Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Pass yds/g
279.5
Rush yds/g
37.0
2026 games
2

Before the lines post · next: at DAL

Pass yds No line yet

BAL at DAL · Sun, Sep 27, 4:25 PM ET · favored by 3 · total 52.5 · wind 6 mph · 7 days rest
DAL allows the 3rd-most passing yards to QBs (256 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

206
22 of 34 over65%range 5177%avg 95% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 5 at KC: 273 · 80 snaps (100%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 15 vs LV: 247 · 65 snaps (100%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at DAL: 182 · 63 snaps (100%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 vs BUF: 156 · 54 snaps (95%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at CIN: 348 · 78 snaps (100%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs WSH: 323 · 68 snaps (100%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 21 at TB: 281 · 56 snaps (95%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at CLE: 289 · 68 snaps (100%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs DEN: 280 · 51 snaps (89%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 7 vs CIN: 290 · 63 snaps (100%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 at PIT: 207 · 61 snaps (100%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 25 at LAC: 177 · 65 snaps (100%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs PHI: 237 · 72 snaps (100%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 at NYG: 290 · 49 snaps (83%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs PIT: 207 · 62 snaps (100%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 25 at HOU: 168 · 52 snaps (83%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs CLE: 217 · 67 snaps (96%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 11 vs PIT: 175 · 74 snaps (100%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 at BUF: 254 · 59 snaps (100%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 at BUF: 209 · 51 snaps (100%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 vs CLE: 225 · 53 snaps (95%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 22 vs DET: 288 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 at KC: 147 · 38 snaps (69%)2025 wk 9 · Oct 30 at MIA: 204 · 56 snaps (100%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at MIN: 176 · 70 snaps (100%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 at CLE: 193 · 61 snaps (100%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 vs NYJ: 153 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 27 vs CIN: 246 · 60 snaps (100%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs PIT: 219 · 80 snaps (100%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at CIN: 150 · 36 snaps (88%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs NE: 101 · 26 snaps (47%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 at PIT: 238 · 51 snaps (100%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at IND: 324 · 68 snaps (100%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 vs NO: 235 · 58 snaps (100%)206
206

Middle half of these games: 178.3278.3 · median 222 · range 101348

Projected range · contextmedian 211middle half 16626180% range 120307

How his pass yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Jackson's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Pass attempts a game24.721.828.023.2
Snap share100.0%89.2%100.0%92.2%
DriverBAL offenseDAL defense faces
Dropbacks per game30.1 #3236.9 #13
Pass rate over expected−6.3 #32+2.3 #7
Neutral-script pass rate47.1% #3255.8% #10
Dropback success rate47.5% #1151.4% #3
EPA per dropback+0.01 #20+0.25 #2

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
His passesJacksonLeagueDAL defense faces
Catchable-ball rate67.8%68.1%73.6% #2
Interception-worthy throws2.0%3.1%1.0% #32
Completion % under pressure30.3%34.6%37.7% #9
Completion % clean69.4%69.4%74.7% #5
Pressure rate32.2%29.7%31.6% #9
Drops by his receivers7.6%5.5%4.4% #26

His last 15 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 4 of his team's games in this span (Dec 27 at GB, Oct 26 vs CHI, Oct 12 vs LAR, Oct 5 vs HOU); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 53/560%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season2/2100%
2025 season6/1346%
At home12/1675%
On the road10/1856%
Vs DAL0/10%
As a favorite21/3364%
Vs soft defenses10/1283%
Without Zay Flowers (Out)2/367%
With Zay Flowers20/3165%

Pass TDs No line yet

BAL at DAL · Sun, Sep 27, 4:25 PM ET · favored by 3 · total 52.5 · wind 6 mph · 7 days rest
DAL allows the 2nd-most passing TDs to QBs (2.2 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

1
20 of 34 over59%range 4572%10 pushesavg 95% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 5 at KC: 1 · 80 snaps (100%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 15 vs LV: 1 · 65 snaps (100%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at DAL: 1 · 63 snaps (100%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 vs BUF: 2 · 54 snaps (95%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at CIN: 4 · 78 snaps (100%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs WSH: 1 · 68 snaps (100%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 21 at TB: 5 · 56 snaps (95%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at CLE: 2 · 68 snaps (100%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs DEN: 3 · 51 snaps (89%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 7 vs CIN: 4 · 63 snaps (100%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 at PIT: 1 · 61 snaps (100%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 25 at LAC: 2 · 65 snaps (100%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs PHI: 2 · 72 snaps (100%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 at NYG: 5 · 49 snaps (83%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs PIT: 3 · 62 snaps (100%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 25 at HOU: 2 · 52 snaps (83%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs CLE: 2 · 67 snaps (96%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 11 vs PIT: 2 · 74 snaps (100%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 at BUF: 2 · 59 snaps (100%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 at BUF: 2 · 51 snaps (100%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 vs CLE: 4 · 53 snaps (95%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 22 vs DET: 3 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 at KC: 1 · 38 snaps (69%)2025 wk 9 · Oct 30 at MIA: 4 · 56 snaps (100%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at MIN: 1 · 70 snaps (100%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 at CLE: 0 · 61 snaps (100%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 vs NYJ: 0 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 27 vs CIN: 0 · 60 snaps (100%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs PIT: 1 · 80 snaps (100%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at CIN: 2 · 36 snaps (88%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs NE: 0 · 26 snaps (47%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 at PIT: 3 · 51 snaps (100%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at IND: 1 · 68 snaps (100%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 vs NO: 1 · 58 snaps (100%)1
1

Middle half of these games: 13 · median 2 · range 05

Projected range · contextmedian 1.1middle half 12.180% range 03.1

How his pass tds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Jackson's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Pass attempts a game24.721.828.023.2
Snap share100.0%89.2%100.0%92.2%
DriverBAL offenseDAL defense faces
Dropbacks per game30.1 #3236.9 #13
Pass rate over expected−6.3 #32+2.3 #7
Neutral-script pass rate47.1% #3255.8% #10
Dropback success rate47.5% #1151.4% #3
EPA per dropback+0.01 #20+0.25 #2

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
His passesJacksonLeagueDAL defense faces
Catchable-ball rate67.8%68.1%73.6% #2
Interception-worthy throws2.0%3.1%1.0% #32
Completion % under pressure30.3%34.6%37.7% #9
Completion % clean69.4%69.4%74.7% #5
Pressure rate32.2%29.7%31.6% #9
Drops by his receivers7.6%5.5%4.4% #26

His last 15 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 4 of his team's games in this span (Dec 27 at GB, Oct 26 vs CHI, Oct 12 vs LAR, Oct 5 vs HOU); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 52 push2/540%
Last 104 push2/1020%
2026 season2 push0/20%
2025 season3 push6/1346%
At home4 push9/1656%
On the road6 push11/1861%
Vs DAL1 push0/10%
As a favorite9 push20/3361%
Vs soft defenses3 push6/1155%
Without Zay Flowers (Out)1 push2/367%
With Zay Flowers9 push18/3158%

Pass att No line yet

BAL at DAL · Sun, Sep 27, 4:25 PM ET · favored by 3 · total 52.5 · wind 6 mph · 7 days rest
DAL allows the 13th-most pass attempts to QBs (33 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

25
15 of 34 over44%range 3158%4 pushesavg 95% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 5 at KC: 41 · 80 snaps (100%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 15 vs LV: 34 · 65 snaps (100%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at DAL: 15 · 63 snaps (100%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 vs BUF: 18 · 54 snaps (95%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at CIN: 42 · 78 snaps (100%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs WSH: 26 · 68 snaps (100%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 21 at TB: 22 · 56 snaps (95%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at CLE: 38 · 68 snaps (100%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs DEN: 19 · 51 snaps (89%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 7 vs CIN: 33 · 63 snaps (100%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 at PIT: 33 · 61 snaps (100%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 25 at LAC: 22 · 65 snaps (100%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs PHI: 36 · 72 snaps (100%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 at NYG: 25 · 49 snaps (83%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs PIT: 23 · 62 snaps (100%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 25 at HOU: 15 · 52 snaps (83%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs CLE: 32 · 67 snaps (96%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 11 vs PIT: 21 · 74 snaps (100%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 at BUF: 25 · 59 snaps (100%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 at BUF: 19 · 51 snaps (100%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 vs CLE: 29 · 53 snaps (95%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 22 vs DET: 27 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 at KC: 20 · 38 snaps (69%)2025 wk 9 · Oct 30 at MIA: 23 · 56 snaps (100%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at MIN: 29 · 70 snaps (100%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 at CLE: 25 · 61 snaps (100%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 vs NYJ: 23 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 27 vs CIN: 32 · 60 snaps (100%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs PIT: 35 · 80 snaps (100%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at CIN: 12 · 36 snaps (88%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs NE: 10 · 26 snaps (47%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 at PIT: 18 · 51 snaps (100%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at IND: 25 · 68 snaps (100%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 vs NO: 31 · 58 snaps (100%)25
25

Middle half of these games: 20.332 · median 25 · range 1042

Projected range · contextmedian 25middle half 173180% range 1.738

How his pass att tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Jackson's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Pass attempts a game24.721.828.023.2
Snap share100.0%89.2%100.0%92.2%
DriverBAL offenseDAL defense faces
Dropbacks per game30.1 #3236.9 #13
Pass rate over expected−6.3 #32+2.3 #7
Neutral-script pass rate47.1% #3255.8% #10
Dropback success rate47.5% #1151.4% #3
EPA per dropback+0.01 #20+0.25 #2

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
His passesJacksonLeagueDAL defense faces
Catchable-ball rate67.8%68.1%73.6% #2
Interception-worthy throws2.0%3.1%1.0% #32
Completion % under pressure30.3%34.6%37.7% #9
Completion % clean69.4%69.4%74.7% #5
Pressure rate32.2%29.7%31.6% #9
Drops by his receivers7.6%5.5%4.4% #26

His last 15 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 4 of his team's games in this span (Dec 27 at GB, Oct 26 vs CHI, Oct 12 vs LAR, Oct 5 vs HOU); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 51 push1/520%
Last 102 push4/1040%
2026 season1 push1/250%
2025 season1 push5/1338%
At home10/1663%
On the road4 push5/1828%
Vs DAL0/10%
As a favorite4 push14/3342%
Vs middling defenses1 push7/1450%
Without Zay Flowers (Out)1 push1/333%
With Zay Flowers3 push14/3145%

Completions No line yet

BAL at DAL · Sun, Sep 27, 4:25 PM ET · favored by 3 · total 52.5 · wind 6 mph · 7 days rest
DAL allows the 6th-most completions to QBs (22 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

15.5
23 of 34 over68%range 5479%avg 95% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 5 at KC: 26 · 80 snaps (100%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 15 vs LV: 21 · 65 snaps (100%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at DAL: 12 · 63 snaps (100%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 vs BUF: 13 · 54 snaps (95%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at CIN: 26 · 78 snaps (100%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs WSH: 20 · 68 snaps (100%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 21 at TB: 17 · 56 snaps (95%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at CLE: 23 · 68 snaps (100%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs DEN: 16 · 51 snaps (89%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 7 vs CIN: 25 · 63 snaps (100%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 at PIT: 16 · 61 snaps (100%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 25 at LAC: 16 · 65 snaps (100%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs PHI: 23 · 72 snaps (100%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 at NYG: 21 · 49 snaps (83%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs PIT: 15 · 62 snaps (100%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 25 at HOU: 10 · 52 snaps (83%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs CLE: 16 · 67 snaps (96%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 11 vs PIT: 16 · 74 snaps (100%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 at BUF: 18 · 59 snaps (100%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 at BUF: 14 · 51 snaps (100%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 vs CLE: 19 · 53 snaps (95%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 22 vs DET: 21 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 at KC: 14 · 38 snaps (69%)2025 wk 9 · Oct 30 at MIA: 18 · 56 snaps (100%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at MIN: 17 · 70 snaps (100%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 at CLE: 14 · 61 snaps (100%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 vs NYJ: 13 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 27 vs CIN: 17 · 60 snaps (100%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs PIT: 19 · 80 snaps (100%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at CIN: 8 · 36 snaps (88%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs NE: 7 · 26 snaps (47%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 at PIT: 11 · 51 snaps (100%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at IND: 17 · 68 snaps (100%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 vs NO: 21 · 58 snaps (100%)15.5
15.5

Middle half of these games: 1420.8 · median 17 · range 726

Projected range · contextmedian 15.4middle half 1019.880% range 1.124

How his completions tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Jackson's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Pass attempts a game24.721.828.023.2
Snap share100.0%89.2%100.0%92.2%
DriverBAL offenseDAL defense faces
Dropbacks per game30.1 #3236.9 #13
Pass rate over expected−6.3 #32+2.3 #7
Neutral-script pass rate47.1% #3255.8% #10
Dropback success rate47.5% #1151.4% #3
EPA per dropback+0.01 #20+0.25 #2

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
His passesJacksonLeagueDAL defense faces
Catchable-ball rate67.8%68.1%73.6% #2
Interception-worthy throws2.0%3.1%1.0% #32
Completion % under pressure30.3%34.6%37.7% #9
Completion % clean69.4%69.4%74.7% #5
Pressure rate32.2%29.7%31.6% #9
Drops by his receivers7.6%5.5%4.4% #26

His last 15 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 4 of his team's games in this span (Dec 27 at GB, Oct 26 vs CHI, Oct 12 vs LAR, Oct 5 vs HOU); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 52/540%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season2/2100%
2025 season6/1346%
At home12/1675%
On the road11/1861%
Vs DAL0/10%
As a favorite22/3367%
Vs soft defenses9/1275%
Without Zay Flowers (Out)3/3100%
With Zay Flowers20/3165%

Rush yds No line yet

BAL at DAL · Sun, Sep 27, 4:25 PM ET · favored by 3 · total 52.5 · wind 6 mph · 7 days rest
DAL allows the 2nd-most rushing yards to QBs (26 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

26.5
24 of 34 over71%range 5782%avg 95% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 5 at KC: 122 · 80 snaps (100%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 15 vs LV: 45 · 65 snaps (100%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at DAL: 87 · 63 snaps (100%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 vs BUF: 54 · 54 snaps (95%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at CIN: 55 · 78 snaps (100%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs WSH: 40 · 68 snaps (100%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 21 at TB: 52 · 56 snaps (95%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at CLE: 46 · 68 snaps (100%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs DEN: 4 · 51 snaps (89%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 7 vs CIN: 33 · 63 snaps (100%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 at PIT: 46 · 61 snaps (100%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 25 at LAC: 15 · 65 snaps (100%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs PHI: 79 · 72 snaps (100%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 at NYG: 65 · 49 snaps (83%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs PIT: 22 · 62 snaps (100%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 25 at HOU: 87 · 52 snaps (83%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs CLE: 63 · 67 snaps (96%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 11 vs PIT: 81 · 74 snaps (100%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 at BUF: 39 · 59 snaps (100%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 at BUF: 70 · 51 snaps (100%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 vs CLE: 13 · 53 snaps (95%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 22 vs DET: 35 · 57 snaps (100%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 at KC: 48 · 38 snaps (69%)2025 wk 9 · Oct 30 at MIA: 14 · 56 snaps (100%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at MIN: 36 · 70 snaps (100%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 at CLE: 10 · 61 snaps (100%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 vs NYJ: 11 · 63 snaps (100%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 27 vs CIN: 27 · 60 snaps (100%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs PIT: 43 · 80 snaps (100%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at CIN: 26 · 36 snaps (88%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs NE: 7 · 26 snaps (47%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 at PIT: 9 · 51 snaps (100%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at IND: 40 · 68 snaps (100%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 vs NO: 34 · 58 snaps (100%)26.5
26.5

Middle half of these games: 2354.8 · median 40 · range 4122

Projected range · contextmedian 17.7middle half 5.13780% range 061

How his rush yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Jackson's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Carry share17.4%14.2%18.6%18.5%
Carries a game5.04.35.55.2
Snap share100.0%89.2%100.0%92.2%
DriverBAL offenseDAL defense faces
Rushes per game26.9 #523.6 #20
Rush rate over expected+6.3 #1−2.3 #26
Early-down rush rate54.0% #143.9% #21

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 4 of his team's games in this span (Dec 27 at GB, Oct 26 vs CHI, Oct 12 vs LAR, Oct 5 vs HOU); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 52/540%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season2/2100%
2025 season6/1346%
At home11/1669%
On the road13/1872%
Vs DAL1/1100%
As a favorite23/3370%
Vs soft defenses9/1275%
Without Zay Flowers (Out)3/3100%
With Zay Flowers21/3168%

Game log

GameResultC/APass ydsTDINTCarRush ydsRush TDSnap %
2026 W2 vs NOSep 20L 172421/31235114340100%
2026 W1 @ INDSep 13W 412317/25324107401100%
2025 W18 @ PITJan 4L 242611/1823831490100%
2025 W16 vs NEDec 21L 24287/101010027047%
2025 W15 @ CINDec 14W 2408/1215021226088%
2025 W14 vs PITDec 7L 222719/35219117431100%
2025 W13 vs CINNov 27L 143217/32246016270100%
2025 W12 vs NYJNov 23W 231013/23153007110100%
2025 W11 @ CLENov 16W 231614/25193024100100%
2025 W10 @ MINNov 9W 271917/29176109360100%
2025 W9 @ MIAOct 30W 28618/23204405140100%
2025 W4 @ KCSep 28L 203714/2014711648069%
2025 W3 vs DETSep 22L 303821/27288307350100%
2025 W2 vs CLESep 14W 411719/2922540213095%
2025 W1 @ BUFSep 7L 404114/19209206701100%

Prop lines come from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM through TheRundown and can lag what a book shows right now — check the book before you rely on a number. Splits count the games he played (snap counts show who was on the field) and describe the past; they are not a prediction. A game he played with no stat line counts as a zero; a game he sat out is left out, because books void the prop then. Stats and route labels from nflverse. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.