Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Nelson Velázquez

St. Louis Cardinals · DH · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.47
Edge
-17.1%
All 45 games
51%23/45 over 0.5
Window avg
0.69
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
54%
7/13
Avg0.69
StreakL1

Hitsall 45 games vs 0.5

home only · official box scores
1vs TEX05/040vs TEX05/050vs MIL05/061vs MIL05/070vs OAK05/172vs OAK05/180vs OAK05/191vs DET05/221vs SD05/310vs SD06/011vs SD06/021vs SEA06/070vs SEA06/081vs NYY06/100vs NYY06/110vs NYY06/120vs NYY06/132vs CHC05/291vs CHC05/310vs TEX06/011vs TEX06/022vs TEX06/030vs CIN06/061vs CIN06/070vs SD06/170vs AZ06/230vs AZ06/241vs MIL07/061vs MIL07/070vs MIL07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-139+105

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Iván Herrera STL07/072
Jordan Walker STL07/072
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
Jordan Walker STL07/071
José Fermín STL07/071
Blaze Jordan STL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/070
Jimmy Crooks STL07/070
José Fermín STL07/070
JJ Wetherholt STL07/070
Iván Herrera STL07/070
Bryan Torres STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070