Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Rush yds/g
0.0
Rec/g
5.0
Rec yds/g
49.0
Targets/g
6.5
2026 games
2

Before the lines post · next: at DAL

Rec yds No line yet

BAL at DAL · Sun, Sep 27, 4:25 PM ET · favored by 3 · total 52.5 · wind 6 mph · 7 days rest
DAL allows the 14th-most receiving yards to TEs (53 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

24.5
22 of 38 over58%range 4570%avg 62% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 5 at KC: 14 · 59 snaps (74%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 15 vs LV: 51 · 41 snaps (63%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at DAL: 0 · 21 snaps (33%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 vs BUF: 0 · 26 snaps (46%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at CIN: 55 · 43 snaps (55%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs WSH: 66 · 34 snaps (50%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 21 at TB: 41 · 32 snaps (54%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at CLE: 36 · 50 snaps (74%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs DEN: 26 · 28 snaps (49%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 7 vs CIN: 68 · 55 snaps (87%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 at PIT: 22 · 37 snaps (61%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 25 at LAC: 44 · 27 snaps (42%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs PHI: 67 · 53 snaps (74%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 at NYG: 24 · 39 snaps (66%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs PIT: 37 · 47 snaps (76%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 25 at HOU: 68 · 35 snaps (56%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs CLE: 54 · 55 snaps (79%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 11 vs PIT: 27 · 45 snaps (61%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 at BUF: 61 · 41 snaps (69%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 at BUF: 5 · 38 snaps (75%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 vs CLE: 2 · 45 snaps (80%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 22 vs DET: 91 · 46 snaps (81%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 at KC: 30 · 30 snaps (55%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 vs HOU: 22 · 25 snaps (58%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 12 vs LAR: 24 · 61 snaps (78%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs CHI: 34 · 37 snaps (60%)2025 wk 9 · Oct 30 at MIA: 22 · 28 snaps (50%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at MIN: 14 · 44 snaps (63%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 at CLE: 32 · 37 snaps (61%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 vs NYJ: 9 · 42 snaps (67%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 27 vs CIN: 47 · 41 snaps (68%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs PIT: 9 · 54 snaps (68%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at CIN: 18 · 17 snaps (41%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs NE: 21 · 24 snaps (44%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 27 at GB: 28 · 31 snaps (41%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 at PIT: 14 · 30 snaps (59%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at IND: 49 · 49 snaps (72%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 vs NO: 49 · 41 snaps (71%)24.5
24.5

Middle half of these games: 18.849 · median 29 · range 091

Projected range · contextmedian 22middle half 7.84380% range 066

How his rec yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Andrews's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Target share22.9%21.3%24.5%17.2%
Targets a game5.34.36.54.1
Snap share67.3%54.7%71.5%61.7%
DriverBAL offenseDAL defense faces
Dropbacks per game30.1 #3236.9 #13
Pass rate over expected−6.3 #32+2.3 #7
Neutral-script pass rate47.1% #3255.8% #10
Dropback success rate47.5% #1151.4% #3

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
Passes to himAndrewsLeagueBAL offenseDAL defense faces
Catchable-target rate78.9%68.1%69.3% #873.6% #2
Drop rate3.6%5.5%7.1% #44.4% #26
Contested-target rate18.3%13.0%13.0% #1810.6% #28
Pressure on his QB29.7%32.6% #631.6% #9

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 53/560%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season2/2100%
2025 season6/1735%
At home12/1963%
On the road10/1953%
Vs DAL0/10%
As a favorite21/3462%
With Lamar Jackson20/3459%
Vs middling defenses9/1464%
Without Zay Flowers (Out)3/3100%
With Zay Flowers19/3554%

Receptions No line yet

BAL at DAL · Sun, Sep 27, 4:25 PM ET · favored by 3 · total 52.5 · wind 6 mph · 7 days rest
DAL allows the 14th-most receptions to TEs (5.2 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

2.5
21 of 38 over55%range 4268%avg 62% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 5 at KC: 2 · 59 snaps (74%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 15 vs LV: 4 · 41 snaps (63%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at DAL: 0 · 21 snaps (33%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 vs BUF: 0 · 26 snaps (46%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at CIN: 4 · 43 snaps (55%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs WSH: 3 · 34 snaps (50%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 21 at TB: 4 · 32 snaps (54%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at CLE: 5 · 50 snaps (74%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs DEN: 2 · 28 snaps (49%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 7 vs CIN: 6 · 55 snaps (87%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 at PIT: 2 · 37 snaps (61%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 25 at LAC: 5 · 27 snaps (42%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs PHI: 6 · 53 snaps (74%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 at NYG: 2 · 39 snaps (66%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs PIT: 4 · 47 snaps (76%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 25 at HOU: 2 · 35 snaps (56%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs CLE: 4 · 55 snaps (79%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 11 vs PIT: 2 · 45 snaps (61%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 at BUF: 5 · 41 snaps (69%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 at BUF: 1 · 38 snaps (75%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 vs CLE: 1 · 45 snaps (80%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 22 vs DET: 6 · 46 snaps (81%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 at KC: 7 · 30 snaps (55%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 vs HOU: 2 · 25 snaps (58%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 12 vs LAR: 4 · 61 snaps (78%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs CHI: 3 · 37 snaps (60%)2025 wk 9 · Oct 30 at MIA: 2 · 28 snaps (50%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at MIN: 3 · 44 snaps (63%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 at CLE: 3 · 37 snaps (61%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 vs NYJ: 1 · 42 snaps (67%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 27 vs CIN: 4 · 41 snaps (68%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs PIT: 1 · 54 snaps (68%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at CIN: 2 · 17 snaps (41%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs NE: 2 · 24 snaps (44%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 27 at GB: 4 · 31 snaps (41%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 at PIT: 2 · 30 snaps (59%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at IND: 4 · 49 snaps (72%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 vs NO: 6 · 41 snaps (71%)2.5
2.5

Middle half of these games: 24 · median 3 · range 07

Projected range · contextmedian 3middle half 1.94.780% range 0.96.1

How his receptions tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Andrews's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Target share22.9%21.3%24.5%17.2%
Targets a game5.34.36.54.1
Snap share67.3%54.7%71.5%61.7%
DriverBAL offenseDAL defense faces
Dropbacks per game30.1 #3236.9 #13
Pass rate over expected−6.3 #32+2.3 #7
Neutral-script pass rate47.1% #3255.8% #10
Dropback success rate47.5% #1151.4% #3

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
Passes to himAndrewsLeagueBAL offenseDAL defense faces
Catchable-target rate78.9%68.1%69.3% #873.6% #2
Drop rate3.6%5.5%7.1% #44.4% #26
Contested-target rate18.3%13.0%13.0% #1810.6% #28
Pressure on his QB29.7%32.6% #631.6% #9

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 53/560%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season2/2100%
2025 season8/1747%
At home11/1958%
On the road10/1953%
Vs DAL0/10%
As a favorite19/3456%
With Lamar Jackson18/3453%
Vs middling defenses6/1250%
Without Zay Flowers (Out)2/367%
With Zay Flowers19/3554%

Anytime TD No line yet

BAL at DAL · Sun, Sep 27, 4:25 PM ET · favored by 3 · total 52.5 · wind 6 mph · 7 days rest

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). Here is how often he has scored, in the situations this game sets up.

14 of 38 scored37%range 2550%avg 62% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 5 at KC: 0 · 59 snaps (74%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 15 vs LV: 0 · 41 snaps (63%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at DAL: 0 · 21 snaps (33%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 vs BUF: 0 · 26 snaps (46%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at CIN: 0 · 43 snaps (55%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs WSH: 1 · 34 snaps (50%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 21 at TB: 1 · 32 snaps (54%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 27 at CLE: 1 · 50 snaps (74%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs DEN: 0 · 28 snaps (49%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 7 vs CIN: 1 · 55 snaps (87%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 17 at PIT: 0 · 37 snaps (61%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 25 at LAC: 1 · 27 snaps (42%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 vs PHI: 1 · 53 snaps (74%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 at NYG: 1 · 39 snaps (66%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs PIT: 1 · 47 snaps (76%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 25 at HOU: 1 · 35 snaps (56%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs CLE: 1 · 55 snaps (79%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 11 vs PIT: 0 · 45 snaps (61%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 at BUF: 0 · 41 snaps (69%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 at BUF: 0 · 38 snaps (75%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 vs CLE: 0 · 45 snaps (80%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 22 vs DET: 1 · 46 snaps (81%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 at KC: 0 · 30 snaps (55%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 vs HOU: 0 · 25 snaps (58%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 12 vs LAR: 0 · 61 snaps (78%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs CHI: 0 · 37 snaps (60%)2025 wk 9 · Oct 30 at MIA: 1 · 28 snaps (50%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at MIN: 1 · 44 snaps (63%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 at CLE: 1 · 37 snaps (61%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 vs NYJ: 0 · 42 snaps (67%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 27 vs CIN: 0 · 41 snaps (68%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 7 vs PIT: 0 · 54 snaps (68%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 at CIN: 0 · 17 snaps (41%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs NE: 0 · 24 snaps (44%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 27 at GB: 0 · 31 snaps (41%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 at PIT: 0 · 30 snaps (59%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 at IND: 0 · 49 snaps (72%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 vs NO: 0 · 41 snaps (71%)
Volume drivers and his share
Andrews's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Touch share10.3%8.5%11.6%8.8%
Touches a game5.34.56.54.7
Snap share67.3%54.7%71.5%61.7%

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Each bar is measured against a touchdown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitScoredRate
Last 50/50%
Last 101/1010%
2026 season0/20%
2025 season4/1724%
At home6/1932%
On the road8/1942%
Vs DAL0/10%
As a favorite14/3441%
With Lamar Jackson14/3441%
Without Zay Flowers (Out)0/30%
With Zay Flowers14/3540%

Routes

Routes and coverage

2024–25 seasons · 150 targets with a route label
Weighted by where Mark Andrews's targets come from, DAL has allowed 0.51 yds/target more than the league average on those routes. They play man on 39% of dropbacks (league 40%).
A description of how DAL's defense has fared, not a projection. Each defense number is pulled toward the league average in proportion to how few targets it rests on.
RouteShareTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgtDAL allow
Hitch / curl
3278%6.3(6.8)−0.086.8
Quick out
2785%4.7(5.5)−0.266.3
In / dig
2167%9.1(9.6)+0.5710.2
Deep out
1771%7.3(8.0)+0.788.6
Corner
1560%13.4(10.4)+1.0610.4
Shallow cross
1369%6.8(6.5)+0.076.4
Go
1060%10.2(9.9)+0.9212.5
Post
978%10.3(12.3)+0.6812.6
Slant
4100%10.3(7.2)+0.777.4
Screen
10%0.0(5.8)−0.986.8
Wheel
1100%13.0(10.2)+1.7010.8

Against man and zone

DefenseTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgt
Man7670%8.5+0.51
Zone7477%7.3+0.18

Against each coverage

DefenseTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgt
Cover 16670%9.2+0.46
Cover 22976%8.4+0.33
Cover 32475%6.4−0.14
Cover 41275%5.2+0.01
Cover 0875%2.8+0.69
Cover 95100%6.2+0.61
Cover 63100%15.3+1.48
2-man250%7.0+1.40

Routes are the ones the player was targetedon: nflverse labels the targeted receiver's route on about nine in ten targets, and routes run without a throw are not public, so this shows where a player's looks come from, not everything he ran. Yards per target in brackets is the league figure for that route. Rows with few targets are dimmed; small samples swing.

Game log

GameResultCarRush ydsRush TDTgtRecRec ydsRec TDSnap %
2026 W2 vs NOSep 20L 17240007649071%
2026 W1 @ INDSep 13W 41230006449072%
2025 W18 @ PITJan 4L 24260003214059%
2025 W17 @ GBDec 27W 41240004428041%
2025 W16 vs NEDec 21L 24281303221044%
2025 W15 @ CINDec 14W 2400003218041%
2025 W14 vs PITDec 7L 2227000519068%
2025 W13 vs CINNov 27L 14320006447068%
2025 W12 vs NYJNov 23W 2310220319067%
2025 W11 @ CLENov 16W 231613515332061%
2025 W10 @ MINNov 9W 27190005314163%
2025 W9 @ MIAOct 30W 2862403222250%
2025 W8 vs CHIOct 26W 30160003334060%
2025 W6 vs LAROct 12L 3173206424078%
2025 W5 vs HOUOct 5L 10440003222058%
2025 W4 @ KCSep 28L 20370008730055%
2025 W3 vs DETSep 22L 30380006691281%
2025 W2 vs CLESep 14W 4117120312080%
2025 W1 @ BUFSep 7L 4041000115075%

Prop lines come from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM through TheRundown and can lag what a book shows right now — check the book before you rely on a number. Splits count the games he played (snap counts show who was on the field) and describe the past; they are not a prediction. A game he played with no stat line counts as a zero; a game he sat out is left out, because books void the prop then. Stats and route labels from nflverse. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.