk 19 · Jan 11 at JAX: 273 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 20 · Jan 17 at DEN: 283 · 78 snaps (100%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at HOU: 334 · 58 snaps (100%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 17 vs DET: 248 · 74 snaps (100%)249.5
249.5

Middle half of these games: 163273 · median 237 · range 0394

Projected range · contextmedian 225middle half 17727880% range 128327

How his pass yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Allen's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Pass attempts a game33.028.230.028.1
Snap share100.0%83.5%100.0%93.0%
DriverBUF offenseLAC defense faces
Dropbacks per game35.1 #2033.6 #29
Pass rate over expected−0.3 #16+1.8 #10
Neutral-script pass rate54.3% #1554.9% #17
Dropback success rate49.6% #645.9% #16
EPA per dropback+0.21 #2−0.01 #22

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
His passesAllenLeagueLAC defense faces
Catchable-ball rate67.0%68.1%67.1% #21
Interception-worthy throws3.4%3.1%3.3% #14
Completion % under pressure35.2%34.6%24.1% #32
Completion % clean73.5%69.4%69.3% #16
Pressure rate26.7%29.7%30.5% #14
Drops by his receivers5.9%5.5%6.4% #6

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 53/560%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season10/1953%
At home10/2050%
On the road9/2143%
As a favorite14/3145%
Long rest1/520%
Vs tough defenses8/1942%

Pass TDs No line yet

BUF vs LAC · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · favored by 7 · total 50 · wind 4 mph · 10 days rest
LAC allows the 5th-fewest passing TDs to QBs (1.1 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

1.5
24 of 41 over59%range 4670%avg 92% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 8 vs ARI: 2 · 62 snaps (100%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 12 at MIA: 1 · 41 snaps (91%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 23 vs JAX: 4 · 56 snaps (88%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 at BAL: 0 · 51 snaps (86%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at HOU: 1 · 60 snaps (98%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 14 at NYJ: 2 · 69 snaps (100%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 vs TEN: 2 · 55 snaps (100%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at SEA: 2 · 69 snaps (91%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs MIA: 3 · 66 snaps (100%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at IND: 0 · 73 snaps (99%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 vs KC: 1 · 73 snaps (100%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs SF: 2 · 43 snaps (74%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 at LAR: 3 · 60 snaps (100%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 at DET: 2 · 70 snaps (100%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 vs NE: 1 · 59 snaps (100%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 29 vs NYJ: 2 · 60 snaps (86%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 5 at NE: 0 · 1 snaps (1%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 12 vs DEN: 2 · 71 snaps (93%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 vs BAL: 0 · 61 snaps (100%)2024 wk 21 · Jan 26 at KC: 2 · 73 snaps (100%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 vs BAL: 2 · 85 snaps (100%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at NYJ: 0 · 65 snaps (87%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 18 vs MIA: 3 · 60 snaps (100%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs NO: 2 · 59 snaps (100%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 vs NE: 2 · 68 snaps (100%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 13 at ATL: 2 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 at CAR: 1 · 52 snaps (83%)2025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs KC: 1 · 66 snaps (100%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at MIA: 2 · 65 snaps (96%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs TB: 3 · 56 snaps (100%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 20 at HOU: 0 · 66 snaps (100%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 30 at PIT: 1 · 74 snaps (100%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs CIN: 3 · 64 snaps (100%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at NE: 3 · 70 snaps (100%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 at CLE: 0 · 50 snaps (100%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 28 vs PHI: 0 · 76 snaps (100%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs NYJ: 0 · 1 snaps (1%)2025 wk 19 · Jan 11 at JAX: 1 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 20 · Jan 17 at DEN: 3 · 78 snaps (100%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at HOU: 2 · 58 snaps (100%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 17 vs DET: 3 · 74 snaps (100%)1.5
1.5

Middle half of these games: 12 · median 2 · range 04

Projected range · contextmedian 1.1middle half 12.180% range 03.1

How his pass tds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Allen's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Pass attempts a game33.028.230.028.1
Snap share100.0%83.5%100.0%93.0%
DriverBUF offenseLAC defense faces
Dropbacks per game35.1 #2033.6 #29
Pass rate over expected−0.3 #16+1.8 #10
Neutral-script pass rate54.3% #1554.9% #17
Dropback success rate49.6% #645.9% #16
EPA per dropback+0.21 #2−0.01 #22

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
His passesAllenLeagueLAC defense faces
Catchable-ball rate67.0%68.1%67.1% #21
Interception-worthy throws3.4%3.1%3.3% #14
Completion % under pressure35.2%34.6%24.1% #32
Completion % clean73.5%69.4%69.3% #16
Pressure rate26.7%29.7%30.5% #14
Drops by his receivers5.9%5.5%6.4% #6

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 53/560%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season2/2100%
2025 season10/1953%
At home14/2070%
On the road10/2148%
As a favorite20/3165%
Long rest3/560%
Vs tough defenses10/1663%

Pass att No line yet

BUF vs LAC · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · favored by 7 · total 50 · wind 4 mph · 10 days rest
LAC allows the 3rd-fewest pass attempts to QBs (29 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

28.5
22 of 41 over54%range 4166%avg 92% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 8 vs ARI: 23 · 62 snaps (100%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 12 at MIA: 19 · 41 snaps (91%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 23 vs JAX: 30 · 56 snaps (88%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 at BAL: 29 · 51 snaps (86%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at HOU: 30 · 60 snaps (98%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 14 at NYJ: 25 · 69 snaps (100%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 vs TEN: 33 · 55 snaps (100%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at SEA: 34 · 69 snaps (91%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs MIA: 39 · 66 snaps (100%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at IND: 37 · 73 snaps (99%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 vs KC: 40 · 73 snaps (100%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs SF: 17 · 43 snaps (74%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 at LAR: 37 · 60 snaps (100%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 at DET: 34 · 70 snaps (100%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 vs NE: 29 · 59 snaps (100%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 29 vs NYJ: 27 · 60 snaps (86%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 5 at NE: 0 · 1 snaps (1%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 12 vs DEN: 26 · 71 snaps (93%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 vs BAL: 22 · 61 snaps (100%)2024 wk 21 · Jan 26 at KC: 34 · 73 snaps (100%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 vs BAL: 46 · 85 snaps (100%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at NYJ: 25 · 65 snaps (87%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 18 vs MIA: 28 · 60 snaps (100%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs NO: 22 · 59 snaps (100%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 vs NE: 31 · 68 snaps (100%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 13 at ATL: 26 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 at CAR: 19 · 52 snaps (83%)2025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs KC: 26 · 66 snaps (100%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at MIA: 40 · 65 snaps (96%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs TB: 30 · 56 snaps (100%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 20 at HOU: 34 · 66 snaps (100%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 30 at PIT: 23 · 74 snaps (100%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs CIN: 28 · 64 snaps (100%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at NE: 28 · 70 snaps (100%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 at CLE: 19 · 50 snaps (100%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 28 vs PHI: 35 · 76 snaps (100%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs NYJ: 0 · 1 snaps (1%)2025 wk 19 · Jan 11 at JAX: 35 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 20 · Jan 17 at DEN: 39 · 78 snaps (100%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at HOU: 29 · 58 snaps (100%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 17 vs DET: 31 · 74 snaps (100%)28.5
28.5

Middle half of these games: 2534 · median 29 · range 046

Projected range · contextmedian 29middle half 19.83680% range 245

How his pass att tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Allen's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Pass attempts a game33.028.230.028.1
Snap share100.0%83.5%100.0%93.0%
DriverBUF offenseLAC defense faces
Dropbacks per game35.1 #2033.6 #29
Pass rate over expected−0.3 #16+1.8 #10
Neutral-script pass rate54.3% #1554.9% #17
Dropback success rate49.6% #645.9% #16
EPA per dropback+0.21 #2−0.01 #22

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
His passesAllenLeagueLAC defense faces
Catchable-ball rate67.0%68.1%67.1% #21
Interception-worthy throws3.4%3.1%3.3% #14
Completion % under pressure35.2%34.6%24.1% #32
Completion % clean73.5%69.4%69.3% #16
Pressure rate26.7%29.7%30.5% #14
Drops by his receivers5.9%5.5%6.4% #6

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 54/580%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season2/2100%
2025 season8/1942%
At home10/2050%
On the road12/2157%
As a favorite15/3148%
Long rest1/520%
Vs tough defenses8/1650%

Completions No line yet

BUF vs LAC · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · favored by 7 · total 50 · wind 4 mph · 10 days rest
LAC allows the 3rd-fewest completions to QBs (18 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

20
19 of 41 over46%range 3459%3 pushesavg 92% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 8 vs ARI: 18 · 62 snaps (100%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 12 at MIA: 13 · 41 snaps (91%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 23 vs JAX: 23 · 56 snaps (88%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 at BAL: 16 · 51 snaps (86%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at HOU: 9 · 60 snaps (98%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 14 at NYJ: 19 · 69 snaps (100%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 vs TEN: 21 · 55 snaps (100%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at SEA: 24 · 69 snaps (91%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs MIA: 25 · 66 snaps (100%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at IND: 22 · 73 snaps (99%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 vs KC: 27 · 73 snaps (100%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs SF: 13 · 43 snaps (74%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 at LAR: 22 · 60 snaps (100%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 at DET: 23 · 70 snaps (100%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 vs NE: 16 · 59 snaps (100%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 29 vs NYJ: 16 · 60 snaps (86%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 5 at NE: 0 · 1 snaps (1%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 12 vs DEN: 20 · 71 snaps (93%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 vs BAL: 16 · 61 snaps (100%)2024 wk 21 · Jan 26 at KC: 22 · 73 snaps (100%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 vs BAL: 33 · 85 snaps (100%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at NYJ: 14 · 65 snaps (87%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 18 vs MIA: 22 · 60 snaps (100%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs NO: 16 · 59 snaps (100%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 vs NE: 22 · 68 snaps (100%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 13 at ATL: 15 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 at CAR: 12 · 52 snaps (83%)2025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs KC: 23 · 66 snaps (100%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at MIA: 28 · 65 snaps (96%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs TB: 19 · 56 snaps (100%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 20 at HOU: 24 · 66 snaps (100%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 30 at PIT: 15 · 74 snaps (100%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs CIN: 22 · 64 snaps (100%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at NE: 19 · 70 snaps (100%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 at CLE: 12 · 50 snaps (100%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 28 vs PHI: 23 · 76 snaps (100%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs NYJ: 0 · 1 snaps (1%)2025 wk 19 · Jan 11 at JAX: 28 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 20 · Jan 17 at DEN: 25 · 78 snaps (100%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at HOU: 20 · 58 snaps (100%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 17 vs DET: 20 · 74 snaps (100%)20
20

Middle half of these games: 1623 · median 20 · range 033

Projected range · contextmedian 19.7middle half 12.82580% range 1.431

How his completions tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Allen's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Pass attempts a game33.028.230.028.1
Snap share100.0%83.5%100.0%93.0%
DriverBUF offenseLAC defense faces
Dropbacks per game35.1 #2033.6 #29
Pass rate over expected−0.3 #16+1.8 #10
Neutral-script pass rate54.3% #1554.9% #17
Dropback success rate49.6% #645.9% #16
EPA per dropback+0.21 #2−0.01 #22

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
His passesAllenLeagueLAC defense faces
Catchable-ball rate67.0%68.1%67.1% #21
Interception-worthy throws3.4%3.1%3.3% #14
Completion % under pressure35.2%34.6%24.1% #32
Completion % clean73.5%69.4%69.3% #16
Pressure rate26.7%29.7%30.5% #14
Drops by his receivers5.9%5.5%6.4% #6

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 52 push2/540%
Last 102 push4/1040%
2026 season2 push0/20%
2025 season10/1953%
At home2 push10/2050%
On the road1 push9/2143%
As a favorite3 push13/3142%
Long rest1/520%
Vs tough defenses1 push6/1735%

Rush yds No line yet

BUF vs LAC · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET · favored by 7 · total 50 · wind 4 mph · 10 days rest
LAC allows the 13th-fewest rushing yards to QBs (17 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

35.5
19 of 41 over46%range 3459%avg 92% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 8 vs ARI: 39 · 62 snaps (100%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 12 at MIA: 2 · 41 snaps (91%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 23 vs JAX: 44 · 56 snaps (88%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 at BAL: 21 · 51 snaps (86%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at HOU: 54 · 60 snaps (98%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 14 at NYJ: 18 · 69 snaps (100%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 vs TEN: 1 · 55 snaps (100%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at SEA: 25 · 69 snaps (91%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs MIA: 7 · 66 snaps (100%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at IND: 50 · 73 snaps (99%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 vs KC: 55 · 73 snaps (100%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs SF: 18 · 43 snaps (74%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 at LAR: 82 · 60 snaps (100%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 at DET: 68 · 70 snaps (100%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 vs NE: 30 · 59 snaps (100%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 29 vs NYJ: 17 · 60 snaps (86%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 5 at NE: 0 · 1 snaps (1%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 12 vs DEN: 46 · 71 snaps (93%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 vs BAL: 20 · 61 snaps (100%)2024 wk 21 · Jan 26 at KC: 39 · 73 snaps (100%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 vs BAL: 30 · 85 snaps (100%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at NYJ: 59 · 65 snaps (87%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 18 vs MIA: 25 · 60 snaps (100%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs NO: 45 · 59 snaps (100%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 vs NE: 53 · 68 snaps (100%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 13 at ATL: 42 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 at CAR: 7 · 52 snaps (83%)2025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs KC: 19 · 66 snaps (100%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at MIA: 31 · 65 snaps (96%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs TB: 40 · 56 snaps (100%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 20 at HOU: 20 · 66 snaps (100%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 30 at PIT: 38 · 74 snaps (100%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs CIN: 78 · 64 snaps (100%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at NE: 48 · 70 snaps (100%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 at CLE: 17 · 50 snaps (100%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 28 vs PHI: 27 · 76 snaps (100%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs NYJ: 0 · 1 snaps (1%)2025 wk 19 · Jan 11 at JAX: 33 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 20 · Jan 17 at DEN: 66 · 78 snaps (100%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at HOU: 23 · 58 snaps (100%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 17 vs DET: 69 · 74 snaps (100%)35.5
35.5

Middle half of these games: 1948 · median 31 · range 082

Projected range · contextmedian 36middle half 18.75980% range 6.783

How his rush yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Allen's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Carry share34.4%25.6%35.1%22.2%
Carries a game10.78.310.07.1
Snap share100.0%83.5%100.0%93.0%
DriverBUF offenseLAC defense faces
Rushes per game27.2 #423.5 #23
Rush rate over expected+0.3 #17−1.8 #23
Early-down rush rate47.4% #746.9% #11

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 52/540%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season9/1947%
At home9/2045%
On the road10/2148%
As a favorite15/3148%
Long rest3/560%
Vs middling defenses10/1856%

Game log

GameResultC/APass ydsTDINTCarRush ydsRush TDSnap %
2026 W2 vs DETSep 17W 413120/312483014692100%
2026 W1 @ HOUSep 13W 363120/29334206232100%
2025 W20 · playoffs @ DENJan 17L 303325/392833212660100%
2025 W19 · playoffs @ JAXJan 11W 272428/352731011332100%
2025 W18 vs NYJJan 4W 3580/00000001%
2025 W17 vs PHIDec 28L 121323/35262007272100%
2025 W16 @ CLEDec 21W 232012/19130007170100%
2025 W15 @ NEDec 14W 353119/281933011480100%
2025 W14 vs CINDec 7W 393422/28251309781100%
2025 W13 @ PITNov 30W 26715/23123118381100%
2025 W12 @ HOUNov 20L 192324/34253025200100%
2025 W11 vs TBNov 16W 443219/30317326403100%
2025 W10 @ MIANov 9L 133028/4030621431096%
2025 W9 vs KCNov 2W 282123/26273106192100%
2025 W8 @ CAROct 26W 40912/191631037283%
2025 W6 @ ATLOct 13L 142415/26180226420100%
2025 W5 vs NEOct 5L 202322/31253219530100%
2025 W4 vs NOSep 28W 311916/22209217451100%
2025 W3 vs MIASep 18W 312122/28213304250100%
2025 W2 @ NYJSep 14W 301014/2514800659087%
2025 W1 vs BALSep 7W 414033/463942014302100%

Prop lines come from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM through TheRundown and can lag what a book shows right now — check the book before you rely on a number. Splits count the games he played (snap counts show who was on the field) and describe the past; they are not a prediction. A game he played with no stat line counts as a zero; a game he sat out is left out, because books void the prop then. Stats and route labels from nflverse. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.