Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Chris Manhertz

TE · New York Giants

Props this week

Rec yds 0.5

Over +650 · Under -950 · books price the over at 13%
NYG at LAR · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 8 days rest
LAR allows the 5th-fewest receiving yards to TEs (43 a game over its last 17)
0.5
4 of 35 over11%range 523%avg 25% of snapsbooks price 13% at 0.5 (+650 DK)
2024 wk 1 · Sep 8 vs MIN: 0 · 20 snaps (28%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 15 at WSH: 0 · 26 snaps (46%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at CLE: 0 · 27 snaps (38%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 26 vs DAL: 0 · 29 snaps (42%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at SEA: 0 · 19 snaps (26%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs CIN: 0 · 19 snaps (24%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 vs PHI: 0 · 8 snaps (14%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 28 at PIT: 0 · 11 snaps (15%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs WSH: 2 · 16 snaps (25%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at CAR: 0 · 25 snaps (33%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 24 vs TB: 0 · 12 snaps (20%)2024 wk 13 · Nov 28 at DAL: 0 · 21 snaps (33%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 vs NO: 0 · 15 snaps (19%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 vs BAL: 0 · 27 snaps (40%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 at ATL: 0 · 16 snaps (27%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 29 vs IND: 12 · 25 snaps (45%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 5 at PHI: 16 · 26 snaps (49%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 at WSH: 0 · 18 snaps (26%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at DAL: 0 · 14 snaps (21%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 21 vs KC: 7 · 13 snaps (20%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs LAC: 0 · 12 snaps (16%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 at NO: 0 · 8 snaps (11%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 9 vs PHI: 0 · 15 snaps (22%)2025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at DEN: 0 · 8 snaps (10%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 at PHI: 0 · 2 snaps (4%)2025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs SF: 0 · 2 snaps (4%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at CHI: 0 · 3 snaps (4%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs GB: 0 · 15 snaps (21%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 at DET: 0 · 28 snaps (34%)2025 wk 13 · Dec 1 at NE: 0 · 2 snaps (4%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 vs WSH: 0 · 4 snaps (6%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs MIN: 0 · 26 snaps (46%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 28 at LV: 0 · 15 snaps (23%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs DAL: 0 · 23 snaps (31%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs DAL: 0 · 24 snaps (35%)20260.5
0.5

Middle half of these games: 00 · median 0 · range 016

Volume drivers and his share
Manhertz's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Target share1.1%0.6%0.0%0.4%
Targets a game0.30.20.00.1
Snap share29.7%24.2%35.0%17.8%
DriverNYG offenseLAR defense faces
Dropbacks per game36.0 #1839.8 #4
Pass rate over expected−2.7 #26−0.7 #22
Neutral-script pass rate49.2% #2955.1% #15
Dropback success rate45.3% #1646.4% #13

Last 17 games, ranked against the league (#1 = highest). "Defense faces" is how offenses have played against that defense. Rates over expected compare with how a typical team plays the same downs, distances and scores, shown against the league average. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Throw quality
Passes to himManhertzLeagueNYG offenseLAR defense faces
Catchable-target rate50.0%68.1%67.9% #1669.5% #16
Drop rate0.0%5.5%5.6% #136.0% #13
Contested-target rate0.0%13.0%12.2% #2212.8% #15
Pressure on his QB29.7%31.1% #1032.5% #7

His last 2 games and the teams' last 17. "Catchable" is FTN's charting: a defended or inaccurate pass is not catchable, and throwaways and spikes are left out. Pressure and completion under pressure come from nflverse participation, published weeks after the games (so far through 2025 week 22). Dimmed numbers are over fewer than 30 plays. Descriptive, not a forecast. Charting: FTN Data via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Each bar is measured against the line shown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitOverRate
Last 50/50%
Last 100/100%
2026 season0/10%
2025 season1/176%
At home3/1817%
On the road1/176%
As an underdog4/3213%
Prime time1/714%
With Jaxson Dart0/130%
Vs tough defenses2/1513%
Books and line movement
BookLineOverUnder
DK0.5+650-950

Steady at 0.5 since Sep 20, 3:33 PM ET.

Anytime TD

Yes +4000 · books price yes at 3%
NYG at LAR · Mon, Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET · underdog by 7 · total 47.5 · wind 9 mph · 8 days rest
1 of 35 scored3%range 112%avg 25% of snapsbooks price 3%
2024 wk 1 · Sep 8 vs MIN: 0 · 20 snaps (28%)20242024 wk 2 · Sep 15 at WSH: 0 · 26 snaps (46%)2024 wk 3 · Sep 22 at CLE: 0 · 27 snaps (38%)2024 wk 4 · Sep 26 vs DAL: 0 · 29 snaps (42%)2024 wk 5 · Oct 6 at SEA: 0 · 19 snaps (26%)2024 wk 6 · Oct 13 vs CIN: 0 · 19 snaps (24%)2024 wk 7 · Oct 20 vs PHI: 0 · 8 snaps (14%)2024 wk 8 · Oct 28 at PIT: 0 · 11 snaps (15%)2024 wk 9 · Nov 3 vs WSH: 1 · 16 snaps (25%)2024 wk 10 · Nov 10 at CAR: 0 · 25 snaps (33%)2024 wk 12 · Nov 24 vs TB: 0 · 12 snaps (20%)2024 wk 13 · Nov 28 at DAL: 0 · 21 snaps (33%)2024 wk 14 · Dec 8 vs NO: 0 · 15 snaps (19%)2024 wk 15 · Dec 15 vs BAL: 0 · 27 snaps (40%)2024 wk 16 · Dec 22 at ATL: 0 · 16 snaps (27%)2024 wk 17 · Dec 29 vs IND: 0 · 25 snaps (45%)2024 wk 18 · Jan 5 at PHI: 0 · 26 snaps (49%)2025 wk 1 · Sep 7 at WSH: 0 · 18 snaps (26%)20252025 wk 2 · Sep 14 at DAL: 0 · 14 snaps (21%)2025 wk 3 · Sep 21 vs KC: 0 · 13 snaps (20%)2025 wk 4 · Sep 28 vs LAC: 0 · 12 snaps (16%)2025 wk 5 · Oct 5 at NO: 0 · 8 snaps (11%)2025 wk 6 · Oct 9 vs PHI: 0 · 15 snaps (22%)2025 wk 7 · Oct 19 at DEN: 0 · 8 snaps (10%)2025 wk 8 · Oct 26 at PHI: 0 · 2 snaps (4%)2025 wk 9 · Nov 2 vs SF: 0 · 2 snaps (4%)2025 wk 10 · Nov 9 at CHI: 0 · 3 snaps (4%)2025 wk 11 · Nov 16 vs GB: 0 · 15 snaps (21%)2025 wk 12 · Nov 23 at DET: 0 · 28 snaps (34%)2025 wk 13 · Dec 1 at NE: 0 · 2 snaps (4%)2025 wk 15 · Dec 14 vs WSH: 0 · 4 snaps (6%)2025 wk 16 · Dec 21 vs MIN: 0 · 26 snaps (46%)2025 wk 17 · Dec 28 at LV: 0 · 15 snaps (23%)2025 wk 18 · Jan 4 vs DAL: 0 · 23 snaps (31%)2026 wk 1 · Sep 13 vs DAL: 0 · 24 snaps (35%)2026
Volume drivers and his share
Manhertz's roleLast 3Last 620262025
Touch share0.5%0.3%0.0%0.2%
Touches a game0.30.20.00.1
Snap share29.7%24.2%35.0%17.8%

Shares are his total over his team's total across the games he played, so a game with no touches counts as zero and a game he sat out is left out. The last two columns are seasons. Games whose team box score is not complete yet are left out of a share. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Each bar is measured against a touchdown, not the number that game actually had. Faded bars are outside the filters. Games he played with no stat count as zero.

SplitScoredRate
Last 50/50%
Last 100/100%
2026 season0/10%
2025 season0/170%
At home1/186%
On the road0/170%
As an underdog1/323%
Prime time0/70%
With Jaxson Dart0/130%
Books and line movement
BookLineYes
MGM+4000
DK+3000
FD+2700

We have not seen a line for this yet.

Routes

Routes and coverage

2024–25 seasons · 6 targets with a route label
RouteShareTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgt
Quick out
367%7.7(5.5)+0.43
Corner
250%1.0(10.4)−0.05
Slant
1100%12.0(7.2)+0.99

Against man and zone

DefenseTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgt
Man3100%8.3+0.85
Zone333%4.0−0.13

Against each coverage

DefenseTgtCatchYds/tgtEPA/tgt
Cover 320%0.0−0.69
2-man1100%7.0+0.41
Cover 01100%2.0+0.69
Cover 11100%16.0+1.44
Cover 21100%12.0+0.99

Routes are the ones the player was targetedon: nflverse labels the targeted receiver's route on about nine in ten targets, and routes run without a throw are not public, so this shows where a player's looks come from, not everything he ran. Yards per target in brackets is the league figure for that route. Rows with few targets are dimmed; small samples swing.

Game log

GameResultSnap %
2026 W1 vs DALSep 13W 282035%
2025 W18 vs DALJan 4W 341731%
2025 W17 @ LVDec 28W 341023%
2025 W16 vs MINDec 21L 131646%
2025 W15 vs WSHDec 14L 21296%
2025 W13 @ NEDec 1L 15334%
2025 W12 @ DETNov 23L 273434%
2025 W11 vs GBNov 16L 202721%
2025 W10 @ CHINov 9L 20244%
2025 W9 vs SFNov 2L 24344%
2025 W8 @ PHIOct 26L 20384%
2025 W7 @ DENOct 19L 323310%
2025 W6 vs PHIOct 9W 341722%
2025 W5 @ NOOct 5L 142611%
2025 W4 vs LACSep 28W 211816%
2025 W3 vs KCSep 21L 92220%
2025 W2 @ DALSep 14L 374021%
2025 W1 @ WSHSep 7L 62126%

Prop lines come from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM through TheRundown and can lag what a book shows right now — check the book before you rely on a number. Splits count the games he played (snap counts show who was on the field) and describe the past; they are not a prediction. A game he played with no stat line counts as a zero; a game he sat out is left out, because books void the prop then. Stats and route labels from nflverse. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.