Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Nelson Velázquez

St. Louis Cardinals · DH · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.47
Edge
-17.1%
Last 20
45%9/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.55
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
50%
11/22
Avg0.64
StreakL1

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs TEX06/011vs TEX06/022vs TEX06/030vs CIN06/061vs CIN06/071@ NYM06/100@ MIN06/121@ MIN06/130vs SD06/171@ KC06/180@ KC06/190vs AZ06/230vs AZ06/242@ ATL06/300@ ATL07/010@ CHC07/030@ CHC07/051vs MIL07/061vs MIL07/070vs MIL07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-139+105

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Iván Herrera STL07/072
Jordan Walker STL07/072
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
José Fermín STL07/071
Jordan Walker STL07/071
Nathan Church STL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/070
Jimmy Crooks STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070
Blaze Jordan STL07/070
José Fermín STL07/070
Masyn Winn STL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/070