Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Miguel Vargas

Chicago White Sox · LF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.90
Edge
-6.3%
Trending splitsNight 78%(40)
Last 20
60%12/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.85
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
65%
58/89
Avg0.77
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Miguel Vargas clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Davis Martin o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits with him 69% · base 52% · n=29 · -115 Bovada
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Hits
hits with him 69% · base 63% · n=16 · -189 BetOnline
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total Bases
hits with him 69% · base 63% · n=16 · -185 BetOnline
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Hits
hits with him 67% · base 61% · n=86 · -180 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ NYY06/161@ NYY06/170@ NYY06/181@ DET06/190@ DET06/200@ DET06/211vs CLE06/221vs CLE06/232vs CLE06/243vs KC06/261vs KC06/272vs KC06/281@ BAL06/290@ BAL06/300@ BAL07/011@ CLE07/022@ CLE07/030@ CLE07/041@ CLE07/050vs BOS07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-233+173
BetOnline0.5-238+179

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.211.233.059.375.242.208.462.261.281
OPS
.650.833.2221.406.909.5831.231.638.688
Exit Velo
87.7995.1389.9193.4496.5786.7398.1193.4189.38
sluggingPercentage
.421.600.1181.031.667.375.769.391.406
onBasePercentage
.250.233.111.375.242.208.462.255.281