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Javad Mahjoub
vs
Louie Sutherland
The model's pick →
5:00 PM ET
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The model's read on Javad Mahjoub vs Louie Sutherland
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The matchups behind the call, in plain English
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Tale of the tape
Heavyweight
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 3 rounds · prelims1
Louie Sutherland
“Vanilla Gorilla”
11-6
(8 KO · 0 SUB · 3 DEC)
wrestler
precise striker
JM
Javad Mahjoub
5-0
(3 KO · 1 SUB · 1 DEC)
well-rounded
Sutherland
Tape
Mahjoub
11-6
Record
5-0
32
Age
34
6'3"
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
—
Orthodox
Stance
--
ENG
Country
CAN
Win method %
KO 73% · SUB 0% · DEC 27%
KO 60% · SUB 20% · DEC 20%
Output & grappling
per-fight rates over last 12 tracked bouts
Sutherland
Stat
Mahjoub
2.8
Sig. str / min
—
69%
Strike acc.
—
2.8
Absorbed / min
—
+0.0
Damage margin
—
35%
Strike defense
—
0.14
Knockdowns /15
—
3.2
Takedowns /15
—
40%
TD accuracy
—
33%
TD defense
—
0.1
Ground adv. /15
—
0.2
Sub att. /15
—
Sutherland — pace & finishing
Avg fight length
8.1 min
over 12 tracked
Round-1 finish wins
3
· finish wins
4
Went the distance
42%
of tracked fights
Mahjoub — pace & finishing
Avg fight length
5.0 min
over 5 tracked
Round-1 finish wins
4
· finish wins
4
Went the distance
20%
of tracked fights
Sutherland — strike targets
head 61% · body 6% · leg 33%
Mahjoub — strike targets
head — · body — · leg —
Stylistic read
▸
Sutherland will look to wrestle: 3.2 takedowns/15min at 40% accuracy.
▸
Sutherland holds a 76" reach advantage.
▸
Stance clash: Sutherland (Orthodox) vs Mahjoub (--) — expect open-stance exchanges.
Louie Sutherland — last fights
L
2026-08-08
vs José Montanha · Submission · R1
W
2026-05-02
vs Tai Tuivasa · Decision - Unanimous · R3
L
2026-03-21
vs Brando Peričić · KO/TKO · R1
L
2025-10-25
vs Valter Walker · Submission · R1
W
2025-06-15
KO/TKO · R1
Javad Mahjoub — last fights
W
2026-02-28
Submission (Armbar) · R1
W
2025-10-30
Decision - Unanimous · R3
W
2025-09-06
TKO (Ground and Pound) · R1
W
2023-08-04
KO/TKO · R1
W
2022-11-05
TKO (Ground and Pound) · R1
Line shop
Fight odds refresh hourly on fight days — none yet for this bout.