Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Nelson Velázquez

St. Louis Cardinals · DH · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.47
Edge
-17.1%
Last 20
35%7/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.45
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
33%
2/6
Avg0.52
StreakL3

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs TEX05/052@ LAA05/120vs OAK05/191vs DET05/222@ TB05/250@ TB05/260@ MIN05/270@ MIN05/300vs SD06/011vs SD06/020vs SEA06/080vs NYY06/131@ TEX06/220@ TEX06/230vs CIN06/061vs CIN06/071@ MIN06/130vs SD06/170@ CHC07/030@ CHC07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-139+105

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Iván Herrera STL07/072
Jordan Walker STL07/072
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
Jordan Walker STL07/071
José Fermín STL07/071
Alec Burleson STL07/070
Jimmy Crooks STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070
Iván Herrera STL07/070
Bryan Torres STL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/070
Masyn Winn STL07/070
JJ Wetherholt STL07/070