Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Miguel Vargas

Chicago White Sox · LF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.79
Edge
+3.8%
Trending splitsAway 30%(40)
Last 20
45%9/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.75
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
38%
34/89
Avg1.39
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Miguel Vargas clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Davis Martin o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits with him 80% · base 52% · n=15 · -115 Bovada
Chase Meidroth o0.5 Hits
hits with him 74% · base 69% · n=72 · -209 DraftKings
Chase Meidroth o0.5 Total Bases
hits with him 74% · base 69% · n=72 · -196 BetOnline
Sam Antonacci o0.5 Hits
hits with him 69% · base 66% · n=29 · -244 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
0@ NYY06/162@ NYY06/170@ NYY06/181@ DET06/190@ DET06/200@ DET06/211vs CLE06/224vs CLE06/232vs CLE06/247vs KC06/261vs KC06/276vs KC06/282@ BAL06/290@ BAL06/300@ BAL07/012@ CLE07/025@ CLE07/030@ CLE07/042@ CLE07/050vs BOS07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+107-139

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.211.233.059.375.242.208.462.261.281
OPS
.650.833.2221.406.909.5831.231.638.688
Exit Velo
87.7995.1389.9193.4496.5786.7398.1193.4189.38
sluggingPercentage
.421.600.1181.031.667.375.769.391.406
onBasePercentage
.250.233.111.375.242.208.462.255.281