Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Dallas Goedert

TE · Philadelphia EaglesQuestionable — Knee

Rec/g
2.5
Rec yds/g
40.5
Targets/g
3.5
2026 games
2

Before the lines post · next: at CHI

Rec yds No line yet

PHI at CHI · Mon, Sep 28, 8:15 PM ET · favored by 3.75 · total 44 · wind 8 mph · 8 days rest
CHI allows the 16th-fewest receiving yards to TEs (53 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

29.5
20 of 32 over63%range 4875%avg 78% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 6 vs GB: 31 · 62 snaps (82%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 16 vs ATL: 38 · 69 snaps (97%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at NO: 170 · 62 snaps (86%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 at TB: 62 · 36 snaps (63%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs CLE: 0 · 3 snaps (5%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at DAL: 25 · 43 snaps (63%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 14 vs WSH: 61 · 63 snaps (89%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 24 at LAR: 19 · 55 snaps (75%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 at BAL: 35 · 40 snaps (71%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 5 vs NYG: 55 · 13 snaps (19%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 12 vs GB: 47 · 55 snaps (92%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 vs LAR: 56 · 60 snaps (95%)2024 wk 21 · Jan 26 vs WSH: 85 · 58 snaps (82%)2024 wk 22 · Feb 9 vs KC: 27 · 62 snaps (84%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 4 vs DAL: 44 · 52 snaps (83%)20252025 wk 3 · Sep 21 vs LAR: 33 · 61 snaps (91%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 at TB: 37 · 43 snaps (75%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 vs DEN: 19 · 48 snaps (79%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 9 at NYG: 110 · 51 snaps (89%)2025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at MIN: 18 · 49 snaps (98%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs NYG: 28 · 37 snaps (63%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 10 at GB: 43 · 54 snaps (86%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs DET: 24 · 65 snaps (90%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 at DAL: 20 · 58 snaps (92%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 28 vs CHI: 27 · 48 snaps (89%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 8 at LAC: 78 · 66 snaps (93%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 vs LV: 70 · 51 snaps (74%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 20 at WSH: 32 · 61 snaps (87%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 28 at BUF: 8 · 43 snaps (80%)2025 wk 19 · Jan 11 vs SF: 33 · 67 snaps (92%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs WSH: 77 · 52 snaps (95%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 at TEN: 4 · 19 snaps (25%)29.5
29.5

Middle half of these games: 24.857.3 · median 34 · range 0170

Projected range · contextmedian 35middle half 15.85580% range 3.978

How his rec yds tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Goedert's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Target share15.6%18.9%12.5%20.1%
Targets a game4.75.03.55.6
Snap share70.7%75.5%60.0%85.1%
DriverPHI offenseCHI defense faces
Dropbacks per game34.7 #2337.1 #11
Pass rate over expected−0.7 #17−0.0 #18
Neutral-script pass rate55.1% #1352.1% #26
Dropback success rate44.1% #2146.0% #15

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
Passes to himGoedertLeaguePHI offenseCHI defense faces
Catchable-target rate74.4%68.1%67.2% #2369.0% #17
Drop rate3.1%5.5%5.0% #216.6% #5
Contested-target rate8.1%13.0%13.1% #1717.2% #3
Pressure on his QB29.7%28.1% #2326.5% #27

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 9 of his team's games in this span (Jan 4 vs WSH, Sep 14 at KC, Dec 29 vs DAL, Dec 22 at WSH, …); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 53/560%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season9/1656%
At home12/1867%
On the road8/1457%
Vs CHI0/10%
As a favorite17/2763%
Prime time7/978%
With Jalen Hurts19/3161%
Vs middling defenses4/850%
Without Saquon Barkley (Questionable)1/1100%
With Saquon Barkley19/3161%

Receptions No line yet

PHI at CHI · Mon, Sep 28, 8:15 PM ET · favored by 3.75 · total 44 · wind 8 mph · 8 days rest
CHI allows the 13th-fewest receptions to TEs (5.1 a game over its last 17)

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). The dashed line starts at his median over his last 10 games; drag it to any number to see how often he has cleared it. This page shows the books' price once they post.

3
17 of 32 over53%range 3967%7 pushesavg 78% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 6 vs GB: 4 · 62 snaps (82%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 16 vs ATL: 3 · 69 snaps (97%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at NO: 10 · 62 snaps (86%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 at TB: 7 · 36 snaps (63%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs CLE: 0 · 3 snaps (5%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at DAL: 2 · 43 snaps (63%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 14 vs WSH: 5 · 63 snaps (89%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 24 at LAR: 4 · 55 snaps (75%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 at BAL: 3 · 40 snaps (71%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 5 vs NYG: 4 · 13 snaps (19%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 12 vs GB: 4 · 55 snaps (92%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 vs LAR: 4 · 60 snaps (95%)2024 wk 21 · Jan 26 vs WSH: 7 · 58 snaps (82%)2024 wk 22 · Feb 9 vs KC: 2 · 62 snaps (84%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 4 vs DAL: 7 · 52 snaps (83%)20252025 wk 3 · Sep 21 vs LAR: 1 · 61 snaps (91%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 at TB: 4 · 43 snaps (75%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 vs DEN: 3 · 48 snaps (79%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 9 at NYG: 9 · 51 snaps (89%)2025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at MIN: 3 · 49 snaps (98%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs NYG: 3 · 37 snaps (63%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 10 at GB: 4 · 54 snaps (86%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs DET: 2 · 65 snaps (90%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 at DAL: 2 · 58 snaps (92%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 28 vs CHI: 2 · 48 snaps (89%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 8 at LAC: 8 · 66 snaps (93%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 vs LV: 6 · 51 snaps (74%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 20 at WSH: 3 · 61 snaps (87%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 28 at BUF: 3 · 43 snaps (80%)2025 wk 19 · Jan 11 vs SF: 4 · 67 snaps (92%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs WSH: 4 · 52 snaps (95%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 at TEN: 1 · 19 snaps (25%)3
3

Middle half of these games: 2.84.3 · median 4 · range 010

Projected range · contextmedian 3.1middle half 1.94.880% range 0.96.3

How his receptions tends to spread out in a game he plays, from his recent games weighted toward the latest. In testing on the 2023–2025 seasons the actual result landed in the middle half 53% of the time and in the 80% range 83%; his last 10 games alone would have caught 43% and 69%. It ignores the opponent, the game script and injuries, and it is not a prediction against any line.

Volume drivers and his share
Goedert's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Target share15.6%18.9%12.5%20.1%
Targets a game4.75.03.55.6
Snap share70.7%75.5%60.0%85.1%
DriverPHI offenseCHI defense faces
Dropbacks per game34.7 #2337.1 #11
Pass rate over expected−0.7 #17−0.0 #18
Neutral-script pass rate55.1% #1352.1% #26
Dropback success rate44.1% #2146.0% #15

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
Passes to himGoedertLeaguePHI offenseCHI defense faces
Catchable-target rate74.4%68.1%67.2% #2369.0% #17
Drop rate3.1%5.5%5.0% #216.6% #5
Contested-target rate8.1%13.0%13.1% #1717.2% #3
Pressure on his QB29.7%28.1% #2326.5% #27

His last 17 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 9 of his team's games in this span (Jan 4 vs WSH, Sep 14 at KC, Dec 29 vs DAL, Dec 22 at WSH, …); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitOverRate
Last 52 push2/540%
Last 102 push4/1040%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season5 push7/1644%
At home3 push10/1856%
On the road4 push7/1450%
Vs CHI0/10%
As a favorite5 push15/2756%
Prime time1 push7/978%
With Jalen Hurts7 push16/3152%
Vs middling defenses2 push3/743%
Without Saquon Barkley (Questionable)1/1100%
With Saquon Barkley7 push16/3152%

Anytime TD No line yet

PHI at CHI · Mon, Sep 28, 8:15 PM ET · favored by 3.75 · total 44 · wind 8 mph · 8 days rest

No book has posted this yet (they usually do a day or two before kickoff). Here is how often he has scored, in the situations this game sets up.

13 of 32 scored41%range 2855%avg 78% of snaps
2024 wk 1 · Sep 6 vs GB: 0 · 62 snaps (82%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 16 vs ATL: 0 · 69 snaps (97%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at NO: 0 · 62 snaps (86%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 29 at TB: 0 · 36 snaps (63%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs CLE: 0 · 3 snaps (5%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at DAL: 1 · 43 snaps (63%)2024 wk 11 · Nov 14 vs WSH: 0 · 63 snaps (89%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 24 at LAR: 0 · 55 snaps (75%)2024 wk 13 · Dec 1 at BAL: 1 · 40 snaps (71%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 5 vs NYG: 0 · 13 snaps (19%)2024 wk 19 · Jan 12 vs GB: 1 · 55 snaps (92%)2024 wk 20 · Jan 19 vs LAR: 0 · 60 snaps (95%)2024 wk 21 · Jan 26 vs WSH: 0 · 58 snaps (82%)2024 wk 22 · Feb 9 vs KC: 0 · 62 snaps (84%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 4 vs DAL: 0 · 52 snaps (83%)20252025 wk 3 · Sep 21 vs LAR: 1 · 61 snaps (91%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 at TB: 1 · 43 snaps (75%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 vs DEN: 1 · 48 snaps (79%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 9 at NYG: 1 · 51 snaps (89%)2025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at MIN: 0 · 49 snaps (98%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 vs NYG: 1 · 37 snaps (63%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 10 at GB: 0 · 54 snaps (86%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs DET: 0 · 65 snaps (90%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 at DAL: 0 · 58 snaps (92%)2025 wk 13 · Nov 28 vs CHI: 0 · 48 snaps (89%)2025 wk 14 · Dec 8 at LAC: 0 · 66 snaps (93%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 vs LV: 1 · 51 snaps (74%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 20 at WSH: 1 · 61 snaps (87%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 28 at BUF: 1 · 43 snaps (80%)2025 wk 19 · Jan 11 vs SF: 1 · 67 snaps (92%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs WSH: 1 · 52 snaps (95%)20262026 wk 2 · Sep 20 at TEN: 0 · 19 snaps (25%)
Volume drivers and his share
Goedert's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Touch share8.2%8.6%6.2%10.0%
Touches a game5.05.23.55.6
Snap share70.7%75.5%60.0%85.1%

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Each bar is measured against a touchdown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero. He sat out 9 of his team's games in this span (Jan 4 vs WSH, Sep 14 at KC, Dec 29 vs DAL, Dec 22 at WSH, …); those are left out, as books void a prop when a player does not play.

SplitScoredRate
Last 54/580%
Last 105/1050%
2026 season1/250%
2025 season9/1656%
At home7/1839%
On the road6/1443%
Vs CHI0/10%
As a favorite11/2741%
Prime time1/911%
With Jalen Hurts13/3142%
Without Saquon Barkley (Questionable)0/10%
With Saquon Barkley13/3142%

Routes

Routes and coverage

2024–25 seasons · 160 targets with a route label
Weighted by where Dallas Goedert's targets come from, CHI has allowed 0.23 yds/target more than the league average on those routes. They play man on 42% of dropbacks (league 40%).
A description of how CHI's defense has fared, not a projection. Each defense number is pulled toward the league average in proportion to how few targets it rests on.
RouteShareTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgtCHI allow
Quick out
4883%6.1(5.5)+0.355.7
Hitch / curl
2983%7.4(6.8)+0.256.3
Shallow cross
2095%11.8(6.5)+0.926.0
Deep out
1663%9.9(8.0)+0.548.7
Screen
12100%4.6(5.8)+0.216.5
In / dig
1145%8.6(9.6)+0.5510.3
Corner
1070%16.0(10.4)+1.0811.6
Go
729%8.9(9.9)−0.7310.6
Post
333%11.0(12.3)−0.0613.9
Slant
3100%9.3(7.2)+2.217.8
Wheel
10%0.0(10.2)−0.7510.4

Against man and zone

DefenseTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgt
Zone9679%7.8+0.25
Man6473%9.2+0.73

Against each coverage

DefenseTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgt
Cover 34379%7.7+0.45
Cover 14377%11.3+0.78
Cover 23482%8.8+0.32
Cover 41471%4.4−0.20
Cover 01471%4.9+0.85
2-man757%5.4+0.18
Cover 92100%13.5+1.11
Cover 62100%11.5+0.44

Routes are the ones the player was targetedon: nflverse labels the targeted receiver's route on about nine in ten targets, and routes run without a throw are not public, so this shows where a player's looks come from, not everything he ran. Yards per target in brackets is the league figure for that route. Rows with few targets are dimmed; small samples swing.

Game log

GameResultTgtRecRec ydsRec TDSnap %
2026 W2 @ TENSep 20W 2420214025%
2026 W1 vs WSHSep 13W 24225477295%
2025 W19 · playoffs vs SFJan 11L 19237433192%
2025 W17 @ BUFDec 28W 1312638180%
2025 W16 @ WSHDec 20W 29183332187%
2025 W15 vs LVDec 14W 3107670274%
2025 W14 @ LACDec 8L 192210878093%
2025 W13 vs CHINov 28L 15244227089%
2025 W12 @ DALNov 23L 21242220092%
2025 W11 vs DETNov 16W 1695224090%
2025 W10 @ GBNov 10W 1076443086%
2025 W8 vs NYGOct 26W 38203328263%
2025 W7 @ MINOct 19W 28223318098%
2025 W6 @ NYGOct 9L 1734119110189%
2025 W5 vs DENOct 5L 17219319179%
2025 W4 @ TBSep 28W 31254437275%
2025 W3 vs LARSep 21W 33262133191%
2025 W1 vs DALSep 4W 24207744083%

Prop lines come from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM through TheRundown and can lag what a book shows right now — check the book before you rely on a number. Splits count the games he played (snap counts show who was on the field) and describe the past; they are not a prediction. A game he played with no stat line counts as a zero; a game he sat out is left out, because books void the prop then. Stats and route labels from nflverse. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.